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Last Updated: May 17, 2025, 4:39 am
Author: Getaka|Social: XLinkedIn

Metalyst Forgings Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹1,597.32Undervalued by 39,340.00%vs CMP ₹4.05

P/E (15.0) × ROE (15.0%) × BV (₹870.00) × DY (2.00%)

Defaults: P/E=15, ROE=15%

₹325.85Undervalued by 7,945.68%vs CMP ₹4.05
MoS: +98.8% (Strong)Confidence: 53/100 (Moderate)Models: All 3: Undervalued
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹542.6744%Under (+13299.3%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹267.1629%Under (+6496.5%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹29.6826%Under (+632.8%)
Consensus (3 models)₹325.85100%Undervalued
Key Drivers: EPS CAGR -66.0% drags value — could be higher if earnings stabilize. | Wide model spread (₹30–₹543) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: -66.0% · Defaults: P/E=15, ROE=15%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Investment Snapshot

47
Metalyst Forgings Ltd scores 47/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health26/100 · Weak
ROCE 0.0% WeakROE 0.0% WeakD/E -1.26 Low debtInterest Coverage 0.0x RiskyProfitable 0/5 years Inconsistent
Smart Money50/100 · Moderate
Promoter holding at 61.3% Stable
Earnings Quality75/100 · Strong
OPM expanding (-22% → -1%) ImprovingWorking capital: -5,563 days (improving) Efficient
Quarterly Momentum40/100 · Moderate
Revenue (4Q): 4% YoY FlatOPM: -1.0% (down 4.0% YoY) Margin pressure
Industry Rank50/100 · Moderate
3Y sales CAGR: 14% Moderate

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores are computed from reported financials and recalculated daily. Not investment advice.

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: May 17, 2025, 4:39 am

Market Cap 17.6 Cr.
Current Price 4.05
Intrinsic Value₹325.85
High / Low /
Stock P/E
Book Value 870
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE%
ROE%
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio0.00

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Metalyst Forgings Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
Happy Forgings Ltd 11,181 Cr. 1,185 1,370/71639.1 2080.25 %19.2 %15.5 % 2.00
EL Forge Ltd 26.2 Cr. 12.9 27.4/12.115.0 12.80.00 %11.2 %9.14 % 10.0
CIE Automotive India Ltd 17,259 Cr. 455 526/35721.0 1971.54 %14.7 %11.7 % 10.0
Amic Forging Ltd 1,410 Cr. 1,312 1,750/1,06556.0 1390.00 %27.9 %21.8 % 10.0
Amforge Industries Ltd 10.2 Cr. 7.07 10.9/6.0526.8 9.200.00 %6.53 %3.72 % 2.00
Industry Average12,169.30 Cr418.2163.21155.020.29%10.63%10.60%6.13

All Competitor Stocks of Metalyst Forgings Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricJun 2020Sep 2020Dec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023
Sales 11396064496161606972586367
Expenses 175157122515960636768596467
Operating Profit -6-122-58-221-323-1-0-0
OPM % -58%-29%4%-91%-4%3%2%-4%3%5%-1%-1%-1%
Other Income -2410-31900000-73000
Interest 000-1000000000
Depreciation 63636363626362626161616161
Profit before tax -94-74-61-439-65-61-62-65-60-131-62-61-62
Tax % 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Net Profit -94-74-61-439-65-61-62-65-60-131-62-61-62
EPS in Rs -21.51-17.05-14.01-100.83-14.89-13.97-14.12-14.98-13.70-30.09-14.19-14.10-14.15

Last Updated: August 1, 2025, 5:05 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: March 6, 2025, 3:30 pm

MetricSep 2013n n 15mSep 2014Sep 2015Mar 2016n n 6mMar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Sales 1,7182,3952,3458691,106374380188174231262258
Expenses 1,3021,7961,848682581374369237248232257267
Operating Profit 416599496187526011-49-74-15-9
OPM % 24%25%21%22%48%0%3%-26%-42%-1%2%-4%
Other Income 4320-19-207-440-41211-3421-73-1,006
Interest 1051993681984083422720122
Depreciation 98137190142573260255254252250244243
Profit before tax 257282-81-360-896-1,013-271-303-668-252-314-1,261
Tax % 33%32%-33%-24%-28%-8%8%0%0%0%0%0%
Net Profit 173193-54-273-645-930-292-303-668-252-314-1,261
EPS in Rs 47.1552.54-14.66-74.26-158.29-213.59-67.13-69.67-153.39-57.97-72.07-289.62
Dividend Payout % 2%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-2024
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-44.19%68.60%-3.77%-120.46%62.28%-24.60%-301.59%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%112.79%-72.37%-116.69%182.74%-86.88%-276.99%

Metalyst Forgings Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 7 years from 2017-2018 to 2023-2024.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:-17%
5 Years:-7%
3 Years:14%
TTM:-1%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:2%
3 Years:7%
TTM:-6%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:-21%
5 Years:-7%
3 Years:-3%
1 Year:%
Return on Equity
10 Years:%
5 Years:%
3 Years:%
Last Year:%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: March 14, 2025, 3:15 pm

MonthSep 2013Sep 2014Sep 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Equity Capital 373737374144444444444444
Reserves 9311,0591,044774153-775-1,067-1,369-2,002-2,255-2,569-3,830
Borrowings 2,1342,5632,8622,7671,1821,3311,3321,6781,6431,6441,6461,647
Other Liabilities 4535538721,0292,8263,0543,0672,7092,7052,7002,7012,702
Total Liabilities 3,5544,2124,8144,6074,2023,6543,3753,0622,3902,1321,821562
Fixed Assets 1,9922,7732,6792,5782,7482,5122,2582,0051,7491,4991,321348
CWIP 70714711514595138138138138139141141
Investments 113473473473473473470000
Other Assets 8541,2911,6731,5361,01165763257150349436074
Total Assets 3,5544,2124,8144,6074,2023,6543,3753,0622,3902,1321,821562

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthSep 2013Sep 2014Sep 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity + 63533174515870957-10-7-2-22
Cash from Investing Activity + -1,642-339-400-58-690-66-121212
Cash from Financing Activity + 1,171-96-436-99-34-46-0-0-000
Net Cash Flow 164-104-911-15-1352-6-0-14
Free Cash Flow -1,050-276869017-9-21-7-2-32
CFO/OP 161%68%151%85%135%57,580%-4%-1%10%143%-44%-20%

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2016n n 6mMar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Sep 2013n n 15mSep 2014Sep 2015
Free Cash Flow187.00525.00-1.0010.00-50.00-75.00-2.004.00-10.00416.00597.00494.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthSep 2013Sep 2014Sep 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days 567890157752001993012271725443
Inventory Days 991392285761291741793553252255452
Days Payable 3129207053197206383411289255266
Cash Conversion Cycle 124188297663151177172272142107-147-170
Working Capital Days -5-26-50-224-907-3,473-3,435-7,211-7,914-5,975-5,453-5,563
ROCE %16%14%8%2%-2%-26%-54%-91%-1,754%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthJun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024
Promoters 61.32%61.32%61.32%61.32%61.32%61.32%61.32%61.32%61.32%61.32%61.32%61.32%
DIIs 0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Public 38.66%38.66%38.66%38.66%38.66%38.67%38.67%38.68%38.67%38.67%38.67%38.67%
No. of Shareholders 18,16818,21518,62319,44719,29619,08718,88918,65518,52518,52518,15818,054

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Metalyst Forgings Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

This stock is not held by any mutual fund.

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 23Mar 22Mar 21Mar 20Mar 19
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) -72.07-57.97-153.39-69.67-67.13
Diluted EPS (Rs.) -72.07-57.97-153.39-69.67-67.13
Cash EPS (Rs.) -16.08-0.53-95.49-11.39-8.51
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) -579.85-507.89-457.61-304.31-235.02
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) -579.85-507.89-457.61-304.31-235.02
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 60.0652.9739.9943.1687.27
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 1.09-0.26-15.82-11.062.63
PBIT / Share (Rs.) -54.90-57.71-73.72-69.34-55.99
PBT / Share (Rs.) -72.07-57.97-153.39-69.67-62.17
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) -72.07-57.97-153.39-69.67-67.13
PBDIT Margin (%) 1.80-0.50-39.55-25.623.01
PBIT Margin (%) -91.40-108.93-184.32-160.66-64.16
PBT Margin (%) -119.99-109.43-383.53-161.44-71.24
Net Profit Margin (%) -119.99-109.43-383.53-161.44-76.92
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 11.0413.5620.0532.6539.19
Return On Assets (%) -17.23-11.83-27.95-9.91-8.66
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) -0.13-0.15-0.17-0.260.00
Total Debt / Equity (X) -0.64-0.73-0.82-1.23-1.26
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.130.100.060.050.10
Current Ratio (X) 0.030.050.050.070.11
Quick Ratio (X) 0.010.030.030.040.08
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 1.831.570.971.011.89
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 3.64-1.010.00-32.960.42
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) -184.22-218.190.00-206.65-9.87
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 1645.491653.861647.881634.621318.28
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 6.297.179.468.703.47
EV / EBITDA (X) 347.89-1419.86-23.92-33.94115.11
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.040.100.120.080.11
Price / BV (X) 0.00-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.04
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.040.100.120.080.11
EarningsYield -29.06-10.80-29.61-19.35-6.78

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fundamental Analysis of Metalyst Forgings Ltd

Metalyst Forgings Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 21/03/1977 and has its registered office in the State of Maharashtra, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L28910MH1977PLC019569 and registration number is 019569. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Forging, pressing, stamping and roll-forming of metal; powder metallurgy. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 230.69 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 43.55 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
ForgingsGat No. 614, Pune District Maharashtra 410501investors.relation@amtek.com
http://www.amtek.com
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Yogesh KapurChairman & Director
Mr. Shekhar GuptaWhole Time Director
Mr. Arvind DhamDirector
Mr. Brajindar Mohan SinghDirector

Metalyst Forgings Ltd. Share Price Update

Share PriceValue
Today₹4.10
Previous Day₹4.10

FAQ

What is the intrinsic value of Metalyst Forgings Ltd and is it undervalued?

As of 13 April 2026, Metalyst Forgings Ltd's intrinsic value is ₹325.85, which is 7945.68% higher than the current market price of ₹4.05, suggesting the stock is undervalued. This is calculated using the PE ratio method factoring in ROE (%), book value (₹870), dividend yield (0.00 %), and 5-year EPS CAGR.

What is the current share price and 52-week range of Metalyst Forgings Ltd?

Metalyst Forgings Ltd is trading at ₹4.05 as of 13 April 2026, with a FY2026-2027 high of ₹ and low of ₹. Market cap stands at ₹17.6 Cr..

How does Metalyst Forgings Ltd's P/E ratio compare to its industry?

Metalyst Forgings Ltd has a P/E ratio of , which is below the industry average of 63.21. This is broadly in line with or below the industry average.

Is Metalyst Forgings Ltd financially healthy?

Key indicators for Metalyst Forgings Ltd: ROCE of % is on the lower side compared to the industry average of 10.63%; ROE of % is below ideal levels (industry average: 10.60%). Dividend yield is 0.00 %.

Is Metalyst Forgings Ltd profitable and how is the profit trend?

Metalyst Forgings Ltd reported a net profit of ₹-1,261 Cr in Mar 2024 on revenue of ₹258 Cr. Compared to ₹-668 Cr in Mar 2021, the net profit shows a mixed trend.

Does Metalyst Forgings Ltd pay dividends?

Metalyst Forgings Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.00 % at the current price of ₹4.05. The company is currently not paying meaningful dividends.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Metalyst Forgings Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE