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Last Updated: April 2, 2026, 3:02 am
Author: Getaka|Social: XLinkedIn

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹16.69Overvalued by 29.87%vs CMP ₹23.80

P/E (15.6) × ROE (5.8%) × BV (₹22.80) × DY (2.00%)

₹21.10Overvalued by 11.34%vs CMP ₹23.80
MoS: -12.8% (Negative)Confidence: 46/100 (Moderate)Models: 1 Under, 2 Fair, 4 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹21.2229%Over (-10.8%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹28.0221%Under (+17.7%)
DCFCash Flow₹25.0114%Fair (+5.1%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹22.649%Fair (-4.9%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹10.2611%Over (-56.9%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹15.309%Over (-35.7%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹15.777%Over (-33.7%)
Consensus (7 models)₹21.10100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: EPS CAGR 27.2% lifts DCF — verify sustainability.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 27.2%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Investment Snapshot

60
Hilton Metal Forging Ltd scores 60/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health39/100 · Weak
ROCE 7.9% WeakROE 5.8% WeakD/E 1.25 High debtInterest Coverage 0.0x RiskyProfitable 4/5 years Consistent
Smart Money70/100 · Strong
FII holding up 0.02% (6mo) Slight increasePromoter increased by 5.84% Positive
Earnings Quality50/100 · Moderate
OPM stable around 9% Steady
Quarterly Momentum90/100 · Strong
Revenue (4Q): +27% YoY AcceleratingProfit (4Q): +78% YoY Strong
Industry Rank75/100 · Strong
P/E 15.6 vs industry 63.2 Cheaper than peersROCE 7.9% vs industry 10.6% Average3Y sales CAGR: 25% High growth

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores are computed from reported financials and recalculated daily. Not investment advice.

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: April 2, 2026, 3:02 am

Market Cap 123 Cr.
Current Price 23.8
Intrinsic Value₹21.10
High / Low 70.8/13.4
Stock P/E15.6
Book Value 22.8
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE7.92 %
ROE5.75 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio0.57

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Hilton Metal Forging Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name ⇩Market Cap ⇩Current Price ⇩High / Low ⇩Stock P/E ⇩Book Value ⇩Dividend Yield ⇩ROCE ⇩ROE ⇩Face Value ⇩
Hilton Metal Forging Ltd 123 Cr. 23.8 70.8/13.415.6 22.80.00 %7.92 %5.75 % 10.0
LGB Forge Ltd 139 Cr. 5.83 14.0/4.80 0.770.00 %1.79 %18.2 % 1.00
Kalyani Forge Ltd 209 Cr. 574 890/49536.8 2530.70 %12.3 %9.77 % 10.0
Tirupati Forge Ltd 534 Cr. 42.5 52.0/28.287.9 9.610.00 %12.4 %9.99 % 2.00
Amic Forging Ltd 1,410 Cr. 1,312 1,750/1,06556.0 1390.00 %27.9 %21.8 % 10.0
Industry Average12,169.30 Cr418.2163.21155.020.29%10.63%10.60%6.13

All Competitor Stocks of Hilton Metal Forging Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricSep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025
Sales 27.2829.0430.6627.6834.8141.7433.8334.0343.7540.2944.9722.0587.64
Expenses 24.2325.6725.8823.8930.9337.3731.1431.5541.1037.5242.6720.1784.24
Operating Profit 3.053.374.783.793.884.372.692.482.652.772.301.883.40
OPM % 11.18%11.60%15.59%13.69%11.15%10.47%7.95%7.29%6.06%6.88%5.11%8.53%3.88%
Other Income 0.180.100.240.100.680.320.710.320.400.424.030.380.38
Interest 1.331.391.441.251.161.592.481.511.732.091.711.591.52
Depreciation 0.590.600.600.600.600.600.410.560.560.560.550.560.56
Profit before tax 1.311.482.982.042.802.500.510.730.760.544.070.111.70
Tax % 15.27%15.54%16.44%16.67%17.14%15.60%-5.88%21.92%18.42%14.81%-11.30%-36.36%-2.35%
Net Profit 1.111.252.491.702.332.110.550.570.620.454.530.151.74
EPS in Rs 0.360.400.800.550.750.680.180.180.180.131.310.040.50

Last Updated: January 1, 2026, 11:46 am

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 24, 2026, 9:16 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 130926780951011034884105138163224
Expenses 122866475889496657991123153213
Operating Profit 8636777-17614151011
OPM % 6%6%5%7%7%6%7%-36%7%14%11%6%5%
Other Income 00000100-11255
Interest 2223333445677
Depreciation 2233333332222
Profit before tax 42-1-0112-24-27867
Tax % 28%42%16%95%70%-5%9%-17%-170%17%15%-1%
Net Profit 31-2-0022-2026768
EPS in Rs 0.790.24-0.41-0.110.070.400.40-5.100.461.271.451.201.53
Dividend Payout % 20%33%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%-0%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-66.67%-300.00%100.00%0.00%-1100.00%110.00%200.00%16.67%-14.29%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-233.33%400.00%-100.00%-1100.00%1210.00%90.00%-183.33%-30.95%

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 9 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:6%
5 Years:10%
3 Years:25%
TTM:5%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:21%
5 Years:32%
3 Years:26%
TTM:3%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:15%
5 Years:41%
3 Years:-4%
1 Year:-37%
Return on Equity
10 Years:1%
5 Years:1%
3 Years:7%
Last Year:6%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 6:10 am

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: December 10, 2025, 2:47 am

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Sep 2025
Equity Capital 12121212121212121221212323
Reserves 48494747474950313268799294
Borrowings 23272426354245576053546367
Other Liabilities 2925223047314213927314250
Total Liabilities 113114106115142135149113114169185221234
Fixed Assets 35333136373533333129272429
CWIP 07700000815212522
Investments 0000000000000
Other Assets 79746879105991168075126137171184
Total Assets 113114106115142135149113114169185221234

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Cash from Operating Activity + -2553-12409-24103
Cash from Investing Activity + -0-7-0-0-300-2-933-211
Cash from Financing Activity + 22-5-34-2-31-1-9-8-9
Net Cash Flow -1000-0-00-10-005
Free Cash Flow -3-253-424-21-3032
CFO/OP -27%87%156%61%-14%31%49%20%95%-162%77%26%

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Free Cash Flow-15.00-21.00-21.00-20.00-28.00-35.00-38.00-74.00-54.00-39.00-39.00-53.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

No data available for the Financial Efficiency data table.

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthJun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Jan 2026
Promoters 27.67%27.67%27.67%27.67%27.67%28.31%28.31%27.39%7.71%7.71%7.87%13.71%
FIIs 0.39%0.33%0.27%0.29%0.00%0.11%0.11%0.18%0.13%0.23%0.23%0.15%
Public 71.94%72.01%72.07%72.06%72.34%71.58%71.56%72.43%92.16%92.07%91.91%86.14%
No. of Shareholders 11,12710,66811,25613,38417,14320,98719,94320,12225,15124,66325,09425,435

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

This stock is not held by any mutual fund.

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 2.783.182.791.42-15.73
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 2.783.182.791.42-15.73
Cash EPS (Rs.) 3.594.233.923.46-13.70
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 49.4047.3942.4436.0734.65
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 49.4047.3942.4436.0734.65
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 69.6865.7549.9267.6238.19
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 6.577.887.034.47-13.69
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 5.626.835.902.43-15.72
PBT / Share (Rs.) 2.613.753.35-2.01-18.89
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 2.643.182.791.42-15.73
PBDIT Margin (%) 9.4211.9814.076.61-35.85
PBIT Margin (%) 8.0610.3911.823.59-41.16
PBT Margin (%) 3.735.696.71-2.96-49.45
Net Profit Margin (%) 3.784.845.582.09-41.18
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 5.346.716.573.92-45.39
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 10.1212.4311.784.70-31.67
Return On Assets (%) 2.793.623.461.54-17.32
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.100.140.170.410.34
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.520.510.561.281.25
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.800.780.740.740.36
Current Ratio (X) 1.781.901.881.371.47
Quick Ratio (X) 0.850.760.840.270.41
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 2.001.681.451.410.80
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 2.182.552.751.33-4.32
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 1.882.032.091.74-3.97
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 221.01265.37260.1496.4664.13
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.361.922.481.151.35
EV / EBITDA (X) 14.3816.0417.6317.33-3.76
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.021.562.010.470.23
Price / BV (X) 1.442.162.370.890.26
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.021.562.010.470.23
EarningsYield 0.030.030.020.04-1.72

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 21/07/2005 and has its registered office in the State of Maharashtra, India. Company's Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L28900MH2005PLC154986 and registration number is 154986. Currently company belongs to the Industry of Forgings. Company's Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 163.05 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 23.40 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2025.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
Forgings303, Tanishka Commercial Co-op. Society Ltd Ankurli Road, Kandivali East, Mumbai Maharashtra 400101Contact not found
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Yuvraj MalhotraChairman & Managing Director
Mr. Amit PathakIndependent Director
Mr. Rakesh KhajuriaIndependent Director
Mrs. Himanshi MotaIndependent Director
Mr. Suryakanth MayaniNon Exe.Non Ind.Director
Mr. Vishal JainNon Exe.Non Ind.Director

FAQ

What is the intrinsic value of Hilton Metal Forging Ltd and is it undervalued?

As of 13 April 2026, Hilton Metal Forging Ltd's intrinsic value is ₹21.10, which is 11.34% lower than the current market price of ₹23.80, suggesting the stock is overvalued. This is calculated using the PE ratio method factoring in ROE (5.75 %), book value (₹22.8), dividend yield (0.00 %), and 5-year EPS CAGR.

What is the current share price and 52-week range of Hilton Metal Forging Ltd?

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd is trading at ₹23.80 as of 13 April 2026, with a FY2026-2027 high of ₹70.8 and low of ₹13.4. The stock is currently near its 52-week low. Market cap stands at ₹123 Cr..

How does Hilton Metal Forging Ltd's P/E ratio compare to its industry?

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd has a P/E ratio of 15.6, which is below the industry average of 63.21. Trading at a steep discount to peers could signal a value opportunity or reflect concerns about the company's fundamentals.

Is Hilton Metal Forging Ltd financially healthy?

Key indicators for Hilton Metal Forging Ltd: ROCE of 7.92 % is on the lower side compared to the industry average of 10.63%; ROE of 5.75 % is below ideal levels (industry average: 10.60%). Dividend yield is 0.00 %.

Is Hilton Metal Forging Ltd profitable and how is the profit trend?

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd reported a net profit of ₹6 Cr in Mar 2025 on revenue of ₹163 Cr. Compared to ₹2 Cr in Mar 2022, the net profit shows an improving trend.

Does Hilton Metal Forging Ltd pay dividends?

Hilton Metal Forging Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.00 % at the current price of ₹23.80. The company is currently not paying meaningful dividends.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Hilton Metal Forging Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE
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