The next market-day median forecast for Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd (2026-06-26) is ₹724.29 which is 11.78% lower than today’s share price of ₹821.00 with a 10–90% range of ₹697.85–₹768.90. The estimate uses available price history, volatility, trend behaviour and intrinsic value gap.
Interactive Share Price Forecast
Choose tomorrow, day after, weekly, monthly or custom trading-day horizons and adjust assumptions to view possible price ranges.
Scenario controls
Uses trading-day intervals for short-term and long-term forecast views.
1 = next market day, 2 = day after, 21 ≈ one trading month.
Scenario adjusts assumptions for cautious, normal or optimistic market conditions.
Wider bands show more uncertainty; narrower bands show central outcomes.
Higher volatility widens the forecast range.
Higher influence gives more weight to intrinsic value in the forecast.
Target date--
Median forecast--
Expected return--
Selected range--
Chance of upside--
Confidence--
Horizon
Target date
Median forecast
Range
Return
Chance of upside
Forecast guide: Explore possible future price ranges using available price history, intrinsic value trend, volatility and valuation gap. Estimates update as fresh market and valuation data become available.
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd – Investor Insights
Valuation StatusiCompares the stock's intrinsic value (calculated from fundamentals like earnings, book value, and growth) with the current market price (CMP). Undervalued = potential buying opportunity. Overvalued = the market may be pricing in too much optimism.
Overvalued
Intrinsic ₹572.93 vs CMP ₹821.00 (-30.2%)
Market RegimeiShows whether the stock is in an uptrend (bullish) or downtrend (bearish) based on its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When price is above EMA → bullish momentum. Below EMA → bearish pressure. This affects how our model adjusts volatility and predictions.
● Neutral
Price/EMA: 0.988 · EMA(252): ₹830.79
VolatilityiMeasures how much the stock price swings. Low (<25%) = stable, predictable price movement. Moderate (25-40%) = normal for most stocks. High (>40%) = large daily swings, higher risk. The "recent trend" shows if volatility is currently increasing or decreasing compared to its historical average.
Trend MemoryiThe Hurst Exponent measures whether price movements tend to continue (trending) or reverse (mean-reverting). Above 0.55 = momentum persists, recent trends likely to continue. Below 0.45 = price tends to snap back after big moves. Around 0.5 = random walk, past moves don't predict future direction.
Random walk
Hurst exponent: 0.481
Projected CAGRiCompound Annual Growth Rate — the average yearly return if the stock reaches our projected price target. 5Y and 10Y show different time horizons. Higher CAGR = faster expected growth. Negative CAGR = the model projects the stock may decline from current levels.
-1%5Y-0.2%10Y
Historical drift: +0.4% annualized
Risk-Reward RatioiCompares your potential upside (to intrinsic value) against potential downside (to fundamental floor). Above 2x = favorable risk-reward, potential gain is at least double the potential loss. Below 1x = unfavorable, you risk losing more than you could gain. A negative value means the stock is already above intrinsic value.
-0.31x
Upside -30.2% vs downside 97.9% · Unfavourable
Margin of SafetyiA concept from value investing (Benjamin Graham). It measures how much cheaper the stock is compared to its intrinsic value. Positive margin = you're buying below fair value (safety cushion). Negative margin = you're paying more than the stock is fundamentally worth. Most value investors look for at least 15-25% margin of safety.
-43.3%
No margin
Forecast ConfidenceiShows how strongly the forecast is supported by available data, recent forecast behaviour and volatility. Higher confidence means the estimate has better historical support and lower uncertainty.
High (80.1%)
Chance of upside: 0.4% · Avg forecast error: 5.96% · 594 data points
Fundamental FlooriThe lowest price the stock is expected to reach under normal market conditions, based on book value and financial strength (ROE, ROCE, debt ratios). A very low floor relative to CMP means the company has limited tangible asset backing at current prices. In extreme market crashes, prices can temporarily breach this level.
₹17.56
(97.9% below CMP)
52-Week Range
iShows the stock's lowest and highest closing prices over the past year (~252 trading days). The marker shows where today's price sits within that range. Near the low = potential value opportunity or ongoing weakness. Near the high = momentum or possible overextension.
₹761.00
₹969.00
CMP: ₹821.0029% into range15.3% below 52W high
Monthly Return DistributioniBased on historical monthly returns (~21 trading days per month). Shows how many months the stock went up vs down, the best and worst single-month returns, and the win rate. A win rate above 55% with a positive average return indicates consistent performance. High best/worst spread = volatile returns.
Convergence TimelineiShows a possible timeline for the stock price to move closer to its intrinsic value. Milestones show estimated prices at 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% convergence. For overvalued stocks, convergence may indicate downside toward intrinsic value.
Target: ₹572.93 in ~5.0 years (2031)
Now ₹82125% ₹75950% ₹69775% ₹635Target ₹573
Gap: 30.2% downward · Assumed convergence period: 5.0 years
What this means: Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd appears overvalued by 30.2% relative to intrinsic value. The stock is in a neutral regime. Volatility is moderate (36.8% annualized).
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd Year-Wise Share Price Target (2027–2036)
Year
Projected Price (₹)
Growth %
CAGR
2027
820.47
-0.1%
-0.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
814.05
Feb
824.01
Mar
822.38
Apr
818.32
May
820.26
Jun
808.52
Jul
808.12
Aug
814.62
Sep
815.21
Oct
821.10
Nov
814.98
Dec
820.47
2028
799.39
-2.6%
-1.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
816.38
Feb
812.34
Mar
821.93
Apr
807.75
May
804.22
Jun
806.09
Jul
809.60
Aug
804.41
Sep
807.38
Oct
794.08
Nov
791.11
Dec
799.39
2029
795.33
-3.1%
-1.1%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
797.22
Feb
794.16
Mar
792.04
Apr
790.24
May
789.34
Jun
792.82
Jul
791.42
Aug
798.92
Sep
794.64
Oct
805.25
Nov
795.60
Dec
795.33
2030
777.30
-5.3%
-1.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
791.41
Feb
791.76
Mar
794.40
Apr
792.20
May
784.41
Jun
789.62
Jul
791.72
Aug
788.81
Sep
791.27
Oct
790.09
Nov
778.53
Dec
777.30
2031
779.96
-5.0%
-1.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
766.82
Feb
761.71
Mar
757.18
Apr
762.98
May
771.06
Jun
772.00
Jul
769.28
Aug
766.15
Sep
769.35
Oct
770.36
Nov
776.97
Dec
779.96
2032
802.52
-2.3%
-0.4%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
781.88
Feb
786.60
Mar
797.25
Apr
797.55
May
796.05
Jun
789.63
Jul
797.15
Aug
813.34
Sep
808.40
Oct
805.11
Nov
809.82
Dec
802.52
2033
802.89
-2.2%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
810.45
Feb
815.65
Mar
813.34
Apr
800.30
May
799.95
Jun
799.02
Jul
799.95
Aug
797.67
Sep
804.80
Oct
794.89
Nov
799.38
Dec
802.89
2034
801.39
-2.4%
-0.3%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
811.55
Feb
804.66
Mar
801.68
Apr
794.34
May
788.23
Jun
786.47
Jul
795.22
Aug
804.14
Sep
806.58
Oct
804.40
Nov
798.76
Dec
801.39
2035
822.04
+0.1%
+0.0%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
808.57
Feb
810.22
Mar
813.66
Apr
815.45
May
817.82
Jun
821.60
Jul
826.78
Aug
822.30
Sep
831.70
Oct
826.92
Nov
823.39
Dec
822.04
2036
804.31
-2.0%
-0.2%
Month
Projected Price (₹)
Jan
824.26
Feb
829.74
Mar
826.17
Apr
825.46
May
822.02
Jun
814.19
Jul
812.33
Aug
803.39
Sep
813.73
Oct
818.00
Nov
810.81
Dec
804.31
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd Stock Price Analysis
Avg Error (MAPE)iMean Absolute Percentage Error — the average difference between predicted and actual prices, expressed as a percentage. Lower is better. Below 2% = excellent, 2-5% = good, above 5% = the model struggles with this stock.
2.76%
Direction AccuracyiHow often the model correctly predicted whether the price would go up or down the next day. Above 55% = good (better than a coin flip). Above 60% = strong. This matters more than exact price accuracy for trading decisions.
65.3%
Avg Error (₹)iThe average rupee difference between predicted and actual closing prices. For a ₹100 stock, an error of ₹2 means predictions are typically off by about 2%. This gives you a sense of the prediction's precision in absolute terms.
₹22.99
PredictionsiTotal number of daily forecasts available for this stock. More observations improve the reliability of accuracy metrics and trend comparison.
Will Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd share price increase on the next market day?
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd median forecast is ₹724.29 on 2026-06-26, which is 11.78% lower than today’s price of ₹821.00. The 10-90% forecast range is ₹697.85 to ₹768.90. Forecast confidence is 80.1%, with probability-up estimate of 0.4%. This estimate uses Getaka’s price-history, valuation-gap and volatility framework.
What is the intrinsic value of Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd?
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd intrinsic value is ₹572.93, which is 30.22% below the current price of ₹821.00. This suggests the stock is currently overvalued.
What is the share price target of Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd in 2027?
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd share price target for 2027 is projected to reach ₹820.47 by year-end (range: ₹808.12 to ₹824.01), representing a -0.06% decrease from the current price of ₹821.00.
What is the share price target of Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd in 2028?
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd share price target for 2028 is projected to reach ₹799.39 by year-end (range: ₹791.11 to ₹821.93), representing a -2.63% decrease from the current price of ₹821.00.
What is the share price target of Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd in 2029?
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd share price target for 2029 is projected to reach ₹795.33 by year-end (range: ₹789.34 to ₹805.25), representing a -3.13% decrease from the current price of ₹821.00.
Should I buy Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd stock now?
Based on current analysis, Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd appears to be a consider reviewing your position candidate. Intrinsic value is ₹572.93 vs CMP ₹821.00. Use this as a research input and match it with your risk profile, investment horizon and portfolio plan.
What is the fundamental floor price for Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd?
The fundamental floor price for Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd is ₹17.56, calculated from book value and financial strength metrics (ROE, ROCE, debt-to-equity, interest coverage). This is the theoretical minimum price under normal market conditions.
Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd Share Price Prediction – How We Calculate the Targets
We calculate the share price targets for Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd using a combined approach of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend analysis. This hybrid model incorporates historical price data, memory effects through the Hurst exponent, and dynamic regime shifts based on the stock's trends. Below are the detailed steps of how these projections are calculated.
Step 1: Calculate the Log Returns
The log returns measure the relative change in stock prices over time. It is calculated as follows:
The Hurst exponent measures the "memory" or persistence of the stock price movement. It is calculated as follows:
\[ H = \frac{\log(R/S)}{\log(n)} \]
Step 6: Project Future Share Prices Using GFBM and EMA
The future price of the stock is projected using a combined model of Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion (GFBM) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for trend-based regime switching.
Step 7: Predicting Tomorrow's Stock Price for Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd
The next market-day price forecast uses price trend, volatility, valuation gap and regime adjustment. The displayed value is the median estimate, supported by a 10–90% uncertainty range.
Step 8: Projected Share Prices for the Next 10 Years
The projected share prices for the next 10 years are calculated using the combined GFBM and EMA model, taking into account historical growth, volatility, and market trends.
Conclusion
Our hybrid approach provides a realistic projection of share prices for Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd over the next 10 years by considering historical performance, volatility, market memory, and current trends.
The projected stock prices are informational estimates based on available data and assumptions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should consider risk profile, investment horizon, portfolio allocation and market risks before acting on any research output. Please read all relevant documents and terms carefully before investing.
