The predicted share price (Closing Price) for Jindal Poly Films Ltd for tomorrow (2026-05-02) is ₹770.41 which is 4.68% higher than today’s share price of ₹736.00
Jindal Poly Films Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Undervalued
Intrinsic ₹914.28 vs CMP ₹736.00 (+24.2%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
▲ Bullish
Price/EMA: 1.198 · EMA(252): ₹614.12
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
59.6% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Falling (recent < historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Trending (persistent)
Hurst exponent: 0.581
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
+1.1%5Y-0.1%10Y
Historical drift: -3.1% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
0.25x
Upside +24.2% vs downside 98% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
+19.5%
Moderate margin
Model ConfidenceiShows how reliable our predictions are for this stock. Based on the model's average prediction error over the last 90 days. Low error = high confidence. Also shows data coverage — more data points over longer periods produce more reliable projections. The model self-learns by adjusting parameters every 7 days.
Low
Avg error: 8.54% · 589 data points over 556 days
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹14.72
(98% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹367.00
₹1,008.00
CMP: ₹736.0058% into range27% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows how long the model expects the stock price to take to converge toward its intrinsic value. The model uses a mathematical convergence rate that pulls the projected price toward intrinsic value gradually. Milestones show the expected price at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence means the price may decline toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹914.28 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹73625% ₹78150% ₹82575% ₹870Target ₹914
Gap: 24.2% upward · Model convergence rate: 5.0 years
What this means: Jindal Poly Films Ltd appears undervalued by 24.2% based on fundamentals. The stock is currently in a bullish regime (price above EMA). A Hurst exponent of 0.58 indicates trending behavior — recent price momentum is likely to persist. Volatility is high (59.6% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
Jindal Poly Films Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
759.87
+3.2%
+3.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
735.36
Feb
741.61
Mar
749.21
Apr
744.69
May
747.31
Jun
744.00
Jul
744.46
Aug
754.91
Sep
750.33
Oct
754.66
Nov
762.90
Dec
759.87
2028
758.94
+3.1%
+1.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
758.66
Feb
757.91
Mar
757.50
Apr
754.88
May
755.09
Jun
760.70
Jul
763.52
Aug
769.31
Sep
770.43
Oct
769.74
Nov
762.09
Dec
758.94
2029
762.30
+3.6%
+1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
754.70
Feb
759.43
Mar
758.80
Apr
754.61
May
751.02
Jun
756.49
Jul
761.17
Aug
767.48
Sep
765.93
Oct
768.01
Nov
763.07
Dec
762.30
2030
754.30
+2.5%
+0.6%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
754.47
Feb
750.40
Mar
751.16
Apr
753.63
May
756.59
Jun
753.42
Jul
751.53
Aug
751.89
Sep
756.45
Oct
756.09
Nov
752.22
Dec
754.30
2031
775.75
+5.4%
+1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
758.80
Feb
757.04
Mar
756.99
Apr
761.79
May
760.22
Jun
764.60
Jul
761.21
Aug
770.75
Sep
775.70
Oct
777.64
Nov
769.85
Dec
775.75
2032
765.94
+4.1%
+0.7%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
770.46
Feb
767.75
Mar
772.36
Apr
774.37
May
774.35
Jun
772.67
Jul
766.38
Aug
766.52
Sep
765.43
Oct
770.23
Nov
768.88
Dec
765.94
2033
748.49
+1.7%
+0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
761.40
Feb
760.70
Mar
760.16
Apr
759.64
May
754.94
Jun
755.44
Jul
752.39
Aug
754.81
Sep
759.20
Oct
756.89
Nov
752.64
Dec
748.49
2034
735.47
-0.1%
0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
744.13
Feb
740.18
Mar
743.21
Apr
737.88
May
744.30
Jun
747.39
Jul
747.57
Aug
746.90
Sep
749.61
Oct
741.40
Nov
739.44
Dec
735.47
2035
731.22
-0.6%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
735.39
Feb
733.91
Mar
735.00
Apr
732.01
May
732.32
Jun
730.61
Jul
730.98
Aug
731.83
Sep
730.86
Oct
728.23
Nov
728.58
Dec
731.22
2036
729.32
-0.9%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
732.34
Feb
738.23
Mar
740.81
Apr
736.58
May
733.55
Jun
730.63
Jul
730.20
Aug
731.06
Sep
732.26
Oct
733.08
Nov
730.85
Dec
729.32
Jindal Poly Films Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
4.14%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
62.4%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹27.88
PredictionsiTotal number of daily predictions made for this stock. More predictions = more data for accuracy metrics. The model self-learns and adjusts its parameters every 7 days, so accuracy typically improves over time.
348
Jindal Poly Films Ltd – Historical Performance vs Predictions
Will Jindal Poly Films Ltd share price increase tomorrow?
Jindal Poly Films Ltd share price is expected to increase to ₹770.41 on 2026-05-02, which is 4.68% higher than today's price of ₹736.00. This prediction is based on our AI-powered GFBM model.
What is the intrinsic value of Jindal Poly Films Ltd?
Jindal Poly Films Ltd intrinsic value is ₹914.28, which is 24.22% above the current price of ₹736.00. This suggests the stock is currently undervalued.
What is the share price target of Jindal Poly Films Ltd in 2027?
Jindal Poly Films Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹759.87 by year-end (range: ₹735.36 to ₹762.90), representing a 3.24% increase from the current price of ₹736.00.
What is the share price target of Jindal Poly Films Ltd in 2028?
Jindal Poly Films Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹758.94 by year-end (range: ₹754.88 to ₹770.43), representing a 3.12% increase from the current price of ₹736.00.
What is the share price target of Jindal Poly Films Ltd in 2029?
Jindal Poly Films Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹762.30 by year-end (range: ₹751.02 to ₹768.01), representing a 3.57% increase from the current price of ₹736.00.
Should I buy Jindal Poly Films Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Jindal Poly Films Ltd appears to be a consider buying candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹914.28 vs CMP ₹736.00. This is not investment advice — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
What is the fundamental floor price for Jindal Poly Films Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Jindal Poly Films Ltd is ₹14.72, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Jindal Poly Films Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Jindal Poly Films Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Jindal Poly Films Ltd
The predicted price for tomorrow is derived using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) formula with drift, volatility, and a random factor to simulate market movements.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Jindal Poly Films Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance of securities is not indicative of future results. Getaka Financial Technology is not responsible for any investment decisions made on the basis of this information. Investors are advised to seek independent financial advice from a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks. Please read all associated offer documents and terms carefully before investing.