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Last Updated on: 18 November, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Services X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Services LinkedIn Logo
Stock Ticker - BSE: 540649 | NSE: AVADHSUGAR

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd: Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: November 15, 2024, 4:01 pm

Market Cap 1,126 Cr.
Current Price 562
High / Low855/480
Stock P/E13.0
Book Value 531
Dividend Yield1.78 %
ROCE12.9 %
ROE13.4 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio1.60

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd

Competitors of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Gayatri Sugars Ltd 108 Cr. 16.629.4/15.1 20.00.00 %102 %% 10.0
Dhampure Speciality Sugars Ltd 76.8 Cr. 96.8116/66.152.3 35.60.00 %3.15 %3.78 % 10.0
Dhampur Bio Organics Ltd 823 Cr. 124171/11278.2 1462.03 %5.02 %3.67 % 10.0
DCM Shriram Industries Ltd 1,588 Cr. 182242/14113.0 1001.10 %16.1 %14.9 % 2.00
Davangere Sugar Company Ltd 565 Cr. 6.0111.5/5.6245.6 3.640.00 %6.86 %3.75 % 1.00
Industry Average2,120.21 Cr296.6929.73224.520.65%13.29%13.21%6.37

All Competitor Stocks of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthJun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024
Sales618.83619.61746.52758.69688.07589.18674.55846.21682.05797.55594.11619.80707.99
Expenses548.84544.78673.47673.77623.89588.70624.16706.50609.23720.40535.21498.61650.80
Operating Profit69.9974.8373.0584.9264.180.4850.39139.7172.8277.1558.90121.1957.19
OPM %11.31%12.08%9.79%11.19%9.33%0.08%7.47%16.51%10.68%9.67%9.91%19.55%8.08%
Other Income0.481.460.541.640.335.161.901.870.251.190.681.340.30
Interest28.4724.1116.1819.6521.8018.2111.5817.7125.8420.5012.2223.0129.69
Depreciation12.8012.9512.9712.5612.4712.4212.9913.2513.1313.3913.7215.0414.28
Profit before tax29.2039.2344.4454.3530.24-24.9927.72110.6234.1044.4533.6484.4813.52
Tax %35.10%35.66%35.04%5.52%34.89%-34.85%36.04%28.51%34.99%35.05%35.26%34.54%35.80%
Net Profit18.9525.2428.8651.3519.69-16.2817.7479.0922.1728.8721.7855.298.69
EPS in Rs9.4712.6114.4225.659.84-8.138.8639.5111.0714.4210.8827.624.34

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024TTM
Sales01,8732,3362,1302,5592,7112,7442,7982,6942,719
Expenses01,4412,0661,8382,2982,4512,4412,5432,3632,405
Operating Profit-0432270292262260303255330314
OPM %23%12%14%10%10%11%9%12%12%
Other Income0-233564934
Interest01381149711611688698285
Depreciation0464444454851515556
Profit before tax-0247114154106101167144197176
Tax %0%18%23%22%17%23%26%30%35%
Net Profit-0203881208978124100128115
EPS in Rs101.6644.0859.9444.2738.7562.1550.0764.0057.26
Dividend Payout %0%0%1%3%9%10%16%20%16%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-2024
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-56.65%36.36%-25.83%-12.36%58.97%-19.35%28.00%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%93.01%-62.20%13.47%71.33%-78.33%47.35%

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 7 years from 2017-2018 to 2023-2024.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:5%
3 Years:0%
TTM:-15%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:1%
3 Years:18%
TTM:-41%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:%
5 Years:18%
3 Years:9%
1 Year:-20%
Return on Equity
10 Years:%
5 Years:14%
3 Years:14%
Last Year:13%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: November 15, 2024, 1:39 am

MonthMar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Sep 2024
Equity Capital0.05101010202020202020
Reserves-03043814995726467908711,0081,044
Borrowings01,3631,3521,5521,5961,3751,2151,0681,317724
Other Liabilities0568377548672608405459508160
Total Liabilities02,2442,1212,6092,8592,6492,4302,4182,8541,948
Fixed Assets09889839749661,0851,0771,1651,1871,166
CWIP0110469149131068
Investments02113121015474780136
Other Assets01,2351,1151,6181,8141,5351,2981,1921,577577
Total Assets02,2442,1212,6092,8592,6492,4302,4182,8541,948

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity +-0146166-106185465314364-77
Cash from Investing Activity +0-18-48-29-98-108-54-124-70
Cash from Financing Activity +0-100-144134-84-358-264-239147
Net Cash Flow-027-26-12-0-41-0

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Free Cash Flow0.00431.00269.00291.00261.00259.00302.00254.00329.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days1313191681196
Inventory Days327204341275232202180274
Days Payable646811411193546169
Cash Conversion Cycle276149246179147160129211
Working Capital Days10310316514610411999153
ROCE %46%13%13%10%10%13%10%13%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024
Promoters60.39%60.39%60.39%60.39%60.39%60.39%60.39%60.39%60.39%60.39%60.39%60.39%
FIIs0.95%0.66%2.33%2.19%2.14%2.04%1.89%2.20%3.88%4.18%4.13%3.74%
DIIs0.32%0.31%0.28%0.28%0.37%0.32%0.32%0.30%0.31%0.85%0.98%0.98%
Public38.34%38.64%37.00%37.14%37.10%37.26%37.41%37.11%35.43%34.58%34.50%34.89%
No. of Shareholders24,84924,49324,90425,43327,06726,30226,52725,36223,13623,06923,22024,868

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

This stock is not held by any mutual fund

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21Mar 20
FaceValue10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)64.0050.0762.1538.7644.27
Diluted EPS (Rs.)64.0050.0762.1538.7644.27
Cash EPS (Rs.)91.6175.6187.7762.8966.68
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)513.69445.17404.83332.57295.62
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)513.69445.17404.83332.57295.62
Dividend / Share (Rs.)10.0010.0010.004.004.00
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)1345.521397.721370.571354.011278.52
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)166.60131.89153.32132.72133.42
PBIT / Share (Rs.)138.99106.35127.71108.59111.00
PBT / Share (Rs.)98.2471.7383.5350.6353.03
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)64.0050.0762.1538.7644.27
PBDIT Margin (%)12.389.4311.189.8010.43
PBIT Margin (%)10.327.609.318.028.68
PBT Margin (%)7.305.136.093.734.14
Net Profit Margin (%)4.753.584.532.863.46
Return on Networth / Equity (%)12.4511.2415.3511.6514.97
Return on Capital Employeed (%)20.3117.1520.5918.4518.59
Return On Assets (%)4.484.145.112.923.09
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.250.340.490.740.98
Total Debt / Equity (X)1.281.201.501.832.50
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)1.021.151.080.980.93
Current Ratio (X)1.050.991.071.041.08
Quick Ratio (X)0.040.070.080.110.18
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)1.871.841.491.391.38
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%)15.6219.976.4310.323.38
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%)10.9113.224.556.362.24
Earning Retention Ratio (%)84.3880.0393.5789.6896.62
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%)89.0986.7895.4593.6497.76
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)4.093.813.472.292.30
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)2.572.452.411.671.76
Enterprise Value (Cr.)2380.421933.752665.881577.881712.12
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.880.690.970.580.66
EV / EBITDA (X)7.147.328.695.946.41
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.390.310.530.130.09
Retention Ratios (%)84.3780.0293.5689.6796.61
Price / BV (X)1.040.971.800.550.40
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.390.310.530.130.09
EarningsYield0.120.110.080.200.37

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd as of November 18, 2024 is: 941.47

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of November 18, 2024, Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd is Undervalued by 67.52% compared to the current share price 562.00

Intrinsic Value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd as of November 18, 2024 is: 1,017.94

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of November 18, 2024, Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd is Undervalued by 81.13% compared to the current share price 562.00

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: 8.12%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (1.70 cr) and profit (140.60 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a low average ROCE of 14.22%, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 110.22, which may not be favorable.
  3. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 166.33, which may not be favorable.
  4. The company has higher borrowings (1,156.20) compared to reserves (611.50), which may suggest financial risk.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 4.75%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 20.31% (Industry Average ROCE: 13.29%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 12.45% (Industry Average ROE: 13.21%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 2.57
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 0.04
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 13 (Industry average Stock P/E: 29.73)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 1.28
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 19/03/2015 and has its registered office in the State of Uttar Pradesh, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L15122UP2015PLC069635 and registration number is 069635. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Manufacture or refining of sugar (sucrose) from sugercane. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 2743.66 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 20.02 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
SugarP.O. Hargaon, Sitapur Dist. Uttar Pradesh 261121avadhsugar@birlasugar.org
http://www.birla-sugar.com
Management
NamePosition Held
Mrs. Nandini NopanyChairperson & Non Executive Director
Mr. Chandra Shekhar NopanyCo-Chairperson
Mr. Devendra Kumar SharmaWhole Time Director
Mr. Anand Ashvin DalalIndependent Director
Mr. Gaurav SwarupIndependent Director
Mr. Pradip Kumar BishnoiIndependent Director
Mr. Kalpataru TripathyIndependent Director
Mrs. Kausalya MadhavanIndependent Director
Mr. Amit DalalAddnl. & Non Exe.Director

FAQ

What is the latest intrinsic value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd?

The latest intrinsic value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd as on 17 November 2024 is ₹941.47, which is 67.52% higher than the current market price of ₹562.00.

What is the Market Cap of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd?

The Market Cap of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd is 1,126 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd as on 17 November 2024?

The current stock price of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd as on 17 November 2024 is ₹562.

What is the High / Low of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd stocks in FY 2024?

In FY 2024, the High / Low of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd stocks is 855/480.

What is the Stock P/E of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd is 13.0.

What is the Book Value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd?

The Book Value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd is 531.

What is the Dividend Yield of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd is 1.78 %.

What is the ROCE of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd?

The ROCE of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd is 12.9 %.

What is the ROE of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd?

The ROE of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd is 13.4 %.

What is the Face Value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd?

The Face Value of Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd is 10.0.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Avadh Sugar & Energy Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE