Orient Paper & Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹15.92Fairly Valued by 5.24%vs CMP ₹16.80

P/E (15.0) × ROE (1.9%) × BV (₹69.20) × DY (2.00%)

Defaults: P/E=15

₹25.74Undervalued by 53.21%vs CMP ₹16.80
MoS: +34.7% (Strong)Confidence: 40/100 (Low)Models: 2 Under, 3 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹15.0433%Over (-10.5%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹69.2820%Under (+312.4%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹3.2116%Over (-80.9%)
Dividend DiscountDividends₹2.5516%Over (-84.8%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹42.2815%Under (+151.7%)
Consensus (5 models)₹25.74100%Undervalued
Key Drivers: ROE 1.9% is below cost of equity. | Wide model spread (₹3–₹69) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: -5.5% · Defaults: P/E=15

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 24 September 2026, 9:53 pm +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Dec 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

Orient Paper & Industries Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹25.74, compared with a stored share price of ₹16.80. The model value is 53.2% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹896.00 Cr, versus ₹832.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (7.7% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹-55.00 Cr, versus ₹6.00 Cr in Mar 2024. These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹-12.00 Cr against net profit of ₹-55.00 Cr.A cash-to-profit ratio is not meaningful with zero or negative profit.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹292.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

49
Orient Paper & Industries Ltd scores 49/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health42/100 · Moderate
ROCE 4.2% WeakROE 1.9% WeakD/E 0.25 Low debtInterest Coverage -0.2x RiskyProfitable 2/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money50/100 · Moderate
FII holding stable No changePromoter holding at 38.7% Stable
Earnings Quality75/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 3.02x Cash-backed earningsOPM contracting (7% → 3%) DecliningWorking capital: -106 days (improving) Efficient
Quarterly Momentum40/100 · Moderate
Revenue (4Q): -3% YoY FlatOPM: -5.0% (down 4.0% YoY) Margin pressure
Industry Rank30/100 · Weak
ROCE 4.2% vs industry 16.1% Below peersROE 1.9% vs industry 7.5% Below peers3Y sales CAGR: 15% Moderate

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

Advertisements

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 24, 2026, 9:53 pm

Market Cap 356 Cr.
Current Price 16.8
Intrinsic Value₹25.74
High / Low 29.8/13.2
Stock P/E
Book Value 69.2
Dividend Yield0.00 %
ROCE4.24 %
ROE1.88 %
Face Value 1.00
PEG Ratio0.00

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Orient Paper & Industries Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name ⇩Market Cap ⇩Current Price ⇩High / Low ⇩Stock P/E ⇩Book Value ⇩Dividend Yield ⇩ROCE ⇩ROE ⇩Face Value ⇩
Orient Paper & Industries Ltd 356 Cr. 16.8 29.8/13.2 69.20.00 %4.24 %1.88 % 1.00
Genus Paper & Boards Ltd 288 Cr. 11.2 19.4/8.6530.6 20.30.00 %4.73 %0.61 % 1.00
Star Paper Mills Ltd 242 Cr. 155 178/1167.83 4541.61 %4.18 %3.66 % 10.0
Shreyans Industries Ltd 180 Cr. 130 236/122 3091.15 %2.44 %1.46 % 10.0
Magnum Ventures Ltd 128 Cr. 18.6 29.0/16.2 99.60.00 %2.55 %1.64 % 10.0
Industry Average2,140.19 Cr158.3340.51136.280.51%14.29%7.21%6.52

All Competitor Stocks of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales 253258243143203242238208230219238200236
Expenses 184190189154186242230226231230237232247
Operating Profit 696854-111718-17-1-101-32-11
OPM % 27%26%22%-8%9%0%3%-8%-1%-5%1%-16%-5%
Other Income 1191164526433102
Interest 2657988888866
Depreciation 8101010111212131313141414
Profit before tax 617250-231-14-10-32-18-29-18-42-29
Tax % 35%30%35%-30%395%-54%-36%-39%-41%-37%-290%-28%-28%
Net Profit 405032-16-3-6-6-20-11-1834-31-21
EPS in Rs 1.862.351.52-0.77-0.15-0.30-0.30-0.93-0.50-0.851.60-1.44-1.00

Last Updated: March 3, 2026, 3:57 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 25, 2026, 7:16 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 1,5751,6671,819511661710607443586943832896894
Expenses 1,5291,6401,719510549572559477602781771911946
Operating Profit 462799111213848-33-1716261-15-52
OPM % 3%2%5%0%17%19%8%-8%-3%17%7%-2%-6%
Other Income 3919177711341210929251017
Interest 37445121151057510293228
Depreciation 47444425283233323133445156
Profit before tax 1-4221338013021-63-4414814-89-118
Tax % -190%-32%2%-16%38%22%5%-26%-34%33%55%-39%
Net Profit 4-2921384910220-47-29996-55-36
EPS in Rs 0.20-1.350.991.792.324.790.94-2.19-1.364.680.29-2.58-1.69
Dividend Payout % 48%-7%24%56%43%23%53%-11%-18%21%85%0%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-825.00%172.41%80.95%28.95%108.16%-80.39%-335.00%38.30%441.38%-93.94%-1016.67%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%997.41%-91.46%-52.01%79.22%-188.56%-254.61%373.30%403.08%-535.32%-922.73%

Orient Paper & Industries Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:-6%
5 Years:8%
3 Years:15%
TTM:8%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:-14%
5 Years:%
3 Years:-32%
TTM:56%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:12%
5 Years:9%
3 Years:-5%
1 Year:-40%
Return on Equity
10 Years:1%
5 Years:0%
3 Years:1%
Last Year:-3%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 12:00 pm

Advertisements

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: July 10, 2026, 5:00 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 202021212121212121212121
Reserves 3793941,1891,2961,3641,2411,4471,5321,4941,5981,5141,447
Borrowings 38044318690283688210274321400292
Other Liabilities 444442407401392396404410415486473419
Total Liabilities 1,2231,2991,8031,8091,8051,6951,9602,1732,2042,4262,4082,179
Fixed Assets 5154931,2801,3541,3311,3231,3111,2891,4961,5971,6171,594
CWIP 319861118535418171776589
Investments 919238297289148436538390497448210
Other Assets 697769199148168171159164248254278287
Total Assets 1,2231,2991,8031,8091,8051,6951,9602,1732,2042,4262,4082,179

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 3676361269968-20-2462101-12-27
Cash from Investing Activity + -30-45-78151-47-7-87-98-98-28164
Cash from Financing Activity + -41-7-146-100-213510435-439-138
Net Cash Flow 231-49-5-108-8-1-1-1-0
Free Cash Flow 025-461007418-39-151-46-38-77-78
CFO/OP 116%81%4,561%127%95%159%74%146%50%185%79%73%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow0.0025.00-46.00100.0074.0018.00-39.00-151.00-46.00-38.00-77.00-78.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 987977172015161914767
Inventory Days 608477179117138146185100167166142
Days Payable 1131129419013315318623813695132119
Cash Conversion Cycle 455260740-24-33-21803930
Working Capital Days -13-9-4-85-38-4-25-52-99-26-93-106
ROCE %5%0%9%2%7%8%2%-4%-2%8%2%-3%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%
FIIs 1.83%0.98%1.00%1.04%1.06%1.01%0.89%0.59%0.53%0.51%0.22%0.18%
DIIs 7.77%3.18%3.14%2.90%2.90%1.69%0.25%0.28%0.29%0.28%0.37%0.28%
Public 51.66%57.11%57.11%57.33%57.31%58.57%60.12%60.39%60.43%60.47%60.67%60.81%
No. of Shareholders 94,0351,01,91099,1451,08,6271,05,7381,06,6351,05,6351,06,3461,04,2261,01,34998,62496,940

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Orient Paper & Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
HSBC Small Cap Fund - Regular Plan 6,140,857 0.19 24.876,140,8572025-04-22 17:25:230%
Quant Small Cap Fund 3,773,484 0.14 15.283,773,4842025-04-22 17:25:230%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 1.001.001.001.001.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) -2.580.294.68-1.36-2.19
Diluted EPS (Rs.) -2.580.294.68-1.36-2.19
Cash EPS (Rs.) -0.152.356.230.10-0.66
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 72.3476.3071.4273.1869.18
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 72.3476.3071.4273.1869.18
Dividend / Share (Rs.) 0.000.251.000.250.25
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 42.2239.2144.4427.6020.89
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) -0.234.079.01-0.36-1.12
PBIT / Share (Rs.) -2.662.017.45-1.83-2.65
PBT / Share (Rs.) -4.190.646.96-2.07-2.96
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) -2.580.294.68-1.36-2.19
PBDIT Margin (%) -0.5610.3620.26-1.32-5.36
PBIT Margin (%) -6.295.1216.76-6.64-12.66
PBT Margin (%) -9.921.6515.65-7.49-14.15
Net Profit Margin (%) -6.100.7410.52-4.93-10.49
Return on Networth / Equity (%) -3.560.386.54-1.85-3.17
Return on Capital Employeed (%) -2.912.118.17-2.06-3.15
Return On Assets (%) -2.260.254.50-1.32-2.37
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.090.060.090.040.03
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.250.190.170.130.05
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.370.350.430.280.24
Current Ratio (X) 0.790.490.760.460.72
Quick Ratio (X) 0.470.170.260.220.33
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 6.313.715.602.501.89
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) -9.70340.845.34-18.36-22.79
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) -160.4442.564.00228.13-74.94
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 109.70-240.8494.66118.36122.79
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 260.4457.4496.00-128.13174.94
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) -0.152.9918.38-1.55-3.60
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) -0.681.2210.55-4.80-6.05
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 880.611188.431058.03928.48587.27
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.981.431.121.591.32
EV / EBITDA (X) -173.8013.785.54-120.06-24.70
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.541.050.841.251.17
Retention Ratios (%) 109.70-240.8494.65118.36122.79
Price / BV (X) 0.310.530.520.470.35
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.541.050.841.251.17
EarningsYield -0.110.010.12-0.03-0.08

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd and is it undervalued?

Orient Paper & Industries Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹25.74, compared with a stored share price of ₹16.80. The model value is 53.2% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for Orient Paper & Industries Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹16.80. Price-data record updated: 24 September 2026, 9:53 pm +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 29.8/13.2; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have Orient Paper & Industries Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹896.00 Cr, versus ₹832.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (7.7% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹-55.00 Cr, versus ₹6.00 Cr in Mar 2024. These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does Orient Paper & Industries Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹-12.00 Cr against net profit of ₹-55.00 Cr.A cash-to-profit ratio is not meaningful with zero or negative profit.

What should I check in Orient Paper & Industries Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹292.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

What could change Orient Paper & Industries Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

Advertisements
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Orient Paper & Industries Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE