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Last Updated on: 18 December, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Technology X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Technology LinkedIn Logo
Stock Ticker - BSE: 500187 | NSE: AGI

AGI Greenpac Ltd: Share Price Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: December 17, 2024, 8:56 pm

Market Cap 7,808 Cr.
Current Price 1,204
High / Low 1,277/610
Stock P/E29.2
Book Value 295
Dividend Yield0.50 %
ROCE17.7 %
ROE14.5 %
Face Value 2.00
PEG Ratio1.25

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for AGI Greenpac Ltd

Competitors of AGI Greenpac Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Hindustan Tin Works Ltd 212 Cr. 204 249/13215.0 2010.59 %11.1 %8.65 % 10.0
HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd 169 Cr. 158 294/14744.5 49.40.00 %5.83 %0.30 % 10.0
Gujarat Containers Ltd 101 Cr. 178 200/14211.7 83.60.84 %22.7 %22.9 % 10.0
Goblin India Ltd 47.0 Cr. 34.0 82.4/29.212.1 31.80.00 %8.18 %6.90 % 10.0
G K P Printing & Packaging Ltd 18.5 Cr. 8.40 16.0/7.53 9.980.00 %5.50 %7.89 % 10.0
Industry Average2,029.37N/A27.67N/AN/A11.9429.57N/A

All Competitor Stocks of AGI Greenpac Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthJun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024
Sales416309396432522512567680558615622625566
Expenses355252318360431427458503427481472477430
Operating Profit615778729085110177132134150148136
OPM %15%18%20%17%17%17%19%26%24%22%24%24%24%
Other Income417211122332853810
Interest1677881113251823212520
Depreciation32202827293030383741424242
Profit before tax1747461475547691468574918984
Tax %34%35%37%13%-19%28%23%25%26%25%26%28%25%
Net Profit1130281286634531096356676563
EPS in Rs1.744.704.4119.7210.175.258.2116.829.818.6810.379.989.77

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024TTM
Sales1,5381,7081,8171,9592,0722,2501,6051,8591,2601,4302,2812,4212,429
Expenses1,2781,4401,4761,6351,7791,9771,4311,5889941,1651,8201,8571,860
Operating Profit260268342324292273174271266265462564569
OPM %17%16%19%17%14%12%11%15%21%19%20%23%23%
Other Income283413133920-13119392426
Interest64687441335659733328578789
Depreciation851061191141111141311439599126161166
Profit before tax139981521821501062275126256317340339
Tax %29%42%32%36%31%29%32%35%30%24%17%26%
Net Profit995610411610375154888193262251251
EPS in Rs15.028.5214.4116.0814.2510.342.116.7013.6129.8840.4438.8538.80
Dividend Payout %20%35%24%25%28%39%142%45%29%17%12%15%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2013-20142014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-2024
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-43.43%85.71%11.54%-11.21%-27.18%-80.00%220.00%83.33%119.32%35.75%-4.20%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%129.15%-74.18%-22.75%-15.98%-52.82%300.00%-136.67%35.98%-83.57%-39.95%

AGI Greenpac Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2013-2014 to 2023-2024.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:4%
5 Years:9%
3 Years:24%
TTM:0%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:16%
5 Years:83%
3 Years:42%
TTM:-1%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:27%
5 Years:93%
3 Years:79%
1 Year:39%
Return on Equity
10 Years:9%
5 Years:12%
3 Years:16%
Last Year:15%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: November 14, 2024, 5:57 pm

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Sep 2024
Equity Capital13131414141414141313131313
Reserves1,0761,1081,4211,3731,4361,4751,2421,2421,2211,3791,5941,8021,898
Borrowings9991,0987516229111,2308759958981,163732616603
Other Liabilities458485495644726756707616725724781926862
Total Liabilities2,5472,7052,6822,6543,0883,4752,8382,8682,8563,2793,1193,3573,375
Fixed Assets1,3831,4871,5601,5141,5231,6811,8421,8201,8311,5291,8621,9702,063
CWIP62119346315220911733313041425230
Investments19713314433140352012112111290
Other Assets9059669441,0451,2731,5508591,0049831,4261,1051,3051,282
Total Assets2,5472,7052,6822,6543,0883,4752,8382,8682,8563,2793,1193,3573,375

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity +2218426631020558250107349181523588
Cash from Investing Activity +-94-208-96-69-328-186-285-115-108-348222-352
Cash from Financing Activity +774-205-245248224-63-2-262203-554-235
Net Cash Flow5-21-35-412496-97-11-21361902

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Free Cash Flow-739.00267.00-409.00-298.00-619.00272.00-701.00-724.00-632.00264.00-270.00-52.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days838882727083745892785548
Inventory Days305254241239224232174216415279157196
Days Payable1118671758989111103219201124198
Cash Conversion Cycle2772562522362042261361702881568746
Working Capital Days837064747310450861222234124
ROCE %9%8%10%11%9%7%3%7%8%9%15%18%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthDec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024
Promoters60.24%60.24%60.24%60.23%60.23%60.23%60.23%60.23%60.23%60.23%60.23%60.23%
FIIs7.24%9.28%7.82%7.41%6.63%6.02%6.42%6.68%7.60%7.42%7.14%7.20%
DIIs2.64%2.45%2.38%2.38%2.18%2.00%3.11%2.71%1.34%1.19%1.22%1.31%
Government0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%
Public29.88%28.03%29.56%29.96%30.95%31.73%30.23%30.36%30.82%31.16%31.39%31.24%
No. of Shareholders40,75437,38738,57040,43445,02044,90745,95748,38761,77967,34360,45952,183

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

This stock is not held by any mutual fund

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 19Mar 18Mar 17Mar 16Mar 15
FaceValue2.002.002.002.002.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)9.6910.2513.8715.0112.88
Diluted EPS (Rs.)9.6910.2513.8715.0112.88
Cash EPS (Rs.)30.5726.0329.2130.8529.11
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)209.25205.74200.08191.77183.00
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)209.25205.74200.08191.77183.00
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)375.16311.59286.98273.69273.95
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)47.8438.9440.2945.6446.49
PBIT / Share (Rs.)26.9523.1624.9529.7929.19
PBT / Share (Rs.)14.8314.5420.3224.0918.47
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)9.6910.2513.8715.0111.82
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.)9.6910.2513.8715.0111.82
PBDIT Margin (%)12.7512.4914.0316.6716.96
PBIT Margin (%)7.187.438.6910.8810.65
PBT Margin (%)3.954.667.088.806.74
Net Profit Margin (%)2.583.284.835.484.31
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%)2.583.284.835.484.31
Return on Networth / Equity (%)4.634.986.937.826.45
Return on Capital Employeed (%)7.667.328.8511.7611.66
Return On Assets (%)1.962.133.254.083.24
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.490.350.210.150.27
Total Debt / Equity (X)0.760.770.560.360.43
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)0.770.680.720.730.69
Current Ratio (X)1.331.201.151.151.17
Quick Ratio (X)0.770.720.680.550.59
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)1.090.790.750.790.79
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%)49.7746.9734.700.0029.63
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%)15.7718.4916.480.0012.03
Earning Retention Ratio (%)50.2353.0365.300.0070.37
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%)84.2381.5183.520.0087.97
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)3.955.058.708.004.34
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)1.802.454.003.632.10
Enterprise Value (Cr.)2903.753603.253210.412492.123786.40
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)1.071.601.551.261.91
EV / EBITDA (X)8.4012.8011.027.5511.27
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.661.191.221.021.63
Retention Ratios (%)50.2253.0265.290.0070.36
Price / BV (X)1.191.801.751.452.45
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.661.191.221.021.63
EarningsYield0.030.020.030.050.02

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of AGI Greenpac Ltd as of December 18, 2024 is: 1,255.28

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of December 18, 2024, AGI Greenpac Ltd is Undervalued by 4.26% compared to the current share price 1,204.00

Intrinsic Value of AGI Greenpac Ltd as of December 18, 2024 is: 1,547.87

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of December 18, 2024, AGI Greenpac Ltd is Undervalued by 28.56% compared to the current share price 1,204.00

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: 23.31%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The company has higher reserves (1,405.15 cr) compared to borrowings (884.08 cr), indicating strong financial stability.
  2. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (1.38 cr) and profit (177.08 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a low average ROCE of 9.50%, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 84.50, which may not be favorable.
  3. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 194.50, which may not be favorable.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in AGI Greenpac Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 2.58%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 7.66% (Industry Average ROCE: 11.94%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 4.63% (Industry Average ROE: 29.57%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 1.8
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 0.77
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 29.2 (Industry average Stock P/E: 27.67)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.76
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

AGI Greenpac Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 08/02/1960 and has its registered office in the State of West Bengal, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L51433WB1960PLC024539 and registration number is 024539. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Manufacture of plastic articles for the packing of goods (plastic bags, sacks, containers, boxes, cases, carboys, bottles etc.). Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 1430.43 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 12.94 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
Packaging & Containers2, Red Cross Place, Kolkata West Bengal 700001hsilinvestors@hsilgroup.com
http://www.agigreenpac.com
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Sandip SomanyChairman & Managing Director
Mrs. Sumita SomanyNon Exe.Non Ind.Director
Mr. G L SultaniaNon Exe.Non Ind.Director
Mr. Rakesh SarinIndependent Director
Mr. N G KhaitanIndependent Director
Ms. Himalyani GuptaIndependent Director
Mr. Anil WadhwaIndependent Director
Mr. V K BhandariIndependent Director

FAQ

What is the latest intrinsic value of AGI Greenpac Ltd?

The latest intrinsic value of AGI Greenpac Ltd as on 18 December 2024 is ₹1255.28, which is 4.26% higher than the current market price of ₹1,204.00. The stock has a market capitalization of 7,808 Cr. and recorded a high/low of ₹1,277/610 during the current fiscal year 2024-2025. As of Sep 2024, the company has reserves of ₹1,898 Cr and total liabilities of ₹3,375 Cr.

What is the Market Cap of AGI Greenpac Ltd?

The Market Cap of AGI Greenpac Ltd is 7,808 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of AGI Greenpac Ltd as on 18 December 2024?

The current stock price of AGI Greenpac Ltd as on 18 December 2024 is 1,204.

What is the High / Low of AGI Greenpac Ltd stocks in FY 2024-2025?

In FY 2024-2025, the High / Low of AGI Greenpac Ltd stocks is 1,277/610.

What is the Stock P/E of AGI Greenpac Ltd?

The Stock P/E of AGI Greenpac Ltd is 29.2.

What is the Book Value of AGI Greenpac Ltd?

The Book Value of AGI Greenpac Ltd is 295.

What is the Dividend Yield of AGI Greenpac Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of AGI Greenpac Ltd is 0.50 %.

What is the ROCE of AGI Greenpac Ltd?

The ROCE of AGI Greenpac Ltd is 17.7 %.

What is the ROE of AGI Greenpac Ltd?

The ROE of AGI Greenpac Ltd is 14.5 %.

What is the Face Value of AGI Greenpac Ltd?

The Face Value of AGI Greenpac Ltd is 2.00.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in AGI Greenpac Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE