The next market-day median forecast for MSTC Ltd (2026-08-31) is ₹400.63 which is 9.56% lower than today’s share price of ₹443.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹376.55–₹465.77. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
MSTC Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹341.26 vs CMP ₹443.00 (-23.0%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
● Neutral
Price/EMA: 0.972 · EMA(252): ₹455.67
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
95.9% annualized
Risk: High · Recent trend: Rising (recent > historical)
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Mean-reverting
Hurst exponent: 0.386
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-0.4%5Y-2.5%10Y
Historical drift: -9.6% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.24x
Upside -23% vs downside 96.4% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-29.8%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (72.9%)
Chance of upside: 19.9% · Avg forecast error: 6.55% · 599 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹15.81
(96.4% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹366.00
₹731.00
CMP: ₹443.0021% into range39.4% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹341.26 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹44325% ₹41850% ₹39275% ₹367Target ₹341
Gap: 23.0% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: MSTC Ltd appears overvalued by 23.0% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is in a neutral regime. A Hurst exponent of 0.39 suggests mean-reverting behavior — extreme moves tend to reverse. Volatility is high (95.9% annualized), implying wider price swings and higher risk.
MSTC Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
390.04
-12.0%
-12.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
441.96
Feb
443.51
Mar
423.22
Apr
382.20
May
399.60
Jun
413.80
Jul
415.92
Aug
404.49
Sep
397.57
Oct
391.78
Nov
389.53
Dec
390.04
2028
434.90
-1.8%
-0.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
389.91
Feb
393.75
Mar
407.96
Apr
401.32
May
443.92
Jun
448.68
Jul
448.74
Aug
439.11
Sep
444.53
Oct
426.55
Nov
427.30
Dec
434.90
2029
487.58
+10.1%
+3.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
446.47
Feb
459.26
Mar
466.80
Apr
451.89
May
457.47
Jun
444.75
Jul
463.11
Aug
456.53
Sep
486.66
Oct
449.88
Nov
493.42
Dec
487.58
2030
495.90
+11.9%
+2.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
466.34
Feb
472.48
Mar
478.73
Apr
476.78
May
468.25
Jun
467.14
Jul
474.55
Aug
472.02
Sep
480.31
Oct
485.12
Nov
506.84
Dec
495.90
2031
435.07
-1.8%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
488.97
Feb
506.84
Mar
502.39
Apr
495.75
May
508.65
Jun
515.19
Jul
488.15
Aug
493.78
Sep
498.74
Oct
477.32
Nov
434.65
Dec
435.07
2032
475.25
+7.3%
+1.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
440.45
Feb
401.07
Mar
407.93
Apr
416.57
May
425.15
Jun
419.41
Jul
427.10
Aug
395.06
Sep
433.95
Oct
456.18
Nov
462.66
Dec
475.25
2033
542.62
+22.5%
+2.9%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
486.00
Feb
508.18
Mar
508.19
Apr
523.19
May
523.51
Jun
526.00
Jul
521.10
Aug
508.01
Sep
553.33
Oct
536.83
Nov
549.13
Dec
542.62
2034
396.25
-10.6%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
537.93
Feb
497.47
Mar
480.74
Apr
475.80
May
493.86
Jun
460.27
Jul
452.69
Aug
426.86
Sep
436.16
Oct
413.63
Nov
404.67
Dec
396.25
2035
387.23
-12.6%
-1.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
386.63
Feb
385.14
Mar
366.68
Apr
364.15
May
363.57
Jun
366.47
Jul
373.31
Aug
384.58
Sep
376.87
Oct
382.79
Nov
384.94
Dec
387.23
2036
344.11
-22.3%
-2.5%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
384.78
Feb
364.64
Mar
362.81
Apr
360.40
May
354.82
Jun
353.17
Jul
352.51
Aug
356.12
Sep
341.94
Oct
358.20
Nov
344.85
Dec
344.11
MSTC Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
3.28%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
59.4%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹17.88
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Will MSTC Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
MSTC Ltd median forecast is ₹400.63 on 2026-08-31, which is 9.56% lower than today’s price of ₹443.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹376.55 to ₹465.77. Forecast confidence is 72.9%, with probability-up estimate of 19.9%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of MSTC Ltd?
MSTC Ltd intrinsic value is ₹341.26, which is 22.97% below the current price of ₹443.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of MSTC Ltd in 2027?
MSTC Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹390.04 by year-end (range: ₹382.20 to ₹443.51), representing a -11.95% decrease from the current price of ₹443.00.
What is the share price target of MSTC Ltd in 2028?
MSTC Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹434.90 by year-end (range: ₹389.91 to ₹448.74), representing a -1.83% decrease from the current price of ₹443.00.
What is the share price target of MSTC Ltd in 2029?
MSTC Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹487.58 by year-end (range: ₹444.75 to ₹493.42), representing a 10.06% increase from the current price of ₹443.00.
Should I buy MSTC Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, MSTC Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹341.26 vs CMP ₹443.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for MSTC Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for MSTC Ltd is ₹15.81, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
MSTC Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for MSTC Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for MSTC Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for MSTC Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.