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Last Updated on: 29 June, 2025
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Technology X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Technology LinkedIn Logo
Stock Ticker - BSE: 544057 | NSE: HAPPYFORGE

Happy Forgings Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: June 25, 2025, 10:22 am

Market Cap 9,132 Cr.
Current Price 969
High / Low 1,300/716
Stock P/E34.2
Book Value 196
Dividend Yield0.41 %
ROCE19.2 %
ROE15.5 %
Face Value 2.00
PEG Ratio-0.68

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Happy Forgings Ltd

Competitors of Happy Forgings Ltd

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
Happy Forgings Ltd 9,132 Cr. 969 1,300/71634.2 1960.41 %19.2 %15.5 % 2.00
EL Forge Ltd 44.8 Cr. 22.1 44.4/18.020.8 12.20.00 %11.2 %9.14 % 10.0
CIE Automotive India Ltd 17,119 Cr. 451 628/35721.5 1731.55 %16.6 %13.2 % 10.0
Amforge Industries Ltd 13.2 Cr. 9.14 15.5/7.2628.0 9.120.00 %6.46 %3.64 % 2.00
Tirupati Forge Ltd 552 Cr. 46.6 72.9/21.370.2 9.050.00 %12.4 %10.0 % 2.00
Industry Average11,457.78 Cr336.1983.93154.110.31%9.68%9.63%5.86

All Competitor Stocks of Happy Forgings Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025
Sales 294302330343342343341361354352
Expenses 221217230249247246244256253250
Operating Profit 738610094959798105101102
OPM % 25%28%30%27%28%28%29%29%29%29%
Other Income 223137813710
Interest 3534411222
Depreciation 16141516171618201920
Profit before tax 56688574788786978790
Tax % 26%25%25%25%25%25%26%27%26%24%
Net Profit 42516455586664716568
EPS in Rs 4.655.677.166.176.156.986.787.586.857.19

Last Updated: May 31, 2025, 5:46 am

Below is a detailed analysis of the quarterly data for Happy Forgings Ltd based on the most recent figures (Mar 2025) and their trends compared to the previous period:

  • For Sales, as of Mar 2025, the value is 352.00 Cr.. The value appears to be declining and may need further review. It has decreased from 354.00 Cr. (Dec 2024) to 352.00 Cr., marking a decrease of 2.00 Cr..
  • For Expenses, as of Mar 2025, the value is 250.00 Cr.. The value appears to be improving (decreasing) as expected. It has decreased from 253.00 Cr. (Dec 2024) to 250.00 Cr., marking a decrease of 3.00 Cr..
  • For Operating Profit, as of Mar 2025, the value is 102.00 Cr.. The value appears strong and on an upward trend. It has increased from 101.00 Cr. (Dec 2024) to 102.00 Cr., marking an increase of 1.00 Cr..
  • For OPM %, as of Mar 2025, the value is 29.00%. The value remains steady. There is no change compared to the previous period (Dec 2024) which recorded 29.00%.
  • For Other Income, as of Mar 2025, the value is 10.00 Cr.. The value appears strong and on an upward trend. It has increased from 7.00 Cr. (Dec 2024) to 10.00 Cr., marking an increase of 3.00 Cr..
  • For Interest, as of Mar 2025, the value is 2.00 Cr.. The value remains steady. There is no change compared to the previous period (Dec 2024) which recorded 2.00 Cr..
  • For Depreciation, as of Mar 2025, the value is 20.00 Cr.. The value appears to be increasing, which may not be favorable. It has increased from 19.00 Cr. (Dec 2024) to 20.00 Cr., marking an increase of 1.00 Cr..
  • For Profit before tax, as of Mar 2025, the value is 90.00 Cr.. The value appears strong and on an upward trend. It has increased from 87.00 Cr. (Dec 2024) to 90.00 Cr., marking an increase of 3.00 Cr..
  • For Tax %, as of Mar 2025, the value is 24.00%. The value appears to be improving (decreasing) as expected. It has decreased from 26.00% (Dec 2024) to 24.00%, marking a decrease of 2.00%.
  • For Net Profit, as of Mar 2025, the value is 68.00 Cr.. The value appears strong and on an upward trend. It has increased from 65.00 Cr. (Dec 2024) to 68.00 Cr., marking an increase of 3.00 Cr..
  • For EPS in Rs, as of Mar 2025, the value is 7.19. The value appears strong and on an upward trend. It has increased from 6.85 (Dec 2024) to 7.19, marking an increase of 0.34.

Overall, while many items appear to show a positive trend, any significant downward movement warrant further investigation.

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: June 16, 2025, 1:02 pm

MetricMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Sales 5507505585858601,1971,3581,409
Expenses 4135454164266298569711,002
Operating Profit 137205142159231341388407
OPM % 25%27%26%27%27%28%29%29%
Other Income 4176661338
Interest 22232512712128
Depreciation 2329283638546577
Profit before tax 9615596117192280324360
Tax % 39%38%17%26%26%25%25%26%
Net Profit 58958086142209243268
EPS in Rs 738.381,066.26893.18965.9215.9023.3225.7928.39
Dividend Payout % 0%0%0%0%0%6%16%11%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)63.79%-15.79%7.50%65.12%47.18%16.27%10.29%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-79.58%23.29%57.62%-17.93%-30.92%-5.98%

Happy Forgings Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 7 years from 2018-2019 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:20%
3 Years:18%
TTM:4%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:27%
3 Years:23%
TTM:10%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:%
5 Years:%
3 Years:%
1 Year:-21%
Return on Equity
10 Years:%
5 Years:18%
3 Years:18%
Last Year:15%

Last Updated: Unknown

No data available for the Balance Sheet data table.

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Cash from Operating Activity +1361695080209189292
Cash from Investing Activity +-162-119-59-166-172-469-319
Cash from Financing Activity +27-501083-3728139
Net Cash Flow1-01-3-0112

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days1148290103949496
Inventory Days111106111176173112137
Days Payable48305355423234
Cash Conversion Cycle177158148225226175199
Working Capital Days12310694157146120141
ROCE %32%19%18%22%26%23%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

No valid data available for the Shareholding

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
SBI Small Cap Fund 3,700,000 0.9 284.86N/AN/AN/A
Kotak Small Cap Fund - Regular Plan 1,597,648 0.78 1231,594,8912025-05-09 08:50:270.17%
SBI Automotive Opportunities Fund 1,400,000 2.03 107.79N/AN/AN/A
DSP Small Cap Fund 700,000 0.38 53.89708,0952025-05-13 09:42:05-1.14%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Flexi Cap Fund 424,215 0.15 32.66333,2862025-05-09 10:15:5327.28%
Nippon India Flexi Cap Fund 397,477 0.36 30.6N/AN/AN/A
Sundaram Focused Fund 393,192 2.86 30.27N/AN/AN/A
HSBC Small Cap Fund - Regular Plan 385,125 0.2 29.65385,1252025-04-22 17:25:110%
Kotak Business Cycle Fund 293,176 0.87 22.57N/AN/AN/A
Axis Small Cap Fund 275,287 0.09 21.19275,2872025-04-22 17:25:110%

ROCE / ROE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22
FaceValue 2.002.002.002.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 28.3926.7823.3215.90
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 28.3726.7523.3215.90
Cash EPS (Rs.) 36.5632.6629.3720.11
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 196.25171.17110.4388.00
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 196.25171.17110.4388.00
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 149.50144.18133.6996.09
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 47.1342.5638.7426.47
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 38.9535.6832.6822.26
PBT / Share (Rs.) 38.1534.4331.2921.46
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 28.3825.7923.3215.90
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 28.3825.7923.3215.90
PBDIT Margin (%) 31.5229.5128.9727.55
PBIT Margin (%) 26.0524.7524.4423.16
PBT Margin (%) 25.5223.8823.4022.32
Net Profit Margin (%) 18.9817.8817.4416.54
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 18.9817.8817.4416.54
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 14.4615.0621.1118.06
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 19.4320.4427.3422.51
Return On Assets (%) 12.0712.8815.7312.59
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.000.000.050.09
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.120.080.220.30
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.680.840.970.00
Current Ratio (X) 2.813.071.911.74
Quick Ratio (X) 2.102.141.250.98
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 2.643.203.100.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 58.9634.0427.7933.10
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 36.5021.6317.7320.87
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 7495.558392.350.000.00
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 5.326.180.000.00
EV / EBITDA (X) 16.8820.930.000.00
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 5.266.160.000.00
Price / BV (X) 4.005.190.000.00
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 5.266.160.000.00
EarningsYield 0.030.020.000.00

After reviewing the key financial ratios for Happy Forgings Ltd, here is a detailed analysis based on the latest available data and recent trends:

  • For FaceValue, as of Mar 25, the value is 2.00. This value is within the healthy range. There is no change compared to the previous period (Mar 24) which recorded 2.00.
  • For Basic EPS (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 28.39. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 26.78 (Mar 24) to 28.39, marking an increase of 1.61.
  • For Diluted EPS (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 28.37. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 26.75 (Mar 24) to 28.37, marking an increase of 1.62.
  • For Cash EPS (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 36.56. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 32.66 (Mar 24) to 36.56, marking an increase of 3.90.
  • For Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 196.25. It has increased from 171.17 (Mar 24) to 196.25, marking an increase of 25.08.
  • For Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 196.25. It has increased from 171.17 (Mar 24) to 196.25, marking an increase of 25.08.
  • For Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 149.50. It has increased from 144.18 (Mar 24) to 149.50, marking an increase of 5.32.
  • For PBDIT / Share (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 47.13. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 42.56 (Mar 24) to 47.13, marking an increase of 4.57.
  • For PBIT / Share (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 38.95. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 35.68 (Mar 24) to 38.95, marking an increase of 3.27.
  • For PBT / Share (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 38.15. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 34.43 (Mar 24) to 38.15, marking an increase of 3.72.
  • For Net Profit / Share (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 28.38. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 25.79 (Mar 24) to 28.38, marking an increase of 2.59.
  • For NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.), as of Mar 25, the value is 28.38. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 25.79 (Mar 24) to 28.38, marking an increase of 2.59.
  • For PBDIT Margin (%), as of Mar 25, the value is 31.52. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 29.51 (Mar 24) to 31.52, marking an increase of 2.01.
  • For PBIT Margin (%), as of Mar 25, the value is 26.05. This value exceeds the healthy maximum of 20. It has increased from 24.75 (Mar 24) to 26.05, marking an increase of 1.30.
  • For PBT Margin (%), as of Mar 25, the value is 25.52. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 23.88 (Mar 24) to 25.52, marking an increase of 1.64.
  • For Net Profit Margin (%), as of Mar 25, the value is 18.98. This value exceeds the healthy maximum of 10. It has increased from 17.88 (Mar 24) to 18.98, marking an increase of 1.10.
  • For NP After MI And SOA Margin (%), as of Mar 25, the value is 18.98. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 17.88 (Mar 24) to 18.98, marking an increase of 1.10.
  • For Return on Networth / Equity (%), as of Mar 25, the value is 14.46. This value is below the healthy minimum of 15. It has decreased from 15.06 (Mar 24) to 14.46, marking a decrease of 0.60.
  • For Return on Capital Employeed (%), as of Mar 25, the value is 19.43. This value is within the healthy range. It has decreased from 20.44 (Mar 24) to 19.43, marking a decrease of 1.01.
  • For Return On Assets (%), as of Mar 25, the value is 12.07. This value is within the healthy range. It has decreased from 12.88 (Mar 24) to 12.07, marking a decrease of 0.81.
  • For Long Term Debt / Equity (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 0.00. This value is below the healthy minimum of 0.2. There is no change compared to the previous period (Mar 24) which recorded 0.00.
  • For Total Debt / Equity (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 0.12. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 0.08 (Mar 24) to 0.12, marking an increase of 0.04.
  • For Asset Turnover Ratio (%), as of Mar 25, the value is 0.68. It has decreased from 0.84 (Mar 24) to 0.68, marking a decrease of 0.16.
  • For Current Ratio (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 2.81. This value is within the healthy range. It has decreased from 3.07 (Mar 24) to 2.81, marking a decrease of 0.26.
  • For Quick Ratio (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 2.10. This value exceeds the healthy maximum of 2. It has decreased from 2.14 (Mar 24) to 2.10, marking a decrease of 0.04.
  • For Inventory Turnover Ratio (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 2.64. This value is below the healthy minimum of 4. It has decreased from 3.20 (Mar 24) to 2.64, marking a decrease of 0.56.
  • For Interest Coverage Ratio (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 58.96. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 34.04 (Mar 24) to 58.96, marking an increase of 24.92.
  • For Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 36.50. This value is within the healthy range. It has increased from 21.63 (Mar 24) to 36.50, marking an increase of 14.87.
  • For Enterprise Value (Cr.), as of Mar 25, the value is 7,495.55. It has decreased from 8,392.35 (Mar 24) to 7,495.55, marking a decrease of 896.80.
  • For EV / Net Operating Revenue (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 5.32. This value exceeds the healthy maximum of 3. It has decreased from 6.18 (Mar 24) to 5.32, marking a decrease of 0.86.
  • For EV / EBITDA (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 16.88. This value exceeds the healthy maximum of 15. It has decreased from 20.93 (Mar 24) to 16.88, marking a decrease of 4.05.
  • For MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 5.26. This value exceeds the healthy maximum of 3. It has decreased from 6.16 (Mar 24) to 5.26, marking a decrease of 0.90.
  • For Price / BV (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 4.00. This value exceeds the healthy maximum of 3. It has decreased from 5.19 (Mar 24) to 4.00, marking a decrease of 1.19.
  • For Price / Net Operating Revenue (X), as of Mar 25, the value is 5.26. This value exceeds the healthy maximum of 3. It has decreased from 6.16 (Mar 24) to 5.26, marking a decrease of 0.90.
  • For EarningsYield, as of Mar 25, the value is 0.03. This value is below the healthy minimum of 5. It has increased from 0.02 (Mar 24) to 0.03, marking an increase of 0.01.

Overall, while many metrics show healthy performance, any figures highlighted in red or significant downward trends warrant further investigation.

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Happy Forgings Ltd as of June 29, 2025 is: 834.60

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of June 29, 2025, Happy Forgings Ltd is Overvalued by 13.87% compared to the current share price 969.00

Intrinsic Value of Happy Forgings Ltd as of June 29, 2025 is: 412.21

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of June 29, 2025, Happy Forgings Ltd is Overvalued by 57.46% compared to the current share price 969.00

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: -50.61%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

Unable to fetch valid data for stock valuation.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Happy Forgings Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 18.98%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 19.43% (Industry Average ROCE: 9.68%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 14.46% (Industry Average ROE: 9.63%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 36.5
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 2.1
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 34.2 (Industry average Stock P/E: 83.93)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.12
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Happy Forgings Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 02/07/1979 and has its registered office in the State of Punjab, India. Company's Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L28910PB1979PLC004008 and registration number is 004008. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Forging, pressing, stamping and roll-forming of metal; powder metallurgy. Company's Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 1408.89 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 18.85 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2025.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
ForgingsB-XXIX, 2254/1, Kanganwal Road, Ludhiana Punjab 141120complianceofficer@happyforgingsltd.co.in
http://www.happyforgingsltd.com
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Paritosh KumarChairman & Managing Director
Mr. Ashish GargManaging Director
Mr. Narinder Singh JunejaWholeTime Director & CEO
Ms. Megha GargWhole Time Director
Mr. Satish SekhriIndependent Director
Mr. Vikas GiyaIndependent Director
Mr. Atul Behari LallIndependent Director
Ms. Rajeswari KarthigeyanIndependent Director
Mr. Ravindra PisharodyIndependent Director
FAQ: Stock data is invalid or not in the correct format.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Happy Forgings Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE