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Last Updated on: 10 November, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Services X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Services LinkedIn Logo

Orient Paper & Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: November 7, 2024, 2:47 pm

Market Cap 881 Cr.
Current Price 41.5
High / Low62.2/39.2
Stock P/E
Book Value 76.3
Dividend Yield0.59 %
ROCE1.94 %
ROE0.21 %
Face Value 1.00
PEG Ratio0.00

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Orient Paper & Industries Ltd

Competitors of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Gratex Industries Ltd 6.85 Cr. 22.626.0/13.0114 11.50.00 %4.54 %3.18 % 10.0
Ganga Papers India Ltd 109 Cr. 101191/74.773.9 27.00.00 %6.93 %5.22 % 10.0
Encode Packaging India Ltd 4.57 Cr. 14.518.7/6.4024.0 10.60.00 %3.24 %3.65 % 10.0
Cella Space Ltd 33.0 Cr. 16.416.5/7.9035.5 10.30.00 %10.7 %% 10.0
Bandaram Pharma Packtech Ltd 55.3 Cr. 46.163.1/28.353.7 10.20.22 %9.10 %6.77 % 10.0
Industry Average3,260.31 Cr232.4438.97136.500.80%25.91%12.72%6.60

All Competitor Stocks of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthDec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023
Sales118.36154.5790.80139.52164.19191.14211.22220.14253.13258.48243.27142.94203.37
Expenses125.11149.25100.10152.98162.98186.50201.35205.32184.35189.99188.87154.43185.95
Operating Profit-6.755.32-9.30-13.461.214.649.8714.8268.7868.4954.40-11.4917.42
OPM %-5.70%3.44%-10.24%-9.65%0.74%2.43%4.67%6.73%27.17%26.50%22.36%-8.04%8.57%
Other Income0.963.881.103.910.753.412.446.501.1719.0310.515.743.69
Interest1.891.871.061.331.251.331.171.891.595.755.007.438.81
Depreciation8.267.977.937.837.727.727.717.787.5210.0310.0710.0511.21
Profit before tax-15.94-0.64-17.19-18.71-7.01-1.003.4311.6560.8471.7449.84-23.231.09
Tax %33.56%-500.00%33.28%37.52%49.93%-120.00%34.99%35.11%35.06%30.37%35.41%29.75%395.41%
Net Profit-10.60-3.83-11.47-11.69-3.51-2.202.237.5539.5149.9532.18-16.32-3.22
EPS in Rs-0.50-0.18-0.54-0.55-0.17-0.100.110.361.862.351.52-0.77-0.15

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023TTM
Sales2,4901,2681,5751,6671,819511661710607443586943848
Expenses2,0631,2751,5291,6401,719510549572559477602781719
Operating Profit427-7462799111213848-33-17162129
OPM %17%-1%3%2%5%0%17%19%8%-8%-3%17%15%
Other Income2217391917771134121092939
Interest42193744512115105751027
Depreciation88374744442528323332313341
Profit before tax318-451-4221338013021-63-4414899
Tax %33%29%-190%32%2%-16%38%22%5%26%34%33%
Net Profit212-324-2921384910220-47-299963
EPS in Rs10.00-1.520.20-1.350.991.792.324.790.94-2.19-1.364.682.95
Dividend Payout %19%-6%48%-7%24%56%43%23%53%-11%-18%21%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2012-20132013-20142014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-2023
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-115.09%112.50%-825.00%172.41%80.95%28.95%108.16%-80.39%-335.00%38.30%441.38%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%227.59%-937.50%997.41%-91.46%-52.01%79.22%-188.56%-254.61%373.30%403.08%

Orient Paper & Industries Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2012-2013 to 2022-2023.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:-6%
5 Years:3%
3 Years:23%
TTM:-15%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:-3%
5 Years:-48%
3 Years:27%
TTM:-125%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:14%
5 Years:8%
3 Years:3%
1 Year:-9%
Return on Equity
10 Years:2%
5 Years:1%
3 Years:1%
Last Year:0%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Equity Capital202020202121212121212121
Reserves4184123793941,1891,2961,3641,2411,4471,5321,4941,598
Borrowings30533738044318690283688210274321
Other Liabilities362448444442407401392396404410415486
Total Liabilities1,1061,2181,2231,2991,8031,8091,8051,6951,9602,1732,2042,426
Fixed Assets5485185154931,2801,3541,3311,3231,3111,2891,4961,597
CWIP6231986111853541817177
Investments99919238297289148436538390497
Other Assets544688697769199148168171159164248254
Total Assets1,1061,2181,2231,2991,8031,8091,8051,6951,9602,1732,2042,426

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity -20383676361269968-20-2462101
Cash from Investing Activity -20-24-30-45-78151-47-7-87-98-98
Cash from Financing Activity 6-7-41-7-146-100-213510435-4
Net Cash Flow-347231-49-5-108-8-1-1

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023
Free Cash Flow427.00-312.00-291.00-353.00-344.00-185.0022.00110.0012.00-121.00-227.00-112.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days9598797717201516191476
Inventory Days62608477179117138146185100167166
Days Payable1111131129419013315318623813695145
Cash Conversion Cycle46455260740-24-33-218026
Working Capital Days60534948-7-212-10-23-13220
ROCE %-2%5%0%9%2%7%8%2%-4%-2%8%2%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthJun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024
Promoters38.74%38.74%38.74%38.74%38.74%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%38.73%
FIIs0.07%0.12%0.56%0.79%0.86%1.02%1.39%0.95%0.94%1.83%0.98%1.00%
DIIs11.56%11.35%10.58%10.58%9.40%7.48%9.38%8.59%8.59%7.77%3.18%3.14%
Public49.64%49.79%50.12%49.89%51.00%52.76%50.49%51.73%51.72%51.66%57.11%57.11%
No. of Shareholders63,70073,67071,27970,53271,57873,56584,47279,97983,15194,0351,01,91099,145

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
HSBC Small Cap Fund - Regular Plan6,140,8570.1924.873,773,4842024-11-0662.74%
Quant Small Cap Fund3,773,4840.1415.283,773,4842024-11-060%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21Mar 20
FaceValue1.001.001.001.001.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)0.294.68-1.36-2.190.94
Diluted EPS (Rs.)0.294.68-1.36-2.190.94
Cash EPS (Rs.)2.356.230.10-0.662.50
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)76.3071.4273.1869.1859.51
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)76.3071.4273.1869.1859.51
Dividend / Share (Rs.)0.251.000.250.250.50
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)39.2144.4427.6020.8928.59
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)4.079.01-0.36-1.122.80
PBIT / Share (Rs.)2.017.45-1.83-2.651.23
PBT / Share (Rs.)0.646.96-2.07-2.960.98
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)0.294.68-1.36-2.190.93
PBDIT Margin (%)10.3620.26-1.32-5.369.78
PBIT Margin (%)5.1216.76-6.64-12.664.31
PBT Margin (%)1.6515.65-7.49-14.153.45
Net Profit Margin (%)0.7410.52-4.93-10.493.28
Return on Networth / Equity (%)0.386.54-1.85-3.171.57
Return on Capital Employeed (%)2.118.17-2.06-3.151.72
Return On Assets (%)0.254.50-1.32-2.371.17
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.060.090.040.030.00
Total Debt / Equity (X)0.190.170.130.050.01
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)0.350.430.280.240.34
Current Ratio (X)0.490.760.460.720.79
Quick Ratio (X)0.170.260.220.330.36
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)3.715.602.501.892.53
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%)340.845.34-18.36-22.7963.88
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%)42.564.00228.13-74.9423.98
Earning Retention Ratio (%)-240.8494.66118.36122.7936.12
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%)57.4496.00-128.13174.9476.02
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)2.9918.38-1.55-3.6011.34
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)1.2210.55-4.80-6.054.81
Enterprise Value (Cr.)1188.431058.03928.48587.27329.71
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)1.431.121.591.320.54
EV / EBITDA (X)13.785.54-120.06-24.705.56
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)1.050.841.251.170.51
Retention Ratios (%)-240.8494.65118.36122.7936.11
Price / BV (X)0.530.520.470.350.24
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)1.050.841.251.170.51
EarningsYield0.010.12-0.03-0.080.06

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd as of November 10, 2024 is: 2.42

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of November 10, 2024, Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is Overvalued by 94.17% compared to the current share price ₹41.50

Default values used*: Default value of 15 for Stock P/E is used

Intrinsic Value of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd as of November 10, 2024 is: 3.04

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of November 10, 2024, Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is Overvalued by 92.67% compared to the current share price 41.50

Default values used*: Default value of 15 for Stock P/E is used

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: 25.70%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The stock has a low average Working Capital Days of 13.33, which is a positive sign.
  2. The company has higher reserves (1,063.67 cr) compared to borrowings (224.83 cr), indicating strong financial stability.
  3. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (408.85 cr) and profit (50.54 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a low average ROCE of 2.92%, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 20.17, which may not be favorable.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Orient Paper & Industries Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 0.74%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 2.11% (Industry Average ROCE: 25.91%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 0.38% (Industry Average ROE: 12.72%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 1.22
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 0.17
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 0 (Industry average Stock P/E: 38.97)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.19
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Orient Paper & Industries Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 25/07/1936 and has its registered office in the State of Orissa, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L21011OR1936PLC000117 and registration number is 000117. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 585.65 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 21.22 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
Paper & Paper ProductsUNIT-VIII, Plot No.7, Bhubaneshwar Orissa 751012info@orientpaper.in
https://www.orientpaper.in
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Chandra Kant BirlaNon Executive Chairman
Mr. Ashwin J LaddhaManaging Director & CEO
Ms. Gauri RasgotraIndependent Director
Mr. S VishvanathanIndependent Director
Mr. Ashwin BishnoiIndependent Director
Mr. Raj Kumar AgrawalIndependent Director

FAQ

What is the latest fair value of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd?

The latest fair value of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is ₹2.42.

What is the Market Cap of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd?

The Market Cap of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is 881 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd as on 10 November 2024?

The current stock price of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd as on 10 November 2024 is 41.5.

What is the High / Low of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd stocks in FY 2024?

In FY 2024, the High / Low of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd stocks is 62.2/39.2.

What is the Stock P/E of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is .

What is the Book Value of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd?

The Book Value of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is 76.3.

What is the Dividend Yield of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is 0.59 %.

What is the ROCE of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd?

The ROCE of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is 1.94 %.

What is the ROE of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd?

The ROE of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is 0.21 %.

What is the Face Value of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd?

The Face Value of Orient Paper & Industries Ltd is 1.00.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Orient Paper & Industries Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE