Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹391.80Overvalued by 33.93%vs CMP ₹593.00

P/E (8.5) × ROE (9.1%) × BV (₹611.00) × DY (3.54%)

₹495.96Overvalued by 16.36%vs CMP ₹593.00
MoS: -19.6% (Negative)Confidence: 52/100 (Moderate)Models: 2 Under, 2 Fair, 5 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹323.1823%Over (-45.5%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹758.6016%Under (+27.9%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹405.4211%Over (-31.6%)
DCFCash Flow₹412.3914%Over (-30.5%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹611.177%Fair (+3.1%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹499.439%Over (-15.8%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹418.607%Over (-29.4%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹664.517%Under (+12.1%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹537.065%Fair (-9.4%)
Consensus (9 models)₹495.96100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: EPS CAGR -17.5% drags value — could be higher if earnings stabilize.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: -17.5%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 25 August 2026, 6:43 am +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Sep 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹495.96, compared with a stored share price of ₹593.00. The model value is 16.4% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹7,892.00 Cr, versus ₹7,930.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-0.5% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹586.00 Cr, versus ₹485.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (20.8% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹605.00 Cr against net profit of ₹586.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 1.03 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹5.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

63
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd scores 63/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health80/100 · Strong
ROCE 12.2% GoodROE 9.1% AverageD/E 0.01 Low debtInterest Coverage 48.6x StrongProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money70/100 · Strong
FII holding up 1.03% (6mo) AccumulatingPromoter holding at 41.3% Stable
Earnings Quality50/100 · Moderate
CFO/NP ratio: 0.79x Partially cash-backedOPM contracting (23% → 7%) Declining
Quarterly Momentum65/100 · Strong
Revenue (4Q): -8% YoY DecliningProfit (4Q): +42% YoY StrongOPM: 9.0% (up 4.0% YoY) Margin expansion
Industry Rank45/100 · Moderate
P/E 8.5 vs industry 17.2 Lower P/EROCE 12.2% vs industry 13.6% AverageROE 9.1% vs industry 24.6% Below peers3Y sales CAGR: -3% Shrinking

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: August 25, 2026, 6:43 am

Market Cap 8,714 Cr.
Current Price 593
Intrinsic Value₹495.96
High / Low 619/365
Stock P/E8.47
Book Value 611
Dividend Yield3.54 %
ROCE12.2 %
ROE9.14 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio-0.48

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd 8,714 Cr. 593 619/3658.47 6113.54 %12.2 %9.14 % 10.0
Madhya Bharat Agro Products Ltd 7,401 Cr. 169 175/74.647.8 12.60.06 %19.3 %31.3 % 2.00
Gujarat State Fertilizer & Chemicals Ltd 6,362 Cr. 160 221/1399.46 3043.13 %7.06 %5.40 % 2.00
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd 6,344 Cr. 159 221/1399.15 3083.13 %7.16 %5.51 % 2.00
Krishana Phoschem Ltd 6,173 Cr. 200 202/86.231.4 18.10.05 %27.2 %38.2 % 2.00
Industry Average9,848.67 Cr341.4717.23181.771.13%13.61%24.60%6.26

All Competitor Stocks of Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricSep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025
Sales 2,5872,6732,2711,6522,0802,0882,1102,0211,9171,8992,0551,6011,968
Expenses 2,2782,2351,9021,5471,9112,0041,9651,8681,8271,7671,8151,5701,783
Operating Profit 309438369105169841451539013224031185
OPM % 12%16%16%6%8%4%7%8%5%7%12%2%9%
Other Income 85771238815212110899123157122150127
Interest 11111741723121
Depreciation 77767476787678787675747481
Profit before tax 316438417116242122171157135211287105230
Tax % 25%26%20%27%26%22%26%27%24%25%27%26%23%
Net Profit 237324334851789512711510215821078177
EPS in Rs 15.2520.8521.495.4711.456.478.647.836.9410.7514.295.3112.05

Last Updated: January 1, 2026, 1:16 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 24, 2026, 7:46 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 4,8474,6424,5524,5895,8375,8965,1625,1298,64210,2277,9307,8927,620
Expenses 4,2314,6623,9893,9364,4455,0224,6214,1256,2598,3487,4287,2776,983
Operating Profit 616-215636531,3928745421,0032,3841,879502615637
OPM % 13%-0%12%14%24%15%10%20%28%18%6%8%8%
Other Income 4552252517140215153237209361469501496
Interest 9227429720310065203513235
Depreciation 145209251251270263264272292303308303302
Profit before tax 424-4522687151,1628194259482,2981,932651790826
Tax % 31%-0%35%27%32%10%-17%27%26%24%26%26%
Net Profit 292-4521735217907414996891,7041,464485586615
EPS in Rs 18.81-29.0911.1133.5450.8047.6932.1044.35109.6294.2032.9939.8541.86
Dividend Payout % 19%-0%18%15%15%15%16%18%9%32%50%45%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-254.79%138.27%201.16%51.63%-6.20%-32.66%38.08%147.31%-14.08%-66.87%20.82%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%393.07%62.88%-149.52%-57.83%-26.46%70.73%109.24%-161.40%-52.79%87.70%

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:5%
5 Years:9%
3 Years:-3%
TTM:-10%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:13%
5 Years:3%
3 Years:-30%
TTM:6%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:25%
5 Years:20%
3 Years:-11%
1 Year:-27%
Return on Equity
10 Years:13%
5 Years:13%
3 Years:10%
Last Year:7%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 5:35 am

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: September 7, 2026, 3:00 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 155155155155155155155155155147147147
Reserves 2,3253,1223,6464,3034,8425,0675,8287,7438,8518,0518,3058,834
Borrowings 3,8443,1011,95930320886042231065
Other Liabilities 2,1642,1302,1422,4112,3372,2612,3212,7642,6132,4052,3662,282
Total Liabilities 8,4888,5097,9037,1727,5428,3448,30910,66411,62110,60610,92411,268
Fixed Assets 4,4684,3674,4424,1613,9593,8103,7203,5783,3813,2383,0942,882
CWIP 13914142582161138187289382900
Investments 1457297627267325968531,2223,1062,9192,1811,558
Other Assets 3,8613,4042,6832,2712,8263,8563,5755,7274,9464,1605,2685,928
Total Assets 8,4888,5097,9037,1727,5428,3448,30910,66411,62110,60610,92411,268

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 4909961,4451,8197012861,8841,9671,37331605654
Cash from Investing Activity + -28436-5349-310-901-856-1,899-1,2291,235-466-230
Cash from Financing Activity + -363-1,037-1,073-1,400-185546-934-130-160-1,281-262-269
Net Cash Flow -156-5320468206-6995-62-16-14-123155
Free Cash Flow 2079311,3581,8506031551,6691,8291,202-218154108
CFO/OP -2,423%179%233%146%93%62%210%109%104%49%128%111%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow207.00931.001,358.001,850.00603.00155.001,669.001,829.001,202.00-218.00154.00108.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 1101071198870771003626132920
Inventory Days 999810711098106125129918494105
Days Payable 353940576150686359424240
Cash Conversion Cycle 17316618614210713215610358558184
Working Capital Days -7982757761176897465861
ROCE %8%-3%9%10%24%17%8%16%33%23%8%10%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 41.18%41.30%41.30%41.30%41.30%41.30%41.30%41.30%41.30%41.30%41.30%41.30%
FIIs 18.63%20.11%19.40%19.18%16.15%15.41%15.03%12.67%12.08%12.13%12.05%13.11%
DIIs 6.24%7.58%9.30%6.58%11.16%11.10%10.14%10.49%10.69%11.12%11.07%11.02%
Public 33.93%31.00%29.99%32.93%31.38%32.18%33.53%35.53%35.92%35.44%35.58%34.57%
No. of Shareholders 2,76,1282,57,3622,53,0032,63,1602,67,0792,73,5722,68,6292,72,5752,75,8572,71,4802,65,7932,60,335

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
ICICI Prudential Multi Asset Fund 3,701,077 0.21 172.773,488,6462026-01-24 06:16:236.09%
ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund 2,500,000 1.44 116.71,895,6132025-12-07 05:36:5731.88%
ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund 2,122,850 0.36 99.092,088,7172026-01-25 07:17:081.63%
ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund 1,594,139 0.47 74.411,092,5572025-12-07 12:58:3645.91%
ICICI Prudential Business Cycle Fund 1,057,003 0.31 49.34N/AN/AN/A
ICICI Prudential Manufacturing Fund 922,745 0.68 43.07622,7452025-12-07 20:47:3648.17%
ICICI Prudential PSU Equity Fund 213,942 0.52 9.99N/AN/AN/A
ICICI Prudential Commodities Fund 200,000 0.26 9.34N/AN/AN/A

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 40.6832.4794.68110.0544.84
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 40.6832.4794.68110.0544.84
Cash EPS (Rs.) 60.4653.92113.69128.3961.87
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 583.62565.45585.84514.09390.44
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 583.62565.45585.84514.09390.44
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 537.12539.66658.02556.06329.99
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 75.9666.09144.11166.8579.82
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 55.3545.16124.62148.0862.30
PBT / Share (Rs.) 53.7944.31124.28147.8661.02
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 39.8532.9994.19109.6244.34
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 40.6833.8394.68110.0544.84
PBDIT Margin (%) 14.1412.2421.9030.0024.18
PBIT Margin (%) 10.308.3618.9326.6318.87
PBT Margin (%) 10.018.2118.8826.5918.49
Net Profit Margin (%) 7.416.1114.3119.7113.43
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 7.576.2614.3819.7913.58
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 6.975.9816.1621.4011.48
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 8.256.9118.6124.5713.04
Return On Assets (%) 5.434.6512.5815.958.31
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.010.000.000.000.00
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.720.700.910.900.61
Current Ratio (X) 4.674.143.773.613.57
Quick Ratio (X) 3.573.112.902.892.73
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 6.645.256.665.603.43
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 40.5593.8010.567.2611.15
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 26.9257.948.756.218.01
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 59.456.2089.4492.7488.85
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 73.0842.0691.2593.7991.99
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 48.6377.57425.81749.4862.18
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 26.5139.72279.32493.4135.55
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 5084.867652.475923.1911944.133224.13
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.640.960.571.380.62
EV / EBITDA (X) 4.567.882.644.612.60
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.921.160.771.520.91
Retention Ratios (%) 59.446.1989.4392.7388.84
Price / BV (X) 0.851.100.861.640.77
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.921.160.771.520.91
EarningsYield 0.080.050.180.130.14

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd and is it undervalued?

Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹495.96, compared with a stored share price of ₹593.00. The model value is 16.4% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹593.00. Price-data record updated: 25 August 2026, 6:43 am +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 619/365; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹7,892.00 Cr, versus ₹7,930.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-0.5% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹586.00 Cr, versus ₹485.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (20.8% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹605.00 Cr against net profit of ₹586.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 1.03 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

What should I check in Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹5.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 8.47. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE