HFCL Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹104.45Overvalued by 51.87%vs CMP ₹217.00

P/E (58.4) × ROE (7.0%) × BV (₹32.00) × DY (0.09%)

₹35.71Overvalued by 83.54%vs CMP ₹217.00
MoS: -507.7% (Negative)Confidence: 65/100 (Moderate)Models: All 8: Overvalued
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹71.0225%Over (-67.3%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹15.4118%Over (-92.9%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹4.7615%Over (-97.8%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹31.778%Over (-85.4%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹17.5110%Over (-91.9%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹3.308%Over (-98.5%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹83.2910%Over (-61.6%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹26.406%Over (-87.8%)
Consensus (8 models)₹35.71100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: EPS CAGR -32.0% drags value — could be higher if earnings stabilize. | Wide model spread (₹3–₹83) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: -32.0%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 24 September 2026, 2:32 am +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Dec 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

HFCL Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹35.71, compared with a stored share price of ₹217.00. The model value is 83.5% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹4,065.00 Cr, versus ₹4,465.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-9.0% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹173.00 Cr, versus ₹338.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-48.8% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹396.00 Cr against net profit of ₹173.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 2.29 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹1,744.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

54
HFCL Ltd scores 54/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health69/100 · Strong
ROCE 10.8% AverageROE 7.0% AverageD/E 0.32 ModerateInterest Coverage 2.7x AdequateProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money60/100 · Moderate
FII holding up 8.26% (6mo) AccumulatingDII holding down 2.65% MF sellingPromoter holding at 28.3% Stable
Earnings Quality50/100 · Moderate
CFO/NP ratio: 0.71x Partially cash-backedOPM stable around 12% SteadyWorking capital: 179 days Capital intensive
Quarterly Momentum35/100 · Weak
Revenue (4Q): -14% YoY DecliningProfit (4Q): -83% YoY DecliningOPM: 19.0% (up 4.0% YoY) Margin expansion
Industry Rank55/100 · Moderate
P/E 58.4 vs industry 112.5 Lower P/EROCE 10.8% vs industry 11.0% Average3Y sales CAGR: -5% Shrinking

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 24, 2026, 2:32 am

Market Cap 33,408 Cr.
Current Price 217
Intrinsic Value₹35.71
High / Low 257/59.8
Stock P/E58.4
Book Value 32.0
Dividend Yield0.09 %
ROCE10.8 %
ROE6.98 %
Face Value 1.00
PEG Ratio-1.82

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for HFCL Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
HFCL Ltd 33,408 Cr. 217 257/59.858.4 32.00.09 %10.8 %6.98 % 1.00
ITI Ltd 24,772 Cr. 257 373/233 19.20.00 %1.43 %9.13 % 10.0
Optiemus Infracom Ltd 7,469 Cr. 828 851/288103 87.60.00 %10.9 %9.15 % 10.0
Avantel Ltd 3,885 Cr. 146 215/117152 13.40.14 %11.5 %7.53 % 2.00
NELCO Ltd 2,329 Cr. 1,021 1,121/500390 56.50.10 %7.21 %0.46 % 10.0
Industry Average17,623.40 Cr459.16112.4655.900.42%11.04%9.33%8.17

All Competitor Stocks of HFCL Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales 1,0861,4339951,1111,0321,3261,1581,0941,0128018711,0431,211
Expenses 9171,2798499799161,130984935860838843853983
Operating Profit 169154146133117196175158152-3728190228
OPM % 16%11%15%12%11%15%15%14%15%-5%3%18%19%
Other Income 25141318471410152114151317
Interest 37383635374042454751566163
Depreciation 20212121192024252630323644
Profit before tax 13710910394108149119102100-105-45106138
Tax % 26%28%26%25%24%27%7%28%28%-21%-34%32%26%
Net Profit 102797670821091117373-83-2972102
EPS in Rs 0.700.520.490.490.580.760.770.510.51-0.56-0.220.470.64

Last Updated: February 5, 2026, 5:05 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 24, 2026, 9:16 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 2,0192,5532,8722,1313,2274,7383,8394,4234,7274,7434,4654,0653,926
Expenses 1,8642,2722,6001,9442,9444,3203,3463,8734,0774,1253,8843,6163,516
Operating Profit 156281273187283418493550650619582449410
OPM % 8%11%10%9%9%9%13%12%14%13%13%11%10%
Other Income 385110-29212440223137471025858
Interest 444462626492115175166152147185230
Depreciation 2034262223274269788382106142
Profit before tax 47631215612422033935833744243145421795
Tax % 1%0%0%0%22%32%34%27%26%26%26%20%
Net Profit 47532415612417223223724632631833817362
EPS in Rs 3.832.611.260.991.351.731.771.862.272.182.291.230.33
Dividend Payout % 0%0%0%0%4%6%0%8%8%9%9%8%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-31.79%-51.85%-20.51%38.71%34.88%2.16%3.80%32.52%-2.45%6.29%-48.82%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-20.06%31.34%59.22%-3.83%-32.73%1.64%28.72%-34.97%8.74%-55.11%

HFCL Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:5%
5 Years:1%
3 Years:-5%
TTM:-18%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:-7%
5 Years:-5%
3 Years:-18%
TTM:-91%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:18%
5 Years:34%
3 Years:-3%
1 Year:-56%
Return on Equity
10 Years:12%
5 Years:9%
3 Years:8%
Last Year:4%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 6:05 am

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: July 1, 2026, 3:30 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 124124124124127128128137138144144153
Reserves 7537168401,0551,3141,5401,7882,6612,9703,8123,9354,738
Borrowings 3985445394695907349427839369911,5221,744
Other Liabilities 5727917739411,2621,4272,3581,5901,4291,5401,9452,232
Total Liabilities 1,8472,1752,2752,5883,2943,8295,2165,1715,4736,4877,5468,868
Fixed Assets 1991751881962385045085285486528521,617
CWIP 4121086343610826846960285
Investments 2725750556058415570194158135
Other Assets 1,3731,9432,0352,3272,9113,2334,6314,4804,5865,1725,9357,031
Total Assets 1,8472,1752,2752,5883,2943,8295,2165,1715,4736,4877,5468,868

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 129013620734172145205235-45396-378
Cash from Investing Activity + -4537-25-30-150-167-165-458-44-449-518-324
Cash from Financing Activity + -74-55-114-11667-725248-145454170669
Net Cash Flow 10-18-361-49-15-546-4047-33
Free Cash Flow 111-51110166-14354123-105-454-12-723
CFO/OP 54%12%103%102%15%53%30%41%54%13%89%-44%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow111.00-51.00110.00166.00-143.005.0041.0023.00-105.00-454.00-12.00-723.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 5152141202134113153215146145181170
Inventory Days 3752591921405641966598113135145
Days Payable 679320307260148134227262173131141174
Cash Conversion Cycle -252-926814220221872127175141
Working Capital Days 28751121348462917085124163179
ROCE %33%36%24%13%18%24%21%20%19%15%13%8%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 37.84%37.84%37.69%37.63%36.24%35.90%34.37%31.58%30.02%28.29%28.29%28.29%
FIIs 8.35%8.18%7.66%7.02%6.68%6.70%6.97%7.75%7.48%7.48%7.08%15.74%
DIIs 4.64%4.55%5.68%7.39%8.69%10.96%13.26%14.04%13.57%9.07%8.57%10.92%
Public 49.09%49.37%48.91%47.91%48.33%46.40%45.36%46.61%48.89%55.13%56.02%45.02%
Others 0.08%0.08%0.06%0.06%0.05%0.04%0.04%0.04%0.04%0.03%0.02%0.02%
No. of Shareholders 5,89,4826,51,7867,29,5367,70,7917,73,2768,20,6398,40,2198,58,6388,69,4428,42,2098,03,6937,32,721

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

HFCL Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
Quant Small Cap Fund 89,972,615 2.25 617.380,061,1372026-01-26 07:53:0312.38%
Quant Value Fund 3,529,000 1.55 24.215,331,7242025-12-08 08:42:52-33.81%
Quant Multi Cap Fund 3,463,172 0.32 23.76N/AN/AN/A

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 1.001.001.001.001.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 1.232.332.182.381.86
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 1.232.332.182.381.86
Cash EPS (Rs.) 1.932.902.912.942.45
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 28.2927.7722.8320.5014.98
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 28.2927.7722.8320.5014.98
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 28.1831.0134.4634.3834.44
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 3.514.744.845.044.56
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 2.784.174.234.474.03
PBT / Share (Rs.) 1.503.153.133.212.62
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 1.202.342.312.371.92
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 1.232.292.192.281.86
PBDIT Margin (%) 12.4615.2714.0314.6513.24
PBIT Margin (%) 9.8713.4412.2813.0011.69
PBT Margin (%) 5.3110.149.089.347.61
Net Profit Margin (%) 4.257.536.696.895.56
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 4.367.386.346.625.40
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 4.348.339.6911.1812.47
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 8.6113.9517.5020.5323.19
Return On Assets (%) 2.355.085.496.054.58
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.090.040.030.040.14
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.320.240.240.260.44
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.570.740.890.850.93
Current Ratio (X) 1.862.081.911.751.39
Quick Ratio (X) 1.551.721.551.491.24
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 4.861.041.471.841.51
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 16.268.668.246.170.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 10.196.946.454.940.00
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 83.7491.3491.7693.830.00
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 89.8193.0693.5595.060.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 2.744.634.384.163.33
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 1.933.293.093.002.42
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 12285.3813919.728859.7411041.973794.40
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 3.023.121.872.340.85
EV / EBITDA (X) 24.2420.4113.3115.936.48
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 2.802.961.772.290.73
Retention Ratios (%) 83.7391.3391.7593.820.00
Price / BV (X) 2.793.352.703.871.69
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 2.802.961.772.290.73
EarningsYield 0.010.020.030.020.07

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of HFCL Ltd and is it undervalued?

HFCL Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹35.71, compared with a stored share price of ₹217.00. The model value is 83.5% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for HFCL Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹217.00. Price-data record updated: 24 September 2026, 2:32 am +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 257/59.8; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have HFCL Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹4,065.00 Cr, versus ₹4,465.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-9.0% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹173.00 Cr, versus ₹338.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-48.8% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does HFCL Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹396.00 Cr against net profit of ₹173.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 2.29 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

What should I check in HFCL Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹1,744.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare HFCL Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 58.40. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change HFCL Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in HFCL Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE