Hindalco Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹724.23Overvalued by 31.55%vs CMP ₹1,058.00

P/E (11.4) × ROE (13.0%) × BV (₹608.00) × DY (0.47%)

₹775.86Overvalued by 26.67%vs CMP ₹1,058.00
MoS: -36.4% (Negative)Confidence: 55/100 (Moderate)Models: 3 Fair, 5 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹747.4726%Over (-29.4%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹989.3518%Fair (-6.5%)
DCFCash Flow₹458.3315%Over (-56.7%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹607.508%Over (-42.6%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹971.0610%Fair (-8.2%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹715.508%Over (-32.4%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹750.608%Over (-29.1%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹1,060.796%Fair (+0.3%)
Consensus (8 models)₹775.86100%Overvalued

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 3.2%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 25 August 2026, 6:45 am +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Sep 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

Hindalco Industries Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹775.86, compared with a stored share price of ₹1,058.00. The model value is 26.7% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹238,496.00 Cr, versus ₹215,962.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (10.4% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹16,002.00 Cr, versus ₹10,155.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (57.6% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹24,410.00 Cr against net profit of ₹16,002.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 1.53 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹99,165.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

74
Hindalco Industries Ltd scores 74/100 (Strong)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health81/100 · Strong
ROCE 13.2% GoodROE 13.0% GoodD/E 0.50 ModerateInterest Coverage 10.1x StrongProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money60/100 · Moderate
FII holding up 3.28% (6mo) AccumulatingDII holding down 4.29% MF sellingPromoter holding at 34.7% Stable
Earnings Quality75/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 1.87x Cash-backed earningsOPM stable around 12% Steady
Quarterly Momentum80/100 · Strong
Revenue (4Q): +13% YoY GrowingProfit (4Q): +42% YoY Strong
Industry Rank60/100 · Moderate
P/E 11.4 vs industry 28.4 Lower P/EROCE 13.2% vs industry 14.9% Average3Y sales CAGR: 7% Slow

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: August 25, 2026, 6:45 am

Market Cap 2,37,869 Cr.
Current Price 1,058
Intrinsic Value₹775.86
High / Low 1,179/697
Stock P/E11.4
Book Value 608
Dividend Yield0.47 %
ROCE13.2 %
ROE13.0 %
Face Value 1.00
PEG Ratio3.55

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Hindalco Industries Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
Hindalco Industries Ltd 2,37,869 Cr. 1,058 1,179/69711.4 6080.47 %13.2 %13.0 % 1.00
National Aluminium Company Ltd 74,071 Cr. 403 445/18411.0 1192.85 %39.2 %29.1 % 5.00
MMP Industries Ltd 1,001 Cr. 394 430/18522.4 1360.51 %12.5 %11.5 % 10.0
Maan Aluminium Ltd 714 Cr. 119 186/99.053.3 45.80.00 %7.73 %5.75 % 5.00
Manaksia Aluminium Company Ltd 244 Cr. 37.3 68.3/21.127.6 21.70.13 %10.2 %5.45 % 1.00
Industry Average62,779.80 Cr290.8628.38135.240.57%14.91%11.06%6.00

All Competitor Stocks of Hindalco Industries Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricSep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025
Sales 56,17653,15155,85752,99154,16952,80855,99457,01358,20358,39064,89064,23266,058
Expenses 50,81449,60350,53047,27748,55746,94349,31449,51050,32050,80756,05456,32657,092
Operating Profit 5,3623,5485,3275,7145,6125,8656,6807,5037,8837,5838,8367,9068,966
OPM % 10%7%10%11%10%11%12%13%14%13%14%12%14%
Other Income 33036835438149628136296561469706604532
Interest 8799349869921,034944888859869817874754803
Depreciation 1,7131,7681,8561,7861,8431,8742,0181,8921,9321,9392,1182,0802,155
Profit before tax 3,1001,2142,8393,3173,2313,3284,1364,8485,6435,2966,5505,6766,540
Tax % 29%-12%15%26%32%30%23%37%31%29%19%29%28%
Net Profit 2,2051,3622,4112,4542,1962,3313,1743,0743,9093,7355,2844,0044,741
EPS in Rs 9.816.0610.7310.929.7710.3714.1213.6817.3916.6223.5117.8221.10

Last Updated: January 1, 2026, 11:16 am

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 24, 2026, 9:46 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 87,695104,28198,759100,184115,183130,542118,144132,008195,059223,202215,962238,496261,701
Expenses 79,67195,43790,98187,867101,488115,031103,838114,449166,712200,536192,090206,691228,002
Operating Profit 8,0248,8447,77812,31713,69515,51114,30617,55928,34722,66623,87231,80533,699
OPM % 9%8%8%12%12%12%12%13%15%10%11%13%13%
Other Income 677-8321,5001,1982,8791,127906-9871,2531,3071,5191,832-219
Interest 2,7024,1785,1345,7423,9113,7784,1973,7383,7683,6463,8583,4193,312
Depreciation 3,3473,4934,3474,4574,5064,7775,0916,6286,7297,0867,5217,8818,573
Profit before tax 2,653340-2033,3158,1578,0835,9246,20619,10313,24114,01222,33721,595
Tax % 20%75%245%43%25%32%36%44%28%24%28%28%
Net Profit 2,195259-7021,8826,0835,4953,7673,48313,73010,09710,15516,00216,078
EPS in Rs 10.534.14-1.218.4727.1024.4816.7715.5061.1044.9345.1971.2071.55
Dividend Payout % 9%24%-82%13%4%5%6%19%6%7%8%7%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-88.20%-371.04%368.09%223.22%-9.67%-31.45%-7.54%294.20%-26.46%0.57%57.58%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-282.84%739.13%-144.87%-232.89%-21.78%23.91%301.74%-320.66%27.03%57.00%

Hindalco Industries Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:9%
5 Years:15%
3 Years:7%
TTM:12%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:28%
5 Years:33%
3 Years:6%
TTM:58%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:26%
5 Years:31%
3 Years:20%
1 Year:10%
Return on Equity
10 Years:10%
5 Years:12%
3 Years:12%
Last Year:14%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 6:10 am

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: September 7, 2026, 5:30 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 207207223223222222222222222222222222
Reserves 38,12240,40245,83654,62957,27958,09566,31177,96994,584105,924123,487136,361
Borrowings 68,46867,55263,81752,07452,41568,39967,20664,48660,29156,35665,64299,165
Other Liabilities 34,95032,98636,26840,08842,05641,90255,08379,17868,39268,22174,949108,933
Total Liabilities 141,746141,146146,144147,014151,972168,618188,822221,855223,489230,723264,300344,681
Fixed Assets 71,95985,64884,68785,08885,86089,195100,269106,874110,626111,810116,556130,251
CWIP 14,1114,2141,8142,0634,0977,72110,2024,9457,70014,86727,39749,526
Investments 12,34612,46315,15710,7819,0129,41117,13314,11914,11615,44424,15824,958
Other Assets 43,33038,82144,48649,08153,00362,29161,21895,91791,04788,60296,189139,946
Total Assets 141,746141,146146,144147,014151,972168,618188,822221,855223,489230,723264,300344,681

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 7,14311,68812,68710,89811,97712,66517,23216,83819,20824,05624,41010,250
Cash from Investing Activity + -3,873-3,220-2,8765,333-5,456-7,101-25,280-6,773-7,559-14,267-24,609-25,783
Cash from Financing Activity + -2,437-8,862-5,552-16,412-5,4666,610-4,882-6,765-10,450-10,817-1,81620,087
Net Cash Flow 833-3944,259-1811,05512,174-12,9303,3001,199-1,028-2,0154,554
Free Cash Flow 1,4277,6369,8187,9426,0095,93311,71511,4839,5718,3784,006-19,508
CFO/OP 94%166%109%94%89%89%105%73%97%112%94%48%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow1,427.007,636.009,818.007,942.006,009.005,933.0011,715.0011,483.009,571.008,378.004,006.00-19,508.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 383229303232293639272830
Inventory Days 114104103120115103120146138111111123
Days Payable 89879211510896981351289390102
Cash Conversion Cycle 644940363839514749454951
Working Capital Days 4-64-17171843-3131223
ROCE %5%6%4%8%10%11%9%9%17%11%11%15%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 34.65%34.65%34.65%34.65%34.65%34.65%34.65%34.65%34.65%34.65%34.65%34.67%
FIIs 27.01%27.89%26.82%27.18%28.58%28.04%28.15%27.60%28.13%28.16%29.96%31.41%
DIIs 25.78%25.06%25.64%25.41%24.17%24.53%24.68%24.93%24.11%23.17%21.35%19.82%
Government 0.22%0.35%0.35%0.35%0.35%0.35%0.35%0.35%0.35%0.35%0.35%0.35%
Public 11.92%11.59%12.08%11.98%11.78%11.99%11.71%12.01%12.23%13.16%13.21%13.26%
Others 0.42%0.47%0.46%0.44%0.50%0.48%0.47%0.45%0.54%0.51%0.49%0.47%
No. of Shareholders 6,13,2445,49,2316,41,5416,49,5516,45,5376,94,8366,81,0986,90,9326,65,0096,79,1906,91,3086,99,601

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Hindalco Industries Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
SBI Equity Hybrid Fund 25,000,000 2.96 2406.525,000,0002025-04-22 15:16:470%
SBI Large Cap Fund 11,001,605 1.93 1059.01N/AN/AN/A
SBI Multicap Fund 9,020,000 3.78 868.27N/AN/AN/A
SBI Contra Fund 8,020,000 1.58 772.01N/AN/AN/A
Kotak Flexicap Fund 7,500,000 1.28 721.95N/AN/AN/A
SBI Large & Midcap Fund 6,700,000 1.72 644.945,600,0002025-12-08 01:40:5719.64%
HDFC Flexi Cap Fund 6,000,000 0.59 577.568,400,0002025-12-15 00:42:20-28.57%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Flexi Cap Fund 5,628,825 2.19 541.836,146,1822026-02-23 03:04:57-8.42%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Large Cap Fund 5,034,769 1.59 484.65N/AN/AN/A
ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund 4,988,200 0.68 480.168,606,3282025-12-08 01:40:57-42.04%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 1.001.001.001.001.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 72.0545.7145.4261.7315.66
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 71.9145.6545.3661.6515.65
Cash EPS (Rs.) 107.5779.6177.3692.1345.52
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 557.25478.17427.09352.24299.73
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 557.25478.17427.09352.24299.73
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 1074.31972.801005.41878.64594.53
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 155.46114.27107.76132.8184.50
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 119.9680.3975.84102.5054.64
PBT / Share (Rs.) 100.6063.1159.6088.1435.59
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 72.0745.7345.4461.8215.67
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 72.0845.7445.4861.8515.69
PBDIT Margin (%) 14.4711.7410.7115.1114.21
PBIT Margin (%) 11.168.267.5411.669.19
PBT Margin (%) 9.366.485.9210.035.98
Net Profit Margin (%) 6.704.704.517.032.63
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 6.704.704.527.032.63
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 12.939.5610.6517.565.23
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 13.2810.3410.2415.608.59
Return On Assets (%) 6.014.374.496.151.83
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.450.440.540.660.88
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.500.510.610.800.97
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.950.940.480.460.33
Current Ratio (X) 1.561.391.481.281.39
Quick Ratio (X) 0.810.690.760.690.76
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 5.323.471.771.891.72
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 4.866.568.814.856.37
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 3.253.775.173.262.19
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 95.1493.4491.1995.1593.63
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 96.7596.2394.8396.7497.81
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 10.096.586.567.825.02
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 5.943.633.764.612.52
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 202578.70164494.90132943.50172305.20128775.70
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.840.760.590.880.97
EV / EBITDA (X) 5.876.485.565.846.87
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.630.570.400.640.54
Retention Ratios (%) 95.1393.4391.1895.1493.62
Price / BV (X) 1.221.170.941.621.09
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.630.570.400.640.54
EarningsYield 0.100.080.110.100.04

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Hindalco Industries Ltd and is it undervalued?

Hindalco Industries Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹775.86, compared with a stored share price of ₹1,058.00. The model value is 26.7% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for Hindalco Industries Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹1,058.00. Price-data record updated: 25 August 2026, 6:45 am +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 1,179/697; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have Hindalco Industries Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹238,496.00 Cr, versus ₹215,962.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (10.4% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹16,002.00 Cr, versus ₹10,155.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (57.6% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does Hindalco Industries Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹24,410.00 Cr against net profit of ₹16,002.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 1.53 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

What should I check in Hindalco Industries Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹99,165.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare Hindalco Industries Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 11.40. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change Hindalco Industries Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Hindalco Industries Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE