Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
post
Last Updated on: 24 February, 2025
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Technology X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Technology LinkedIn Logo
Stock Ticker - BSE: 544057 | NSE: HAPPYFORGE

Happy Forgings Ltd: Share Price Analysis, Intrinsic Value & Fundamentals (2025)

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: February 22, 2025, 5:41 am

Market Cap 8,313 Cr.
Current Price 882
High / Low 1,300/813
Stock P/E31.3
Book Value 182
Dividend Yield0.45 %
ROCE22.7 %
ROE18.7 %
Face Value 2.00
PEG Ratio-0.61

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Happy Forgings Ltd

Competitors of Happy Forgings Ltd

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
Happy Forgings Ltd 8,313 Cr. 882 1,300/81331.3 1820.45 %22.7 %18.7 % 2.00
EL Forge Ltd 49.6 Cr. 24.4 44.4/9.2420.2 11.60.00 %%% 10.0
CIE Automotive India Ltd 15,965 Cr. 421 628/40119.5 1731.19 %16.6 %13.1 % 10.0
Amforge Industries Ltd 12.5 Cr. 8.70 15.5/8.42 8.930.00 %3.55 %3.17 % 2.00
Tirupati Forge Ltd 407 Cr. 39.2 72.9/14.048.0 5.320.00 %18.3 %15.0 % 2.00
Industry Average10,055.67 Cr301.56134.75127.140.32%11.36%12.82%5.86

All Competitor Stocks of Happy Forgings Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024
Sales 294302330343342343341361
Expenses 221217230249247246244256
Operating Profit 738610094959798105
OPM % 25%28%30%27%28%28%29%29%
Other Income 223137813
Interest 35344112
Depreciation 1614151617161820
Profit before tax 5668857478878697
Tax % 26%25%25%25%25%25%26%27%
Net Profit 4251645558666471
EPS in Rs 4.655.677.166.176.156.986.787.58

Last Updated: January 5, 2025, 7:58 am

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MetricMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024TTM
Sales 5507505585858601,1971,3581,370
Expenses 413545416426629856971986
Operating Profit 137205142159231341388384
OPM % 25%27%26%27%27%28%29%28%
Other Income 4176661319
Interest 222325127121210
Depreciation 2329283638546567
Profit before tax 9615596117192280324325
Tax % 39%38%17%26%26%25%25%
Net Profit 58958086142209243243
EPS in Rs 738.381,066.26893.18965.9215.9023.3225.7926.08
Dividend Payout % 0%0%0%0%0%6%5%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-2024
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)63.79%-15.79%7.50%65.12%47.18%16.27%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-79.58%23.29%57.62%-17.93%-30.92%

Happy Forgings Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 6 years from 2018-2019 to 2023-2024.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:13%
3 Years:32%
TTM:6%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:%
5 Years:21%
3 Years:41%
TTM:17%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:%
5 Years:%
3 Years:%
1 Year:-8%
Return on Equity
10 Years:%
5 Years:19%
3 Years:20%
Last Year:19%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: November 14, 2024, 2:35 pm

MonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Sep 2024
Equity Capital 899918181919
Reserves 1764705506367709701,5941,692
Borrowings 301156105150240219143148
Other Liabilities 928510079102119130160
Total Liabilities 5767197638741,1301,3261,8862,019
Fixed Assets 285291275415456678744894
CWIP 946109402127512769
Investments 030000000
Other Assets 2823523784194615731,0151,057
Total Assets 5767197638741,1301,3261,8862,019

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity +1361695080209189
Cash from Investing Activity +-162-119-59-166-172-469
Cash from Financing Activity +27-501083-37281
Net Cash Flow1-01-3-01

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Free Cash Flow-164.0049.0037.009.00-9.00122.00245.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days1148290103949496
Inventory Days111106111176173112137
Days Payable48305355423234
Cash Conversion Cycle177158148225226175199
Working Capital Days12310694157146120141
ROCE %32%19%18%22%26%23%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthDec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024
Promoters78.60%78.60%78.60%78.60%78.60%
FIIs2.06%1.12%2.24%2.27%2.28%
DIIs5.83%16.92%16.69%17.13%17.06%
Public13.50%3.35%2.47%1.99%2.05%
No. of Shareholders1,34,83993,58774,09065,37664,982

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
Kotak Small Cap Fund - Regular Plan1,594,8911.08189.8450,0002025-02-22254.42%
DSP Small Cap Fund708,0950.5184.27450,0002025-02-2257.35%
SBI Flexi Cap Fund543,0000.2864.62450,0002025-02-2220.67%
SBI Infrastructure Fund450,0001.1253.55450,0002025-02-220%
HSBC Small Cap Fund - Regular Plan385,1250.2745.83450,0002025-02-22-14.42%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Flexi Cap Fund333,2860.1739.66450,0002025-02-22-25.94%
Edelweiss Recently Listed IPO Fund280,4093.4733.37450,0002025-02-22-37.69%
Axis Small Cap Fund275,2870.1432.76450,0002025-02-22-38.83%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Business Cycle Fund193,8251.2323.07450,0002025-02-22-56.93%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Manufacturing Equity Fund142,0351.4216.9450,0002025-02-22-68.44%

ROCE / ROE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 24Mar 23Mar 22
FaceValue 2.002.002.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 26.7823.3215.90
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 26.7523.3215.90
Cash EPS (Rs.) 32.6629.3720.11
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 171.17110.4388.00
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 171.17110.4388.00
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 144.18133.6996.09
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 42.5638.7426.47
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 35.6832.6822.26
PBT / Share (Rs.) 34.4331.2921.46
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 25.7923.3215.90
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 25.7923.3215.90
PBDIT Margin (%) 29.5128.9727.55
PBIT Margin (%) 24.7524.4423.16
PBT Margin (%) 23.8823.4022.32
Net Profit Margin (%) 17.8817.4416.54
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 17.8817.4416.54
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 15.0621.1118.06
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 20.4427.3422.51
Return On Assets (%) 12.8815.7312.59
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.000.050.09
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.080.220.30
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.840.970.00
Current Ratio (X) 3.071.911.74
Quick Ratio (X) 2.141.250.98
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 3.203.100.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 34.0427.7933.10
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 21.6317.7320.87
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 8392.350.000.00
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 6.180.000.00
EV / EBITDA (X) 20.930.000.00
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 6.160.000.00
Price / BV (X) 5.190.000.00
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 6.160.000.00
EarningsYield 0.020.000.00

After reviewing the key financial ratios for Happy Forgings Ltd, here is a detailed analysis based on recent trends:

For FaceValue, the latest value as of Mar 22 is 2 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was no change.
For Basic EPS (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 15.9 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 7.42.
For Diluted EPS (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 15.9 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 7.42.
For Cash EPS (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 20.11 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 9.26.
For Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 88 Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 22.43.
For Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 88 Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 22.43.
For Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 96.09 Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 37.6.
For PBDIT / Share (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 26.47 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 12.27.
For PBIT / Share (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 22.26 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 10.42.
For PBT / Share (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 21.46 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 9.83.
For Net Profit / Share (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 15.9 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 7.42.
For NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 15.9 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 7.42.
For PBDIT Margin (%), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 27.55 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 1.42.
For PBIT Margin (%), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 23.16 which exceeds the healthy maximum of 20. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 1.28.
For PBT Margin (%), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 22.32 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 1.08.
For Net Profit Margin (%), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 16.54 which exceeds the healthy maximum of 10. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 0.9.
For NP After MI And SOA Margin (%), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 16.54 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 0.9.
For Return on Networth / Equity (%), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 18.06 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 3.05.
For Return on Capital Employeed (%), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 22.51 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 4.83.
For Return On Assets (%), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 12.59 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 3.14.
For Long Term Debt / Equity (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0.09 which is below the healthy minimum of 0.2. Compared to Mar 23, there was an increase of 0.04.
For Total Debt / Equity (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0.3 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was an increase of 0.08.
For Asset Turnover Ratio (%), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0 Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 0.97.
For Current Ratio (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 1.74 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 0.17.
For Quick Ratio (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0.98 which is below the healthy minimum of 1. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 0.27.
For Inventory Turnover Ratio (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0 which is below the healthy minimum of 4. Compared to Mar 23, there was a decrease of 3.1.
For Interest Coverage Ratio (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 33.1 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was an increase of 5.31.
For Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 20.87 which is within the healthy range. Compared to Mar 23, there was an increase of 3.14.
For Enterprise Value (Cr.), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0 Compared to Mar 23, there was no change.
For EV / Net Operating Revenue (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0 which is below the healthy minimum of 1. Compared to Mar 23, there was no change.
For EV / EBITDA (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0 which is below the healthy minimum of 5. Compared to Mar 23, there was no change.
For MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0 which is below the healthy minimum of 1. Compared to Mar 23, there was no change.
For Price / BV (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0 which is below the healthy minimum of 1. Compared to Mar 23, there was no change.
For Price / Net Operating Revenue (X), the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0 which is below the healthy minimum of 1. Compared to Mar 23, there was no change.
For EarningsYield, the latest value as of Mar 22 is 0 which is below the healthy minimum of 5. Compared to Mar 23, there was no change.

Overall, while many metrics show healthy performance, any figures highlighted in red or significant downward trends warrant further investigation. If you have any questions or need more detailed insights, please feel free to reach out.

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Happy Forgings Ltd as of February 24, 2025 is: ₹856.05

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of February 24, 2025, Happy Forgings Ltd is Overvalued by 2.94% compared to the current share price ₹882.00

Intrinsic Value of Happy Forgings Ltd as of February 24, 2025 is: 415.69

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of February 24, 2025, Happy Forgings Ltd is Overvalued by 52.87% compared to the current share price ₹882.00

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: -51.44%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The stock has a high average ROCE of 20.00%, which is a positive sign.
  2. The company has higher reserves (857.25 cr) compared to borrowings (182.75 cr), indicating strong financial stability.
  3. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (413.25 cr) and profit (198.13 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 126.71, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 186.86, which may not be favorable.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Happy Forgings Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 17.88%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 20.44% (Industry Average ROCE: 11.36%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 15.06% (Industry Average ROE: 12.82%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 21.63
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 2.14
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 31.3 (Industry average Stock P/E: 134.75)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 0.08
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Happy Forgings Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 02/07/1979 and has its registered office in the State of Punjab, India. Company's Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L28910PB1979PLC004008 and registration number is 004008. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Forging, pressing, stamping and roll-forming of metal; powder metallurgy. Company's Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 1358.24 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 18.84 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2024.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
ForgingsB-XXIX, 2254/1, Kanganwal Road, Ludhiana Punjab 141120complianceofficer@happyforgingsltd.co.in
http://www.happyforgingsltd.com
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Paritosh KumarChairman & Managing Director
Mr. Ashish GargManaging Director
Mr. Narinder Singh JunejaWholeTime Director & CEO
Ms. Megha GargWhole Time Director
Mr. Satish SekhriIndependent Director
Mr. Vikas GiyaIndependent Director
Mr. Atul Behari LallIndependent Director
Ms. Rajeswari KarthigeyanIndependent Director
Mr. Ravindra PisharodyIndependent Director

FAQ

What is the latest intrinsic value of Happy Forgings Ltd?

Let's break down Happy Forgings Ltd's intrinsic value simply:

We calculate intrinsic value using the PE Ratio Method - comparing the company's current price-to-earnings ratio with its historical average and industry peers. Think of it like checking if a stock is "on sale" compared to its typical pricing.

As of 23 February 2025:

  • Calculated Fair Value: ₹856.05
  • Current Market Price: ₹882.00
  • Variance: 2.94% lower

This suggests Happy Forgings Ltd is currently overvalued by 2.94%. For context:

  • Market Cap: 8,313 Cr.
  • 52-Week Range: 1,300/813
  • Reserves (Sep 2024): ₹1,692 Cr
  • Liabilities: 2,019 Cr

Remember: The PE method gives a snapshot based on earnings multiples. While useful for quick comparisons, investors should also consider growth prospects, industry trends, and economic conditions. This calculation assumes historical PE ratios remain relevant - always verify with current market dynamics.

What is the Market Cap of Happy Forgings Ltd?

The Market Cap of Happy Forgings Ltd is 8,313 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Happy Forgings Ltd as on 23 February 2025?

The current stock price of Happy Forgings Ltd as on 23 February 2025 is ₹882.

What is the High / Low of Happy Forgings Ltd stocks in FY 2024-2025?

In FY 2024-2025, the High / Low of Happy Forgings Ltd stocks is 1,300/813.

What is the Stock P/E of Happy Forgings Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Happy Forgings Ltd is 31.3.

What is the Book Value of Happy Forgings Ltd?

The Book Value of Happy Forgings Ltd is 182.

What is the Dividend Yield of Happy Forgings Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Happy Forgings Ltd is 0.45 %.

What is the ROCE of Happy Forgings Ltd?

The ROCE of Happy Forgings Ltd is 22.7 %.

What is the ROE of Happy Forgings Ltd?

The ROE of Happy Forgings Ltd is 18.7 %.

What is the Face Value of Happy Forgings Ltd?

The Face Value of Happy Forgings Ltd is 2.00.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Happy Forgings Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE