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Last Updated on: 11 October, 2024
Author: Getaka|Social: Getaka Financial Services X (Earlier Twitter) Profile Getaka Financial Services LinkedIn Logo
Stock Ticker - BSE: 500104 | NSE: HINDPETRO

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd: Intrinsic Value and Fundamental Analysis

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: October 11, 2024, 12:10 am

Market Cap 83,517 Cr.
Current Price 392
High / Low457/159
Stock P/E8.45
Book Value 221
Dividend Yield5.35 %
ROCE21.3 %
ROE40.4 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio-8.46

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd

Competitors of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd

Stock NameMarket CapCurrent PriceHigh / LowStock P/EBook ValueDividend YieldROCEROEFace Value
Reliance Industries Ltd – Share Price and Detail Financial Report 18,55,299 Cr. 2,7423,218/2,22027.0 1,1730.36 %9.61 %9.25 % 10.0
Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd 30,793 Cr. 176289/92.511.6 75.61.71 %25.8 %32.0 % 10.0
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd 2,32,139 Cr. 164197/85.57.53 1307.30 %21.1 %25.7 % 10.0
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd 83,517 Cr. 392457/1598.45 2215.35 %21.3 %40.4 % 10.0
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd 13,475 Cr. 9051,275/5085.38 5776.08 %35.4 %36.5 % 10.0
Industry Average393,459.67 Cr785.6711.24391.774.51%24.22%30.96%10.00

All Competitor Stocks of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd

Quarterly Result

MonthJun 2021Sep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024
Sales72,49183,11896,66997,635114,502108,462109,688108,056112,07995,752111,348114,678113,888
Expenses69,29880,30695,01294,829126,998110,233108,014102,927102,43487,512109,187109,796111,800
Operating Profit3,1942,8131,6572,806-12,496-1,7711,6745,1309,6468,2402,1604,8822,089
OPM %4%3%2%3%-11%-2%2%5%9%9%2%4%2%
Other Income6476631,2511,1122,0112805641,3581,2991,040791594933
Interest259159244335340603693537627590620720733
Depreciation9279601,0351,0791,1061,0941,1231,2381,3711,2471,3451,6321,484
Profit before tax2,6552,3561,6292,503-11,931-3,1874224,7138,9477,4439863,124805
Tax %25%19%17%19%-28%-22%-5%23%24%22%28%13%21%
Net Profit2,0041,9191,3532,018-8,557-2,4764443,6086,7665,8277132,709634
EPS in Rs9.429.026.369.49-40.22-11.632.0916.9631.8027.383.3512.732.98

Last Updated: October 9, 2024, 2:29 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: October 9, 2024, 2:29 pm

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024TTM
Sales216,355234,237216,648177,910187,493219,510275,491269,092233,248349,913440,709433,857435,666
Expenses212,740228,875211,916169,575176,607208,732263,963263,887217,194339,669447,916408,929418,295
Operating Profit3,6145,3634,7338,33510,88610,77811,5275,20416,05510,244-7,20724,92817,371
OPM %2%2%2%5%6%5%4%2%7%3%-2%6%4%
Other Income1,4051,3661,8361,9703,6972,7852,3836792,7313,8973,9573,7253,359
Interest1,7732,3931,8417236096187861,1399639972,1742,5562,663
Depreciation2,3653,0112,4972,8462,7762,8343,0853,3703,6254,0004,5605,5965,709
Profit before tax8821,3252,2316,73511,19710,11010,0391,37414,1979,144-9,98420,50012,359
Tax %43%19%33%31%26%29%33%-92%25%20%-30%22%
Net Profit5001,0801,4894,6758,2367,2186,6912,63910,6637,294-6,98016,0159,883
EPS in Rs2.194.736.5620.4536.0331.5829.2711.5448.8334.28-32.8075.2646.44
Dividend Payout %57%49%55%25%37%36%36%56%31%27%0%28%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2013-20142014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-2024
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)116.00%37.87%213.97%76.17%-12.36%-7.30%-60.56%304.05%-31.60%-195.70%329.44%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%-78.13%176.10%-137.80%-88.53%5.06%-53.26%364.61%-335.65%-164.10%525.14%

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2013-2014 to 2023-2024.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:6%
5 Years:10%
3 Years:23%
TTM:-1%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:31%
5 Years:19%
3 Years:14%
TTM:18%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:18%
5 Years:14%
3 Years:22%
1 Year:130%
Return on Equity
10 Years:21%
5 Years:17%
3 Years:14%
Last Year:40%

Last Updated: Unknown

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: Unknown

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Equity Capital3393393393391,0161,5241,5241,5241,4521,4191,4191,419
Reserves13,25413,66013,58516,32520,05524,00828,87629,45636,62839,98530,84445,502
Borrowings45,73747,99536,91622,16022,13021,95228,19244,00143,70948,49870,67166,684
Other Liabilities32,94635,00234,90530,72937,12742,19748,76241,93552,43864,77459,03469,205
Total Liabilities92,27696,99685,74569,55380,32989,681107,354116,918134,228154,676161,968182,810
Fixed Assets35,73638,96645,42533,67836,87638,69541,64248,95250,91258,12668,38779,763
CWIP6,5656,1573,9501,9141,8674,0119,51917,17025,33628,90725,60720,078
Investments6,4285,6916,1139,18511,77312,88214,29714,39615,09318,86723,68929,540
Other Assets43,54746,18330,25724,77629,81134,09441,89636,40042,88748,77544,28453,429
Total Assets92,27696,99685,74569,55380,32989,681107,354116,918134,228154,676161,968182,810

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Cash from Operating Activity 1,7157,00719,4106,65110,25411,0378,5545,46917,82915,810-3,46623,852
Cash from Investing Activity -5,255-5,152-5,667-4,272-5,304-7,398-11,382-14,168-12,279-13,745-11,384-13,019
Cash from Financing Activity 2,577-1,256-14,699-3,674-4,239-4,4232,5988,452-4,709-2,06616,025-16,155
Net Cash Flow-962600-956-1,295712-784-230-247841-11,175-5,322

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Free Cash Flow-42.00-42.00-32.00-14.00-12.00-11.00-17.00-39.00-27.00-38.00-77.00-42.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2013Mar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024
Debtor Days91078898511768
Inventory Days384229314235302953402532
Days Payable262523222830251730302026
Cash Conversion Cycle212713172115121733171114
Working Capital Days2728-1-1-14-11-7-12-13-15-14-12
ROCE %4%6%7%17%29%24%20%5%19%12%-8%21%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2021Dec 2021Mar 2022Jun 2022Sep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024
Promoters54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%
FIIs18.29%20.19%19.90%18.21%16.74%15.65%14.36%13.99%13.26%14.26%13.80%13.22%
DIIs15.93%15.12%15.09%16.41%17.98%19.63%21.40%22.33%22.60%21.27%22.18%21.47%
Government0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Public10.88%9.78%10.11%10.47%10.37%9.81%9.33%8.77%9.23%9.56%9.10%10.39%
No. of Shareholders3,55,2623,47,3903,95,0224,14,4144,18,9254,03,7813,85,5623,62,3953,69,8163,48,8054,03,6585,43,344

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund - Regular Plan51,175,3602.852144.58,896,7802024-10-10475.21%
HDFC Balanced Advantage Fund - Regular Plan15,915,5500.7666.948,896,7802024-10-1078.89%
Kotak Equity Opportunities Fund - Regular Plan12,500,0002.07523.818,896,7802024-10-1040.5%
HDFC Hybrid Equity Fund - Regular Plan11,250,0001.91471.438,896,7802024-10-1026.45%
ICICI Prudential Multi Asset Fund9,251,8540.8387.78,896,7802024-10-103.99%
Mirae Asset Large & Midcap Fund8,896,7800.93372.828,896,7802024-10-100%
DSP Equity Opportunities Fund8,620,9962.54361.268,896,7802024-10-10-3.1%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Flexi Cap Fund8,349,0001.51349.868,896,7802024-10-10-6.16%
ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund8,312,9672.1348.358,896,7802024-10-10-6.56%
Kotak Emerging Equity Fund - Regular Plan8,075,8320.66338.428,896,7802024-10-10-9.23%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21Mar 20
FaceValue10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.)112.89-49.2151.3670.5717.32
Diluted EPS (Rs.)112.89-49.2151.3670.5717.32
Cash EPS (Rs.)139.56-34.6169.3297.4242.43
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)330.68227.38291.80262.19203.26
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.)330.68227.38291.80262.19203.26
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.)3057.613105.902466.021605.941765.45
PBDIT / Share (Rs.)189.19-40.4689.39128.3948.18
PBIT / Share (Rs.)149.75-72.6061.19103.4326.07
PBT / Share (Rs.)131.73-87.9254.1696.7912.02
Net Profit / Share (Rs.)100.12-66.7541.1372.4620.32
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.)112.86-49.1951.4173.4217.31
PBDIT Margin (%)6.18-1.303.627.992.72
PBIT Margin (%)4.89-2.332.486.441.47
PBT Margin (%)4.30-2.832.196.020.68
Net Profit Margin (%)3.27-2.141.664.511.15
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%)3.69-1.582.084.570.98
Return on Networth / Equity (%)34.13-21.6317.6128.008.51
Return on Capital Employeed (%)22.05-11.7710.4320.926.63
Return On Assets (%)8.76-4.324.717.942.25
Long Term Debt / Equity (X)0.801.490.770.720.74
Total Debt / Equity (X)1.342.081.091.121.27
Asset Turnover Ratio (%)2.522.792.461.882.43
Current Ratio (X)0.610.590.690.700.65
Quick Ratio (X)0.210.190.190.240.32
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X)3.983.792.171.723.02
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%)13.280.0044.2413.9354.28
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%)9.840.0028.5710.3923.83
Earning Retention Ratio (%)86.720.0055.7686.0745.72
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%)90.160.0071.4389.6176.17
Interest Coverage Ratio (X)10.50-2.6412.7219.366.45
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X)6.56-3.366.8511.934.60
Enterprise Value (Cr.)129852.8699976.4082939.9176165.4368145.48
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.290.220.230.320.25
EV / EBITDA (X)4.84-17.416.544.089.28
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.150.070.100.140.10
Retention Ratios (%)86.710.0055.7586.0645.71
Price / BV (X)1.441.040.920.890.93
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X)0.150.070.100.140.10
EarningsYield0.23-0.200.190.310.09

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Fair Value

Fair Value of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd as of October 11, 2024 is: ₹794.81

Calculation basis:

  • Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.

This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.

As of October 11, 2024, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is Undervalued by 102.76% compared to the current share price ₹392.00

Intrinsic Value of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd as of October 11, 2024 is: ₹786.87

Calculation basis:

  • Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
  • P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
  • Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
  • Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
  • EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.

This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.

As of October 11, 2024, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is Undervalued by 100.73% compared to the current share price ₹392.00

Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: -1.00%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Strength and Weakness

StrengthWeakness
  1. The stock has a low average Working Capital Days of -3.75, which is a positive sign.
  2. The company has shown consistent growth in sales (283.31 cr) and profit (74.54 cr) over the years.
  1. The stock has a low average ROCE of 13.00%, which may not be favorable.
  2. The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 18.17, which may not be favorable.
  3. The company has higher borrowings (41,553.75) compared to reserves (26,014.83), which may suggest financial risk.

Stock Analysis

  • Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd:
    1. Net Profit Margin: 3.27%
      • Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
    2. ROCE: 22.05% (Industry Average ROCE: 24.22%)
      • ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
    3. ROE%: 34.13% (Industry Average ROE: 30.96%)
      • ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
    4. Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax): 6.56
      • Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
    5. Quick Ratio: 0.21
      • Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
    6. Stock P/E: 8.45 (Industry average Stock P/E: 11.24)
      • Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
    7. Total Debt / Equity: 1.34
      • Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
    The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
    Stock Rating:

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 05/07/1952 and has its registered office in the State of Maharashtra, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L23201MH1952GOI008858 and registration number is 008858. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Electric power generation using solar energy. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 349682.93 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 1418.94 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
RefineriesPetroleum House, 17, Jamshedji Tata Road, Mumbai Maharashtra 400020corphqo@hpcl.in
http://www.hindustanpetroleum.com
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Pushp Kumar JoshiChairman & Managing Director
Mrs. Vimla PradhanIndependent Director
Mr. Bechan LalIndependent Director
Mr. Vivekananda BiswalIndependent Director
Mr. Ramdarshan Singh PalIndependent Director
Mr. Nagaraja BhalkiIndependent Director
Mr. K S NarendiranIndependent Director
Mr. Amit GargDirector - Marketing
Mr. Rajneesh NarangDirector - Finance & CFO
Mr. S BharathanDirector - Refineries
Mr. Suresh K ShettyDirector - Human Resources
Mr. Vinod SeshanGovernment Nominee Director
Mr. Pankaj KumarGovernment Nominee Director

FAQ

What is the latest fair value of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd?

The latest fair value of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is ₹794.81.

What is the Market Cap of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd?

The Market Cap of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is 83,517 Cr..

What is the current Stock Price of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd as on 11 October 2024?

The current stock price of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd as on 11 October 2024 is ₹392.

What is the High / Low of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd stocks in FY 2024?

In FY 2024, the High / Low of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd stocks is 457/159.

What is the Stock P/E of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd?

The Stock P/E of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is 8.45.

What is the Book Value of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd?

The Book Value of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is 221.

What is the Dividend Yield of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd?

The Dividend Yield of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is 5.35 %.

What is the ROCE of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd?

The ROCE of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is 21.3 %.

What is the ROE of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd?

The ROE of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is 40.4 %.

What is the Face Value of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd?

The Face Value of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd is 10.0.

About the Author

Author Avatar
Getaka

Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE