Aegis Logistics Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹395.44Fairly Valued by 8.67%vs CMP ₹433.00

P/E (29.5) × ROE (15.9%) × BV (₹104.00) × DY (1.33%)

₹265.48Overvalued by 38.69%vs CMP ₹433.00
MoS: -63.1% (Negative)Confidence: 63/100 (Moderate)Models: 1 Under, 8 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹544.4823%Under (+25.7%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹184.2017%Over (-57.5%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹23.8211%Over (-94.5%)
DCFCash Flow₹342.0211%Over (-21%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹103.947%Over (-76%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹205.819%Over (-52.5%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹145.007%Over (-66.5%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹195.337%Over (-54.9%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹246.016%Over (-43.2%)
Consensus (9 models)₹265.48100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: EPS CAGR 37.7% lifts DCF — verify sustainability. | Wide model spread (₹24–₹544) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 37.7%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated date not recorded. Annual results through Mar 2023; quarterly results through Dec 2023; cash flow through Mar 2023. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

Aegis Logistics Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹265.48, compared with a stored share price of ₹433.00. The model value is 38.7% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2023 was ₹8,627.00 Cr, versus ₹4,631.00 Cr in Mar 2022 (86.3% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2023 was ₹511.00 Cr, versus ₹385.00 Cr in Mar 2022 (32.7% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2023 period, operating cash flow was ₹280.00 Cr against net profit of ₹511.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.55 times reported profit. The gap warrants checking receivables, working capital and one-off items in the cash-flow statement.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹2,359.00 Cr in Sep 2023. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

71
Aegis Logistics Ltd scores 71/100 (Strong)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health77/100 · Strong
ROCE 15.9% GoodROE 15.9% GoodD/E 0.62 ModerateInterest Coverage 7.9x StrongProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money50/100 · Moderate
Earnings Quality75/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 0.76x Partially cash-backedOPM expanding (7% → 10%) Improving
Quarterly Momentum55/100 · Moderate
Revenue (4Q): -14% YoY DecliningProfit (4Q): +31% YoY Strong
Industry Rank85/100 · Strong
P/E 29.5 vs industry 181.6 Lower P/EROCE 15.9% vs industry 9.3% Above peersROE 15.9% vs industry 9.4% Above peers3Y sales CAGR: 6% Slow

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 25, 2026, 11:48 am

Market Cap 15,184 Cr.
Current Price 433
Intrinsic Value₹265.48
High / Low472/280
Stock P/E29.5
Book Value 104
Dividend Yield1.33 %
ROCE15.9 %
ROE15.9 %
Face Value 1.00
PEG Ratio0.78

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Aegis Logistics Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name ⇩Market Cap ⇩Current Price ⇩High / Low ⇩Stock P/E ⇩Book Value ⇩Dividend Yield ⇩ROCE ⇩ROE ⇩Face Value ⇩
Aegis Logistics Ltd 15,184 Cr. 433472/28029.5 1041.33 %15.9 %15.9 % 1.00
Mahindra Logistics Ltd 4,170 Cr. 420 451/275106 1180.60 %7.36 %0.32 % 10.0
Gateway Distriparks Ltd 2,617 Cr. 52.4 65.9/48.110.3 42.73.82 %13.5 %12.9 % 10.0
TCI Express Ltd 1,894 Cr. 493 778/44820.8 2161.42 %14.6 %11.1 % 2.00
Allcargo Logistics Ltd 1,640 Cr. 11.0 16.2/7.1035.6 3.8310.0 %4.83 %0.88 % 2.00
Industry Average5,199.68 Cr149.12181.6264.950.90%9.28%9.41%6.76

All Competitor Stocks of Aegis Logistics Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2020Mar 2021Jun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023
Sales 1,5461,0116786351,2142,1042,2352,1512,0872,1542,1011,2351,873
Expenses 1,4289115734981,0651,9602,1511,9821,8711,9521,9051,0271,662
Operating Profit 11810010513714914385169216203196208212
OPM % 8%10%16%22%12%7%4%8%10%9%9%17%11%
Other Income 10158981486181964374445
Interest 444441010252725302730
Depreciation 18181919212129333429333434
Profit before tax 1069290124132126131128174212170192192
Tax % 26%24%20%18%17%19%18%21%18%25%22%22%21%
Net Profit 787072101109102107101143159133150152
EPS in Rs 2.061.861.902.692.902.702.952.663.574.013.303.623.71

Last Updated: Unknown

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: Unknown

MetricMar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023TTM
Sales 4,4633,9815,0293,9152,2123,9304,7915,6167,1833,8434,6318,6277,577
Expenses 4,4674,0814,9213,7712,0263,7274,5255,2456,9063,4564,0967,9556,754
Operating Profit -4-100108144185204266371277388535672823
OPM % -0%-3%2%4%8%5%6%7%4%10%12%8%11%
Other Income 10423213428688333739187165
Interest 426018201816152633172288109
Depreciation 1719222323243451697279126131
Profit before tax 415380142153169225302208336472645748
Tax % 45%34%14%21%17%21%5%17%35%26%18%21%
Net Profit 223569112126133214252134249385511585
EPS in Rs 0.591.011.833.103.393.575.926.632.936.3610.1913.1914.50
Dividend Payout % 34%37%29%24%27%29%21%21%58%31%25%44%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2012-20132013-20142014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-2023
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)59.09%97.14%62.32%12.50%5.56%60.90%17.76%-46.83%85.82%54.62%32.73%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%38.05%-34.82%-49.82%-6.94%55.35%-43.15%-64.58%132.65%-31.20%-21.89%

Aegis Logistics Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2012-2013 to 2022-2023.

No data available for the compounded sales growth chart.

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2012Mar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Sep 2023
Equity Capital 33333333333333333435353535
Reserves 2582763173944718041,1741,3581,6211,9012,1453,4973,610
Borrowings 2,1093322412181882863042392537348351,9242,359
Other Liabilities 5563642952912068717037159823719461,6131,190
Total Liabilities 2,9571,0058869378991,9942,2142,3452,8903,0423,9617,0697,194
Fixed Assets 2382954264544727481,2821,3291,6991,7112,3763,6613,766
CWIP 6383353473313126121220488253412567
Investments 23161121000107002040
Other Assets 2,6336114134283549338068859648441,3332,7922,862
Total Assets 2,9571,0058869378991,9942,2142,3452,8903,0423,9617,0697,194

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023
Cash from Operating Activity + -1471,77488122138177191556146442280358
Cash from Investing Activity + -1,74397-10915-64-220-296-155-151-428-179-931
Cash from Financing Activity + 1,933-1,820-128-77-8347184-143-12661-3041,311
Net Cash Flow 4252-14961-9480258-13174-203738

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is not available in the stored cash-flow statement. Missing values are not treated as zero.

No data available for the Financial Efficiency data table.

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

No data available for the Shareholding

No data available for the Shareholding Pattern chart.

No data available for the No. of Shareholders chart.

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
Quant Small Cap Fund 13,184,087 3.52 963.15,267,1342025-12-07 04:06:16150.31%
HSBC Small Cap Fund 1,816,302 0.88 132.68N/AN/AN/A
Quant Multi Cap Fund 730,177 0.72 53.341,767,8152026-02-23 07:11:39-58.7%
360 ONE FlexiCap Fund 127,508 0.46 9.3194,0002025-12-08 04:20:4535.65%
360 ONE Balanced Hybrid Fund 53,492 0.46 3.75N/AN/AN/A

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 1.001.001.001.001.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 18.9016.2213.1910.196.49
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 18.9016.2213.1910.196.36
Cash EPS (Rs.) 26.7723.0018.1313.239.14
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 131.92127.10115.2864.4558.27
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 131.92127.10115.2864.4558.27
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 192.68200.71245.76131.92109.49
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 37.2131.6924.4616.3312.09
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 32.8827.8320.8814.0610.05
PBT / Share (Rs.) 28.1724.5418.3713.459.56
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 22.4319.1514.5510.977.10
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 18.9016.2113.1910.186.36
PBDIT Margin (%) 19.3115.789.9512.3711.04
PBIT Margin (%) 17.0613.868.4910.669.18
PBT Margin (%) 14.6112.227.4710.198.73
Net Profit Margin (%) 11.649.545.918.316.48
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 9.808.075.367.725.81
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 14.3214.6113.1016.4011.53
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 11.6613.8912.1517.2213.69
Return On Assets (%) 5.907.056.468.867.24
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.500.360.270.020.05
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.620.420.280.170.17
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.700.920.920.440.27
Current Ratio (X) 3.212.732.441.011.19
Quick Ratio (X) 3.072.672.300.931.09
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 54.530.000.000.000.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 7.909.619.7326.3524.52
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 5.766.816.7918.7015.40
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 29008.2116102.2013547.577529.0610568.79
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 4.292.291.571.632.75
EV / EBITDA (X) 22.2114.4815.7813.1424.90
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 4.172.221.541.562.72
Price / BV (X) 6.094.023.773.315.40
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 4.172.221.541.562.72
EarningsYield 0.020.030.030.040.02

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Aegis Logistics Ltd and is it undervalued?

Aegis Logistics Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹265.48, compared with a stored share price of ₹433.00. The model value is 38.7% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for Aegis Logistics Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹433.00. Price-data record updated: date not recorded. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 472/280; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have Aegis Logistics Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2023 was ₹8,627.00 Cr, versus ₹4,631.00 Cr in Mar 2022 (86.3% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2023 was ₹511.00 Cr, versus ₹385.00 Cr in Mar 2022 (32.7% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does Aegis Logistics Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2023 period, operating cash flow was ₹280.00 Cr against net profit of ₹511.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.55 times reported profit. The gap warrants checking receivables, working capital and one-off items in the cash-flow statement.

What should I check in Aegis Logistics Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹2,359.00 Cr in Sep 2023. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare Aegis Logistics Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 29.50. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change Aegis Logistics Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Aegis Logistics Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE