VRL Logistics Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹220.22Overvalued by 24.58%vs CMP ₹292.00

P/E (19.1) × ROE (21.7%) × BV (₹65.30) × DY (1.71%)

₹166.89Overvalued by 42.85%vs CMP ₹292.00
MoS: -75% (Negative)Confidence: 66/100 (Moderate)Models: 1 Under, 9 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹239.0721%Over (-18.1%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹141.6715%Over (-51.5%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹24.8810%Over (-91.5%)
DCFCash Flow₹148.3712%Over (-49.2%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹65.397%Over (-77.6%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹407.688%Under (+39.6%)
Dividend DiscountDividends₹126.188%Over (-56.8%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹136.607%Over (-53.2%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹117.077%Over (-59.9%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹180.845%Over (-38.1%)
Consensus (10 models)₹166.89100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: Wide model spread (₹25–₹408) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 8.6%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 24 September 2026, 3:55 am +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Dec 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

VRL Logistics Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹166.89, compared with a stored share price of ₹292.00. The model value is 42.8% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹3,161.00 Cr, versus ₹2,889.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (9.4% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹183.00 Cr, versus ₹89.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (105.6% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹555.00 Cr against net profit of ₹183.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 3.03 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹1,154.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

70
VRL Logistics Ltd scores 70/100 (Strong)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health73/100 · Strong
ROCE 18.3% GoodROE 21.7% ExcellentD/E 0.41 ModerateInterest Coverage 6.3x StrongProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money45/100 · Moderate
FII holding down -1.31% (6mo) SellingDII holding up 0.64% MF buyingPromoter holding at 60.2% Stable
Earnings Quality75/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 2.18x Cash-backed earningsOPM stable around 16% Steady
Quarterly Momentum70/100 · Strong
Revenue (4Q): 2% YoY FlatProfit (4Q): +84% YoY Strong
Industry Rank75/100 · Strong
P/E 19.1 vs industry 18.6 In-lineROCE 18.3% vs industry 11.6% Above peersROE 21.7% vs industry 10.7% Above peers3Y sales CAGR: 13% Moderate

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 24, 2026, 3:55 am

Market Cap 5,104 Cr.
Current Price 292
Intrinsic Value₹166.89
High / Low 313/225
Stock P/E19.1
Book Value 65.3
Dividend Yield1.71 %
ROCE18.3 %
ROE21.7 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio2.23

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for VRL Logistics Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
VRL Logistics Ltd 5,104 Cr. 292 313/22519.1 65.31.71 %18.3 %21.7 % 10.0
Transport Corporation of India Ltd (TCI) 6,375 Cr. 830 1,245/79714.0 3341.21 %19.4 %19.2 % 2.00
Globe International Carriers Ltd 261 Cr. 23.3 52.4/15.626.2 8.760.00 %15.9 %12.5 % 5.00
Maheshwari Logistics Ltd 216 Cr. 72.8 76.8/39.014.2 72.60.00 %12.0 %7.26 % 10.0
Balurghat Technologies Ltd 21.8 Cr. 12.0 19.5/9.0014.4 9.860.00 %7.16 %2.94 % 10.0
Industry Average2,989.00 Cr135.4118.58117.520.37%11.62%10.72%8.70

All Competitor Stocks of VRL Logistics Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales 682698674709737768727799825809744797827
Expenses 578584572617642663640666659622593646657
Operating Profit 103114102929410587133166187152151170
OPM % 15%16%15%13%13%14%12%17%20%23%20%19%21%
Other Income 16137962415263674
Interest 15131619212223222426262422
Depreciation 42454952575862646564656568
Profit before tax 6219246271929184983100676984
Tax % 21%-0%26%28%27%26%24%27%29%25%26%28%23%
Net Profit 491933420142213365974505065
EPS in Rs 2.7810.931.941.130.781.230.772.053.404.252.862.853.70

Last Updated: March 3, 2026, 1:48 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 26, 2026, 10:46 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 1,4941,6731,7231,8031,9222,1102,1191,7632,1642,6492,8893,1613,177
Expenses 1,2851,3961,4511,5841,6881,8651,8151,5151,7882,2452,4942,5872,518
Operating Profit 209277272220235245303248376404394574659
OPM % 14%17%16%12%12%12%14%14%17%15%14%18%21%
Other Income 1688914861321171212520
Interest 61603225121137374456799698
Depreciation 8788909898101168160144159216254261
Profit before tax 7713815810513914010464209360121250320
Tax % 26%34%34%33%34%35%14%29%23%10%26%27%
Net Profit 5791104709392904516032389183239
EPS in Rs 3.335.335.713.865.125.094.992.559.0618.295.0810.4613.66
Dividend Payout % 60%38%44%52%0%54%70%78%44%14%0%72%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)59.65%14.29%-32.69%32.86%-1.08%-2.17%-50.00%255.56%101.88%-72.45%105.62%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-45.36%-46.98%65.55%-33.93%-1.10%-47.83%305.56%-153.68%-174.32%178.06%

VRL Logistics Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:7%
5 Years:8%
3 Years:13%
TTM:8%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:7%
5 Years:14%
3 Years:4%
TTM:222%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:3%
5 Years:27%
3 Years:-5%
1 Year:-6%
Return on Equity
10 Years:18%
5 Years:20%
3 Years:21%
Last Year:17%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 1:51 pm

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: July 28, 2026, 5:00 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 8691919090908888888787175
Reserves 271423450503556527509563888858997968
Borrowings 443262185811414544225377201,0361,2281,154
Other Liabilities 154166171188191154180192196232273309
Total Liabilities 9539428978629781,2251,1991,3801,8922,2142,5862,605
Fixed Assets 7077126946257059909541,0981,4821,9012,2432,305
CWIP 9162842463538241522
Investments 0300000015000
Other Assets 237211201230231230238247356290328278
Total Assets 9539428978629781,2251,1991,3801,8922,2142,5862,605

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 235264198205192257272371318424555654
Cash from Investing Activity + -49-107-59-44-209-119-32-180-144-243-430-294
Cash from Financing Activity + -185-155-146-15411-138-234-201-171-174-90-398
Net Cash Flow 22-77-606-103735-38
Free Cash Flow 186154136160-19137239190-90148125359
CFO/OP 95%110%99%109%100%99%115%114%100%114%105%107%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow186.00154.00136.00160.00-19.00137.00239.00190.00-90.00148.00125.00359.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 202015151514151311111111
Inventory Days
Days Payable
Cash Conversion Cycle 202015151514151311111111
Working Capital Days -51-37-15-10-16-15-21-18-16-25-22
ROCE %16%24%24%17%22%21%16%10%22%18%11%16%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 60.24%60.24%60.24%60.24%60.24%60.24%60.24%60.24%60.24%60.24%60.24%60.24%
FIIs 2.16%2.51%3.26%3.83%3.94%3.65%3.62%3.98%3.99%3.75%2.98%2.68%
DIIs 29.02%28.13%26.57%25.64%25.47%25.57%25.33%24.55%24.28%23.49%25.05%24.92%
Public 8.58%9.11%9.93%10.28%10.34%10.55%10.82%11.22%11.49%12.52%11.72%12.16%
No. of Shareholders 58,23958,74462,99764,83564,71865,42665,76765,72978,88785,28979,81080,971

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

VRL Logistics Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
Nippon India Multi Cap Fund 5,440,092 0.26 137.735,427,5382026-01-26 08:25:550.23%
Bandhan Value Fund 2,200,000 0.56 55.72,266,1042026-01-26 07:39:09-2.92%
Bandhan ELSS Tax Saver Fund 1,950,000 0.72 49.371,910,0002026-02-22 11:45:422.09%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Value Fund 991,322 0.39 25.1N/AN/AN/A
Bandhan Transportation and Logistics Fund 400,000 1.55 10.13N/AN/AN/A
Aditya Birla Sun Life Special Opportunities Fund 336,200 0.83 8.51N/AN/AN/A
Bandhan Small Cap Fund 334,244 0.03 8.46655,3082026-03-23 06:31:23-48.99%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Infrastructure Fund 201,001 0.44 5.09N/AN/AN/A
Aditya Birla Sun Life Retirement Fund - The 30s Plan 146,000 0.85 3.7N/AN/AN/A

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 20.9110.1636.5818.124.99
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 20.9110.1636.5818.124.99
Cash EPS (Rs.) 49.9134.8754.6037.1423.19
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 123.99108.13110.4673.7667.59
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 123.99108.13110.4673.7667.59
Dividend / Share (Rs.) 15.000.005.008.004.00
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 361.38330.25299.80270.95199.55
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 68.4247.3947.0947.6529.47
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 39.4222.6829.0728.6411.38
PBT / Share (Rs.) 28.5813.8322.9223.767.21
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 20.9110.1636.5818.125.10
PBDIT Margin (%) 18.9314.3515.7017.5814.76
PBIT Margin (%) 10.906.869.6910.565.70
PBT Margin (%) 7.904.187.648.763.61
Net Profit Margin (%) 5.783.0712.206.682.55
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 16.869.3933.1224.577.54
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 15.7110.8516.1922.6810.69
Return On Assets (%) 7.074.0117.0811.593.76
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.330.190.100.120.06
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.410.290.180.220.17
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 1.321.411.621.861.45
Current Ratio (X) 0.640.540.910.640.68
Quick Ratio (X) 0.530.430.730.470.52
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 75.180.000.000.000.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 23.900.000.0066.210.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 10.010.000.0032.300.00
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 76.100.000.0033.790.00
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 89.990.000.0067.700.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 6.315.327.669.777.07
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 2.932.144.064.722.22
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 4528.785039.615691.144495.812122.02
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.431.742.151.881.20
EV / EBITDA (X) 7.5712.1613.6810.688.15
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.311.652.111.821.16
Retention Ratios (%) 76.090.000.0033.780.00
Price / BV (X) 3.815.055.736.703.41
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.311.652.111.821.16
EarningsYield 0.040.010.050.030.02

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of VRL Logistics Ltd and is it undervalued?

VRL Logistics Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹166.89, compared with a stored share price of ₹292.00. The model value is 42.8% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for VRL Logistics Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹292.00. Price-data record updated: 24 September 2026, 3:55 am +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 313/225; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have VRL Logistics Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹3,161.00 Cr, versus ₹2,889.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (9.4% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹183.00 Cr, versus ₹89.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (105.6% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does VRL Logistics Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹555.00 Cr against net profit of ₹183.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 3.03 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

What should I check in VRL Logistics Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹1,154.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare VRL Logistics Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 19.10. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change VRL Logistics Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in VRL Logistics Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE