Goblin India Ltd: Share Price Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: December 17, 2024, 8:19 pm

Market Cap	47.0 Cr.
Current Price	34.0
High / Low	82.4/29.2
Stock P/E	12.1
Book Value	31.8
Dividend Yield	0.00 %
ROCE	8.18 %
ROE	6.90 %
Face Value	10.0
PEG Ratio	-0.80

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

Stock P/E Current Price Intrinsic Value

View Share Price Target for Goblin India Ltd

Competitors of Goblin India Ltd

Stock Name	Market Cap	Current Price	High / Low	Stock P/E	Book Value	Dividend Yield	ROCE	ROE	Face Value
Hindustan Tin Works Ltd	212 Cr.	204	249/132	15.0	201	0.59 %	11.1 %	8.65 %	10.0
HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd	169 Cr.	158	294/147	44.5	49.4	0.00 %	5.83 %	0.30 %	10.0
Gujarat Containers Ltd	101 Cr.	178	200/142	11.7	83.6	0.84 %	22.7 %	22.9 %	10.0
Goblin India Ltd	47.0 Cr.	34.0	82.4/29.2	12.1	31.8	0.00 %	8.18 %	6.90 %	10.0
G K P Printing & Packaging Ltd	18.5 Cr.	8.40	16.0/7.53		9.98	0.00 %	5.50 %	7.89 %	10.0
Industry Average	2,933.94 Cr	444.41		38.91	166.57	0.24%	12.21%	33.26%	7.36

All Competitor Stocks of Goblin India Ltd

Quarterly Result

Month	Sep 2019	Mar 2020	Sep 2020	Mar 2021	Sep 2021	Mar 2022	Sep 2022	Mar 2023	Sep 2023	Mar 2024	Sep 2024
Sales	27.99	42.79	16.49	22.92	7.51	11.26	17.75	18.50	22.02	22.41	24.95
Expenses	25.82	37.82	17.25	21.29	7.14	13.03	17.94	17.10	20.40	20.28	21.60
Operating Profit	2.17	4.97	-0.76	1.63	0.37	-1.77	-0.19	1.40	1.62	2.13	3.35
OPM %	7.75%	11.61%	-4.61%	7.11%	4.93%	-15.72%	-1.07%	7.57%	7.36%	9.50%	13.43%
Other Income	0.00	0.15	0.01	0.01	0.14	2.03	1.66	2.28	1.27	0.61	1.36
Interest	0.78	1.18	0.84	1.59	0.88	1.15	1.41	1.55	1.33	1.28	1.17
Depreciation	0.15	0.22	0.21	0.21	0.15	0.13	0.08	0.31	0.33	0.37	0.32
Profit before tax	1.24	3.72	-1.80	-0.16	-0.52	-1.02	-0.02	1.82	1.23	1.09	3.22
Tax %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-18.75%	0.00%	5.88%	0.00%	6.04%	0.00%	-14.68%	0.00%
Net Profit	1.24	3.71	-1.80	-0.13	-0.51	-1.08	-0.02	1.71	1.22	1.25	3.22
EPS in Rs	1.65	3.55	-1.72	-0.12	-0.49	-1.03	-0.02	1.32	0.88	0.90	2.33

Last Updated: November 6, 2024, 6:38 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: September 23, 2024, 2:22 pm

Month	Mar 2017	Mar 2018	Mar 2019	Mar 2020	Mar 2021	Mar 2022	Mar 2023	Mar 2024
Sales	52.33	60.71	68.28	70.77	39.41	18.77	36.25	44.43
Expenses	49.78	55.18	61.49	63.63	38.54	20.17	35.03	40.67
Operating Profit	2.55	5.53	6.79	7.14	0.87	-1.40	1.22	3.76
OPM %	4.87%	9.11%	9.94%	10.09%	2.21%	-7.46%	3.37%	8.46%
Other Income	0.05	0.20	0.14	0.15	0.02	2.17	3.93	1.88
Interest	1.61	1.79	2.44	1.96	2.43	2.03	2.96	2.62
Depreciation	0.18	0.18	0.30	0.37	0.42	0.28	0.39	0.71
Profit before tax	0.81	3.76	4.19	4.96	-1.96	-1.54	1.80	2.31
Tax %	20.99%	17.55%	17.66%	14.52%	-1.53%	3.90%	6.11%	-6.93%
Net Profit	0.63	3.09	3.45	4.24	-1.93	-1.60	1.69	2.48
EPS in Rs	9.28	45.53	50.84	4.06	-1.85	-1.53	1.31	1.79
Dividend Payout %	0.00%	0.55%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year	2017-2018	2018-2019	2019-2020	2020-2021	2021-2022	2022-2023	2023-2024
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)	390.48%	11.65%	22.90%	-145.52%	17.10%	205.62%	46.75%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)	0.00%	-378.83%	11.25%	-168.42%	162.62%	188.53%	-158.88%

Goblin India Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 7 years from 2017-2018 to 2023-2024.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:	%
5 Years:	-8%
3 Years:	4%
TTM:	17%

Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:	%
5 Years:	-6%
3 Years:	49%
TTM:	54%

Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:	%
5 Years:	-19%
3 Years:	19%
1 Year:	-40%

Return on Equity
10 Years:	%
5 Years:	2%
3 Years:	1%
Last Year:	7%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: November 14, 2024, 2:38 pm

Month	Mar 2017	Mar 2018	Mar 2019	Mar 2020	Mar 2021	Mar 2022	Mar 2023	Mar 2024	Sep 2024
Equity Capital	0.68	0.68	0.68	10.44	10.44	10.44	12.94	13.82	13.82
Reserves	1.34	3.70	7.30	17.86	15.39	13.85	18.38	26.71	30.19
Borrowings	16.86	18.83	23.15	20.46	23.88	27.53	27.00	21.70	17.72
Other Liabilities	3.95	10.07	5.67	5.31	8.41	6.85	14.52	9.94	18.85
Total Liabilities	22.83	33.28	36.80	54.07	58.12	58.67	72.84	72.17	80.58
Fixed Assets	1.56	1.42	2.02	2.27	4.34	3.94	6.80	6.53	3.75
CWIP	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Investments	0.00	0.00	0.00	2.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2.50
Other Assets	21.27	31.86	34.78	49.30	53.78	54.73	66.04	65.64	74.33
Total Assets	22.83	33.28	36.80	54.07	58.12	58.67	72.84	72.17	80.58

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

Month	Mar 2017	Mar 2018	Mar 2019	Mar 2020	Mar 2021	Mar 2022	Mar 2023	Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity +	1.81	1.82	-1.29	-7.54	-3.04	-7.44	1.71	1.23
Cash from Investing Activity +	-0.11	-0.02	-0.90	-3.29	0.00	0.26	-3.01	-0.44
Cash from Financing Activity +	-0.97	-2.08	1.69	11.24	2.32	7.13	1.27	-0.79
Net Cash Flow	0.72	-0.28	-0.50	0.41	-0.72	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01

Free Cash Flow

Month	Mar 2017	Mar 2018	Mar 2019	Mar 2020	Mar 2021	Mar 2022	Mar 2023	Mar 2024
Free Cash Flow	-14.31	-13.30	-16.36	-13.32	-23.01	-28.93	-25.78	-17.94

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

Month	Mar 2017	Mar 2018	Mar 2019	Mar 2020	Mar 2021	Mar 2022	Mar 2023	Mar 2024
Debtor Days	76.65	90.78	83.45	98.51	224.41	393.59	304.99	258.94
Inventory Days	57.98	85.84	107.74	158.08	233.42	388.77	209.37	177.62
Days Payable	21.27	61.50	18.70	20.49	74.45	111.20	158.05	85.40
Cash Conversion Cycle	113.36	115.13	172.49	236.09	383.37	671.15	356.31	351.15
Working Capital Days	105.60	117.00	134.44	205.32	411.86	915.90	512.01	449.94
ROCE %		26.37%	24.40%	17.32%	0.95%	-0.04%	6.14%	8.18%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

Month	Dec 2021	Mar 2022	Jun 2022	Sep 2022	Dec 2022	Mar 2023	Jun 2023	Sep 2023	Dec 2023	Mar 2024	Jun 2024	Sep 2024
Promoters	52.83%	52.83%	52.83%	52.83%	42.63%	42.63%	39.93%	39.93%	39.93%	39.61%	39.61%	39.61%
FIIs	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.39%	2.01%	2.01%	4.78%	4.78%	4.78%	5.05%	3.66%	3.66%
DIIs	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	6.64%	6.64%	5.53%	4.89%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Public	47.17%	47.17%	47.17%	44.76%	48.72%	48.73%	49.77%	50.41%	55.29%	55.33%	56.72%	56.72%
No. of Shareholders	359	368	354	422	471	458	481	477	723	955	951	891

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

This stock is not held by any mutual fund

ROCE / ROE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

Month	Mar 24	Mar 23	Mar 22	Mar 21	Mar 20
FaceValue	10.00	10.00	10.00	10.00	10.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)	1.79	1.30	-1.53	-1.85	5.73
Diluted EPS (Rs.)	1.79	1.30	-1.53	-1.85	5.73
Cash EPS (Rs.)	2.30	1.61	-1.26	-1.44	4.42
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)	29.33	24.20	23.27	24.73	27.10
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)	29.33	24.20	23.27	24.73	27.10
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)	32.15	28.01	17.98	37.74	67.77
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)	4.08	3.09	0.39	0.85	6.97
PBIT / Share (Rs.)	3.57	2.79	0.12	0.44	6.62
PBT / Share (Rs.)	1.67	1.39	-1.82	-1.88	4.74
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)	1.79	1.30	-1.53	-1.85	4.06
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.)	1.79	1.30	-1.53	-1.85	4.06
PBDIT Margin (%)	12.69	11.04	2.18	2.25	10.29
PBIT Margin (%)	11.09	9.96	0.70	1.18	9.76
PBT Margin (%)	5.20	4.95	-10.13	-4.97	6.99
Net Profit Margin (%)	5.57	4.65	-8.50	-4.89	5.98
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%)	5.57	4.65	-8.50	-4.89	5.98
Return on Networth / Equity (%)	6.10	5.39	-6.56	-7.47	14.97
Return on Capital Employeed (%)	8.89	7.03	0.28	1.21	19.07
Return On Assets (%)	3.42	2.31	-2.72	-3.32	7.83
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)	0.36	0.63	0.88	0.48	0.28
Total Debt / Equity (X)	0.53	0.86	1.13	0.86	0.63
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)	0.61	0.55	0.23	0.63	1.49
Current Ratio (X)	3.88	3.05	4.22	2.68	2.73
Quick Ratio (X)	2.92	2.29	2.83	1.58	1.34
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)	2.15	1.35	0.20	0.36	3.72
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)	1.95	1.18	0.03	0.20	3.16
Enterprise Value (Cr.)	85.75	113.52	48.86	47.15	69.05
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)	1.93	3.13	2.60	1.20	0.97
EV / EBITDA (X)	15.21	28.36	118.97	53.04	9.48
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)	1.45	2.39	1.15	0.63	0.73
Price / BV (X)	1.59	2.77	0.88	0.97	1.84
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)	1.45	2.39	1.15	0.63	0.73
EarningsYield	0.03	0.01	-0.07	-0.07	0.08

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Goblin India Ltd as of December 18, 2024 is: 27.08

Calculation basis:

Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of December 18, 2024, Goblin India Ltd is Overvalued by 20.35% compared to the current share price 34.00

Intrinsic Value of Goblin India Ltd as of December 18, 2024 is: 22.99

Calculation basis:

Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of December 18, 2024, Goblin India Ltd is Overvalued by 32.38% compared to the current share price 34.00

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: -15.11%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

Strength	Weakness
The company has shown consistent growth in sales (48.87 cr) and profit (1.79 cr) over the years.	The stock has a low average ROCE of 10.42%, which may not be favorable. The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 356.51, which may not be favorable. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 299.88, which may not be favorable. The company has higher borrowings (21.90) compared to reserves (14.97), which may suggest financial risk.

Stock Analysis

Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Goblin India Ltd:
1. Net Profit Margin: 5.57%
  - Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
2. ROCE: 8.89% (Industry Average ROCE: 11.94%)
  - ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
3. ROE%: 6.1% (Industry Average ROE: 29.57%)
  - ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 1.95
  - Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
5. Quick Ratio: 2.92
  - Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
6. Stock P/E: 12.1 (Industry average Stock P/E: 27.67)
  - Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.53
  - Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Goblin India Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 26/04/1989 and has its registered office in the State of Gujarat, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L51100GJ1989PLC012165 and registration number is 012165. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of T anning and dressing of leather; dressing and dyeing of fur. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 12.76 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 10.44 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.

INDUSTRY	ADDRESS	CONTACT
Packaging & Containers	Camex House, 1st Floor, Stadium Commercial Road, Ahmedabad Gujarat 380009	cs@goblinindia.com http://www.goblinindia.com

Management
Name	Position Held
Mr. Manojkumar Choukhany	Managing Director
Mrs. Sonam Choukhany	Whole Time Director
Mr. Manish Agrawal	Non Executive Director
Mr. Yatin Hasmukhlal Doshi	Executive Director
Ms. Harshita Singhal	Independent Director
Ms. Nidhi Jain	Independent Director

FAQ

What is the latest intrinsic value of Goblin India Ltd?

The latest intrinsic value of Goblin India Ltd as on 18 December 2024 is ₹27.08, which is 20.35% lower than the current market price of ₹34.00. The stock has a market capitalization of 47.0 Cr. and recorded a high/low of ₹82.4/29.2 during the current fiscal year 2024-2025. As of Sep 2024, the company has reserves of ₹30.19 Cr and total liabilities of ₹80.58 Cr.

What is the Market Cap of Goblin India Ltd?

The Market Cap of Goblin India Ltd is 47.0 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Goblin India Ltd as on 18 December 2024?

The current stock price of Goblin India Ltd as on 18 December 2024 is 34.0.

What is the High / Low of Goblin India Ltd stocks in FY 2024-2025?

In FY 2024-2025, the High / Low of Goblin India Ltd stocks is 82.4/29.2.

What is the Stock P/E of Goblin India Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Goblin India Ltd is 12.1.

What is the Book Value of Goblin India Ltd?

The Book Value of Goblin India Ltd is 31.8.

What is the Dividend Yield of Goblin India Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Goblin India Ltd is 0.00 %.

What is the ROCE of Goblin India Ltd?

The ROCE of Goblin India Ltd is 8.18 %.

What is the ROE of Goblin India Ltd?

The ROE of Goblin India Ltd is 6.90 %.

What is the Face Value of Goblin India Ltd?

The Face Value of Goblin India Ltd is 10.0.