Tirupati Forge Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹76.32Fairly Valued by 4.48%vs CMP ₹79.90

P/E (170.0) × ROE (5.2%) × BV (₹10.50) × DY (2.00%)

₹21.67Overvalued by 72.88%vs CMP ₹79.90
MoS: -268.7% (Negative)Confidence: 63/100 (Moderate)Models: 1 Fair, 8 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹72.8823%Fair (-8.8%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹10.8716%Over (-86.4%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹1.9011%Over (-97.6%)
DCFCash Flow₹1.3714%Over (-98.3%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹10.237%Over (-87.2%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹11.389%Over (-85.8%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹5.007%Over (-93.7%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹4.307%Over (-94.6%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹8.845%Over (-88.9%)
Consensus (9 models)₹21.67100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: P/E of 170 makes PE-ROE unreliable — asset/earnings models are better benchmarks. | Wide model spread (₹1–₹73) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: -4.5%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 24 September 2026, 10:21 pm +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Dec 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

Tirupati Forge Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹21.67, compared with a stored share price of ₹79.90. The model value is 72.9% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹115.00 Cr, versus ₹110.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (4.5% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹8.00 Cr, versus ₹7.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (14.3% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹6.00 Cr against net profit of ₹8.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.75 times reported profit. The gap warrants checking receivables, working capital and one-off items in the cash-flow statement.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹42.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

61
Tirupati Forge Ltd scores 61/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health62/100 · Moderate
ROCE 7.5% WeakROE 5.2% WeakD/E 0.16 Low debtInterest Coverage 10.1x StrongProfitable 4/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money60/100 · Moderate
FII holding up 0.74% (6mo) Slight increasePromoter holding at 49.4% Stable
Earnings Quality75/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 0.88x Cash-backed earningsOPM stable around 13% Steady
Quarterly Momentum60/100 · Moderate
Revenue (4Q): +23% YoY AcceleratingProfit (4Q): -28% YoY Declining
Industry Rank40/100 · Moderate
P/E 170.0 vs industry 86.9 Premium to peersROCE 7.5% vs industry 9.4% Average3Y sales CAGR: 9% Moderate

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 24, 2026, 10:21 pm

Market Cap 1,039 Cr.
Current Price 79.9
Intrinsic Value₹21.67
High / Low 83.9/30.1
Stock P/E170
Book Value 10.5
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE7.53 %
ROE5.24 %
Face Value 2.00
PEG Ratio-37.64

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Tirupati Forge Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name ⇩Market Cap ⇩Current Price ⇩High / Low ⇩Stock P/E ⇩Book Value ⇩Dividend Yield ⇩ROCE ⇩ROE ⇩Face Value ⇩
Tirupati Forge Ltd 1,039 Cr. 79.9 83.9/30.1170 10.50.00 %7.53 %5.24 % 2.00
Kalyani Forge Ltd 341 Cr. 937 1,193/50427.5 2630.43 %12.2 %10.1 % 10.0
LGB Forge Ltd 125 Cr. 5.25 11.8/4.71 0.680.00 %2.12 %12.7 % 1.00
Amic Forging Ltd 2,818 Cr. 2,440 2,505/1,06592.4 1980.00 %25.2 %18.1 % 10.0
MM Forgings Ltd (MMFL) 2,958 Cr. 613 690/27623.3 2140.65 %9.47 %11.5 % 10.0
Industry Average16,924.78 Cr625.3586.88163.630.24%9.42%9.09%6.13

All Competitor Stocks of Tirupati Forge Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales 16.7823.3920.8823.6532.3633.1129.0632.2826.1427.5032.3039.6748.60
Expenses 14.6019.8718.4820.7228.3929.6224.3827.4523.5524.4028.6236.4443.51
Operating Profit 2.183.522.402.933.973.494.684.832.593.103.683.235.09
OPM % 12.99%15.05%11.49%12.39%12.27%10.54%16.10%14.96%9.91%11.27%11.39%8.14%10.47%
Other Income 0.240.330.110.250.140.420.190.300.400.430.621.060.66
Interest 0.360.220.270.260.410.390.380.510.310.440.730.650.87
Depreciation 0.650.780.700.860.910.971.031.020.941.391.671.802.14
Profit before tax 1.412.851.542.062.792.553.463.601.741.701.901.842.74
Tax % 27.66%25.26%25.97%25.73%26.16%24.31%24.86%26.39%25.29%24.12%25.79%27.17%26.28%
Net Profit 1.022.141.141.532.051.922.602.641.311.301.411.342.02
EPS in Rs 0.100.220.120.160.210.190.250.250.130.110.120.110.16

Last Updated: March 3, 2026, 2:10 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 26, 2026, 5:16 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 7301816214228318892110115148
Expenses 628161418352528787797100133
Operating Profit 132237231115131515
OPM % 9%9%9%12%15%17%9%9%12%16%12%13%10%
Other Income 0000000012113
Interest 0110001011123
Depreciation 0111112223347
Profit before tax 010126018139118
Tax % 26%32%30%28%28%27%27%26%25%26%25%
Net Profit -0100240069786
EPS in Rs -0.010.620.150.440.190.510.030.040.630.960.640.660.50
Dividend Payout % 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%0%0%0%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2015-20162018-20192019-20202022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-100.00%100.00%-100.00%50.00%-22.22%14.29%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%200.00%-200.00%150.00%-72.22%36.51%

Tirupati Forge Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 6 years from 2015-2016 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:14%
5 Years:33%
3 Years:9%
TTM:0%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:27%
5 Years:95%
3 Years:8%
TTM:-18%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:%
5 Years:64%
3 Years:41%
1 Year:44%
Return on Equity
10 Years:16%
5 Years:15%
3 Years:15%
Last Year:10%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 1:46 pm

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: July 24, 2026, 4:30 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 0.790.790.796610112020212425
Reserves 112598107172983108
Borrowings 65405581110132642
Other Liabilities 6232335155111329
Total Liabilities 14101013222534525174146204
Fixed Assets 55541013141415193757
CWIP 00000000081867
Investments 000000000000
Other Assets 95681212203836479080
Total Assets 14101013222534525174146204

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 332-123-31510616
Cash from Investing Activity + -1-1-1-1-7-5-3-3-3-15-38-75
Cash from Financing Activity + -2-2-224252-296132
Net Cash Flow -00-00-01-11-1429-27
Free Cash Flow 222-2-5-1-6-21-4-33-60
CFO/OP 100%173%128%-18%49%177%-110%23%58%97%57%112%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow2.002.002.00-2.00-5.00-1.00-6.00-2.001.00-4.00-33.00-60.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 563725444945365266645355
Inventory Days 150688010412370134229147143162127
Days Payable 10392441073223569299306054
Cash Conversion Cycle 10312624114093115189114178155127
Working Capital Days 159346897617395568669106
ROCE %9%21%12%16%27%41%4%4%28%32%18%12%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthDec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026Jul 2026
Promoters 57.69%57.69%55.76%55.76%55.76%48.88%49.31%48.10%48.93%49.01%49.75%49.42%
FIIs 0.00%0.00%0.00%0.03%0.03%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.78%0.45%0.76%
Public 42.31%42.31%44.23%44.21%44.20%51.10%50.67%51.88%51.04%50.21%49.80%49.82%
No. of Shareholders 42,47850,84164,86969,77669,70468,88966,42763,91562,74359,42257,51259,423

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Tirupati Forge Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

This stock is not held by any mutual fund.

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 2.002.002.002.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 0.740.670.960.640.36
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 0.730.670.960.640.35
Cash EPS (Rs.) 1.030.971.240.882.10
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 9.054.813.702.7418.54
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 9.054.813.702.7418.54
Dividend / Share (Rs.) 0.000.000.000.020.00
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 9.7210.619.399.0027.47
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 1.401.321.671.192.57
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 1.030.981.400.940.81
PBT / Share (Rs.) 0.880.861.290.850.48
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 0.660.640.960.630.35
PBDIT Margin (%) 14.3712.4517.8213.219.35
PBIT Margin (%) 10.579.3114.8810.452.98
PBT Margin (%) 9.148.1213.729.461.76
Net Profit Margin (%) 6.836.0310.247.051.28
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 7.3313.3026.0123.211.89
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 9.8319.1435.5429.753.83
Return On Assets (%) 5.388.9318.3811.861.16
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.080.040.050.120.14
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.160.220.250.360.33
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 1.041.751.772.051.04
Current Ratio (X) 3.992.222.711.671.83
Quick Ratio (X) 2.951.141.460.960.75
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 5.063.413.054.022.45
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 0.000.000.001.790.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 0.000.000.001.290.00
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 0.000.000.0098.210.00
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 0.000.000.0098.710.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 10.0510.4415.3013.317.72
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 5.776.069.798.102.06
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 363.99174.0298.26113.3035.84
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 3.171.581.071.281.16
EV / EBITDA (X) 22.0212.705.999.7212.44
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 3.301.520.961.180.94
Retention Ratios (%) 0.000.000.0098.200.00
Price / BV (X) 3.543.352.463.891.40
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 3.301.520.961.180.94
EarningsYield 0.020.030.100.050.01

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Tirupati Forge Ltd and is it undervalued?

Tirupati Forge Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹21.67, compared with a stored share price of ₹79.90. The model value is 72.9% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for Tirupati Forge Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹79.90. Price-data record updated: 24 September 2026, 10:21 pm +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 83.9/30.1; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have Tirupati Forge Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹115.00 Cr, versus ₹110.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (4.5% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹8.00 Cr, versus ₹7.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (14.3% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does Tirupati Forge Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹6.00 Cr against net profit of ₹8.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.75 times reported profit. The gap warrants checking receivables, working capital and one-off items in the cash-flow statement.

What should I check in Tirupati Forge Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹42.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare Tirupati Forge Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 170.00. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change Tirupati Forge Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Tirupati Forge Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE