Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
post
Last Updated on: 27 December, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Technology X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Technology LinkedIn Logo

Ganga Forging Ltd: Fundamental Analysis, Share Price Insights & Intrinsic Value (2024)

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: December 24, 2024, 8:42 pm

Market Cap 99.1 Cr.
Current Price 7.35
High / Low 17.5/6.15
Stock P/E127
Book Value 2.38
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE4.61 %
ROE1.92 %
Face Value 1.00
PEG Ratio19.54

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Ganga Forging Ltd

Competitors of Ganga Forging Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Happy Forgings Ltd 9,364 Cr. 995 1,300/81336.2 1820.40 %22.7 %18.7 % 2.00
EL Forge Ltd 66.4 Cr. 32.7 44.4/9.2426.9 11.60.00 %%% 10.0
CIE Automotive India Ltd 17,864 Cr. 470 628/40121.8 1631.06 %18.3 %20.3 % 10.0
Amforge Industries Ltd 16.0 Cr. 11.1 15.5/9.07 8.930.00 %3.55 %3.17 % 2.00
Tirupati Forge Ltd 669 Cr. 64.5 72.9/14.072.7 5.320.00 %18.3 %15.0 % 2.00
Industry Average12,230.67 Cr364.64144.58126.710.26%11.50%13.42%5.86

All Competitor Stocks of Ganga Forging Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthDec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023
Sales6.007.385.317.748.127.497.639.218.138.449.868.578.55
Expenses5.557.324.877.157.186.917.298.797.597.759.348.037.91
Operating Profit0.450.060.440.590.940.580.340.420.540.690.520.540.64
OPM %7.50%0.81%8.29%7.62%11.58%7.74%4.46%4.56%6.64%8.18%5.27%6.30%7.49%
Other Income0.000.290.270.740.02-0.020.000.090.000.350.000.030.01
Interest0.280.230.110.210.110.270.100.230.220.260.160.180.22
Depreciation0.220.220.220.220.220.220.220.220.220.210.220.220.22
Profit before tax-0.05-0.100.380.900.630.070.020.060.100.570.140.170.21
Tax %-40.00%250.00%2.63%1.11%-6.35%1,371.43%150.00%-50.00%40.00%-142.11%14.29%-29.41%-9.52%
Net Profit-0.070.150.370.890.66-0.89-0.010.090.071.370.120.220.23
EPS in Rs-0.010.010.030.080.06-0.08-0.000.010.010.130.010.020.02

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2011Mar 2012Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023TTM
Sales8.9817.3624.8727.8823.6422.9828.8333.4135.00
Expenses8.1516.2222.9025.5324.3921.2826.2831.4132.71
Operating Profit0.831.141.972.35-0.751.702.552.002.29
OPM %9.24%6.57%7.92%8.43%-3.17%7.40%8.84%5.99%6.54%
Other Income0.010.020.030.170.100.101.260.570.38
Interest0.330.460.791.121.270.790.950.810.82
Depreciation0.300.410.500.740.880.870.880.880.87
Profit before tax0.210.290.710.66-2.800.141.980.880.98
Tax %42.86%72.41%35.21%21.21%24.64%-85.71%47.47%-88.64%
Net Profit0.110.090.460.52-2.120.251.031.661.78
EPS in Rs2.201.800.060.05-0.200.020.100.160.17
Dividend Payout %0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2011-20122018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-2023
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-18.18%13.04%-507.69%111.79%312.00%61.17%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%31.23%-520.74%619.48%200.21%-250.83%

Ganga Forging Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 6 years from 2011-2012 to 2022-2023.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:6%
3 Years:17%
TTM:11%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:0%
3 Years:14%
TTM:-46%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:%
5 Years:41%
3 Years:-31%
1 Year:10%
Return on Equity
10 Years:%
5 Years:1%
3 Years:5%
Last Year:2%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: December 14, 2024, 3:37 pm

MonthMar 2011Mar 2012Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Sep 2024
Equity Capital0.350.355.577.957.9510.6010.6010.6013.4213.48
Reserves0.870.963.026.174.050.121.052.7417.9918.62
Borrowings4.372.847.8312.6711.5710.5411.6714.309.989.17
Other Liabilities2.705.428.758.479.489.697.737.084.928.70
Total Liabilities8.299.5725.1735.2633.0530.9531.0534.7246.3149.97
Fixed Assets1.951.899.3415.6815.0514.5513.9015.5516.4816.45
CWIP-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.000.36-0.002.210.75-0.000.01
Investments-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.00
Other Assets6.347.6815.8319.5817.6416.4014.9418.4229.8333.51
Total Assets8.299.5725.1735.2633.0530.9531.0534.7246.3149.97

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2011Mar 2012Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity +0.000.00-1.832.351.981.33-1.09-10.64
Cash from Investing Activity +0.000.00-6.91-0.60-0.03-1.69-0.56-1.16
Cash from Financing Activity +0.000.008.81-1.76-1.830.191.8112.47
Net Cash Flow0.000.000.07-0.020.12-0.170.170.68

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2011Mar 2012Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023
Free Cash Flow-3.54-1.70-5.86-10.32-12.32-8.84-9.12-12.30

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2011Mar 2012Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days144.2997.14119.32119.79135.56114.8461.0262.3883.08
Inventory Days155.4687.56132.52204.65181.30182.42244.86
Days Payable151.16159.41162.53183.9282.4375.7129.39
Cash Conversion Cycle148.5925.2989.31119.79135.56135.56159.89169.09298.55
Working Capital Days125.6039.5373.38127.51103.45113.88116.10134.92252.19
ROCE %15.40%7.50%-6.08%4.33%9.78%4.67%4.81%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthDec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024
Promoters67.63%67.63%67.63%67.63%59.53%59.53%59.53%59.35%43.52%40.82%40.63%40.11%
FIIs0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.00%0.00%
DIIs0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.11%0.00%
Public32.37%32.37%32.37%32.37%40.47%40.47%40.47%40.65%56.48%59.14%59.26%59.89%
No. of Shareholders9,39027,63430,28928,79229,34528,31929,38126,69634,38447,33546,32846,600

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

This stock is not held by any mutual fund

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21Mar 20
FaceValue1.001.001.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)0.040.160.100.10-2.66
Diluted EPS (Rs.)0.030.160.100.10-2.66
Cash EPS (Rs.)0.100.230.180.92-1.55
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)2.341.261.1011.4215.10
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)2.341.261.1011.4215.10
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)2.773.152.7021.6929.77
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)0.190.190.281.74-0.82
PBIT / Share (Rs.)0.110.110.200.91-1.93
PBT / Share (Rs.)0.050.080.180.16-3.52
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)0.030.150.090.10-2.66
PBDIT Margin (%)6.966.1910.658.00-2.76
PBIT Margin (%)4.283.567.584.20-6.48
PBT Margin (%)2.022.636.880.75-11.84
Net Profit Margin (%)1.194.953.600.46-8.94
Return on Networth / Equity (%)1.4112.428.870.88-17.63
Return on Capital Employeed (%)4.696.2411.585.92-9.49
Return On Assets (%)0.954.773.330.34-6.40
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.020.320.410.340.34
Total Debt / Equity (X)0.311.071.000.750.93
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)0.911.020.920.710.69
Current Ratio (X)2.411.161.191.050.98
Quick Ratio (X)1.100.440.450.520.54
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)1.952.312.381.932.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)3.042.563.232.32-0.51
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)1.512.431.301.14-0.66
Enterprise Value (Cr.)125.8746.4493.2554.4920.29
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)3.381.393.252.370.85
EV / EBITDA (X)48.6022.4530.5329.60-31.04
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)3.140.962.851.980.38
Price / BV (X)3.722.427.003.760.76
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)3.140.962.851.980.38
EarningsYield0.000.050.010.00-0.23

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Ganga Forging Ltd as of December 27, 2024 is: 5.92

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of December 27, 2024, Ganga Forging Ltd is Overvalued by 19.46% compared to the current share price 7.35

Intrinsic Value of Ganga Forging Ltd as of December 27, 2024 is: 6.30

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of December 27, 2024, Ganga Forging Ltd is Overvalued by 14.29% compared to the current share price 7.35

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: 6.50%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (24.77 cr) and profit (0.34 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a low average ROCE of 4.49%, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 120.73, which may not be favorable.
  3. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 142.40, which may not be favorable.
  4. The company has higher borrowings (9.49) compared to reserves (5.56), which may suggest financial risk.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Ganga Forging Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 1.19%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 4.69% (Industry Average ROCE: 9.86%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 1.41% (Industry Average ROE: 11.5%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 1.51
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 1.1
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 127 (Industry average Stock P/E: 113.6)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.31
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Ganga Forging Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 29/12/1988 and has its registered office in the State of Gujarat, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L28910GJ1988PLC011694 and registration number is 011694. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Forging, pressing, stamping and roll-forming of metal; powder metallurgy. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 28.66 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 10.60 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
ForgingsSr. No 55/1 P6/P1/P1, Near Shree Stamping, Rajkot Dist. Gujarat 360311info@gangaforging.com
http://www.gangaforging.com
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Hiralal TilvaChairman & Managing Director
Mr. Rakesh PatelManaging Director
Mrs. Parul PatelWhole Time Director
Mrs. Sheetal ChaniaraWhole Time Director
Mr. Nishith TrivediInd. Non-Executive Director
Mr. Jasubhai PatelInd. Non-Executive Director
Mr. Sagarkumar GovaniInd. Non-Executive Director
Mr. Nayankumar VirpariaInd. Non-Executive Director
Mr. Ramesh DhinganiInd. Non-Executive Director

FAQ

What is the latest intrinsic value of Ganga Forging Ltd?

The latest intrinsic value of Ganga Forging Ltd as on 27 December 2024 is ₹5.92, which is 19.46% lower than the current market price of ₹7.35. The stock has a market capitalization of 99.1 Cr. and recorded a high/low of 17.5/6.15 during the current fiscal year 2024-2025. As of Sep 2024, the company has reserves of ₹18.62 Cr and total liabilities of ₹49.97 Cr.

What is the Market Cap of Ganga Forging Ltd?

The Market Cap of Ganga Forging Ltd is 99.1 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Ganga Forging Ltd as on 27 December 2024?

The current stock price of Ganga Forging Ltd as on 27 December 2024 is 7.35.

What is the High / Low of Ganga Forging Ltd stocks in FY 2024-2025?

In FY 2024-2025, the High / Low of Ganga Forging Ltd stocks is 17.5/6.15.

What is the Stock P/E of Ganga Forging Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Ganga Forging Ltd is 127.

What is the Book Value of Ganga Forging Ltd?

The Book Value of Ganga Forging Ltd is 2.38.

What is the Dividend Yield of Ganga Forging Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Ganga Forging Ltd is 0.00 %.

What is the ROCE of Ganga Forging Ltd?

The ROCE of Ganga Forging Ltd is 4.61 %.

What is the ROE of Ganga Forging Ltd?

The ROE of Ganga Forging Ltd is 1.92 %.

What is the Face Value of Ganga Forging Ltd?

The Face Value of Ganga Forging Ltd is 1.00.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Ganga Forging Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE