Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹3,730.26Undervalued by 936.18%vs CMP ₹360.00

P/E (45.9) × ROE (30.9%) × BV (₹308.00) × DY (6.74%)

₹1,715.52Undervalued by 376.53%vs CMP ₹360.00
MoS: +79% (Strong)Confidence: 59/100 (Moderate)Models: 7 Under, 1 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹4,331.4226%Under (+1103.2%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹708.1319%Under (+96.7%)
DCFCash Flow₹1,266.3512%Under (+251.8%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹307.838%Over (-14.5%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹586.2710%Under (+62.9%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹723.608%Under (+101%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹994.7910%Under (+176.3%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹1,019.236%Under (+183.1%)
Consensus (8 models)₹1,715.52100%Undervalued
Key Drivers: Wide model spread (₹308–₹4,331) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 16.1%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 24 September 2026, 2:33 am +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Dec 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹1,715.52, compared with a stored share price of ₹360.00. The model value is 376.5% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹434,106.00 Cr, versus ₹433,857.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (0.1% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹6,736.00 Cr, versus ₹16,015.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-57.9% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹14,231.00 Cr against net profit of ₹6,736.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 2.11 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹55,964.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

74
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd scores 74/100 (Strong)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health73/100 · Strong
ROCE 22.2% ExcellentROE 30.9% ExcellentD/E 1.30 High debtInterest Coverage 5.5x StrongProfitable 4/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money65/100 · Strong
FII holding stable No changeDII holding up 0.61% MF buyingPromoter holding at 54.9% Stable
Earnings Quality100/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 2.19x Cash-backed earningsOPM expanding (1% → 5%) ImprovingWorking capital: -35 days (improving) Efficient
Quarterly Momentum70/100 · Strong
Revenue (4Q): -1% YoY FlatProfit (4Q): +155% YoY Strong
Industry Rank45/100 · Moderate
P/E 45.9 vs industry 16.5 Premium to peersROCE 22.2% vs industry 21.7% AverageROE 30.9% vs industry 22.7% Above peers3Y sales CAGR: 7% Slow

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 24, 2026, 2:33 am

Market Cap 76,665 Cr.
Current Price 360
Intrinsic Value₹1,715.52
High / Low 508/316
Stock P/E45.9
Book Value 308
Dividend Yield6.74 %
ROCE22.2 %
ROE30.9 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio2.85

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd 76,665 Cr. 360 508/31645.9 3086.74 %22.2 %30.9 % 10.0
Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd 29,149 Cr. 166 215/12610.6 80.82.41 %18.1 %14.6 % 10.0
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd 20,676 Cr. 1,389 1,678/7155.00 7254.46 %35.4 %32.4 % 10.0
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd 1,36,814 Cr. 316 392/2678.83 2315.54 %25.6 %28.8 % 10.0
Indian Oil Corporation Ltd 1,95,085 Cr. 138 189/1305.80 1555.97 %18.7 %20.5 % 10.0
Industry Average357,874.83 Cr602.8316.46361.304.27%21.72%22.69%10.00

All Competitor Stocks of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricDec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Sales 109,688108,056112,07995,752111,348114,678113,88899,957110,608109,633110,825100,856115,153
Expenses 108,014102,927102,43487,512109,187109,796111,80097,661105,113103,837103,36594,003108,155
Operating Profit 1,6745,1309,6468,2402,1604,8822,0892,2965,4955,7957,4616,8526,998
OPM % 2%5%9%9%2%4%2%2%5%5%7%7%6%
Other Income 5641,3581,2991,040791594933526462923507715727
Interest 693537627590620720733944931757817824734
Depreciation 1,1231,2381,3711,2471,3451,6321,4841,5301,5181,6231,6041,6121,674
Profit before tax 4224,7138,9477,4439863,1248053483,5094,3385,5475,1315,317
Tax % -5%23%24%22%28%13%21%59%28%21%26%25%25%
Net Profit 4443,6086,7665,8277132,7096341432,5443,4154,1113,8594,011
EPS in Rs 2.0916.9631.8027.383.3512.732.980.6711.9516.0519.3218.1418.85

Last Updated: February 5, 2026, 4:38 pm

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 24, 2026, 10:16 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 234,237216,648177,910187,493219,510275,491269,092233,248349,913440,709433,857434,106436,467
Expenses 228,875211,916169,575176,607208,732263,963263,887217,194339,669447,916408,929417,658409,361
Operating Profit 5,3634,7338,33510,88610,77811,5275,20416,05510,244-7,20724,92816,44827,106
OPM % 2%2%5%6%5%4%2%7%3%-2%6%4%6%
Other Income 1,3661,8361,9703,6972,7852,3836792,7313,8973,9573,7252,0722,873
Interest 2,3931,8417236096187861,1399639972,1742,5563,3653,132
Depreciation 3,0112,4972,8462,7762,8343,0853,3703,6254,0004,5605,5966,1546,514
Profit before tax 1,3252,2316,73511,19710,11010,0391,37414,1979,144-9,98420,5009,00020,332
Tax % 19%33%31%26%29%33%-92%25%20%-30%22%25%
Net Profit 1,0801,4894,6758,2367,2186,6912,63910,6637,294-6,98016,0156,73615,397
EPS in Rs 4.736.5620.4536.0331.5829.2711.5448.8334.28-32.8075.2631.6672.36
Dividend Payout % 49%55%25%37%36%36%56%31%27%0%28%33%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)37.87%213.97%76.17%-12.36%-7.30%-60.56%304.05%-31.60%-195.70%329.44%-57.94%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%176.10%-137.80%-88.53%5.06%-53.26%364.61%-335.65%-164.10%525.14%-387.38%

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:7%
5 Years:10%
3 Years:7%
TTM:-1%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:16%
5 Years:15%
3 Years:-2%
TTM:3%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:13%
5 Years:24%
3 Years:34%
1 Year:-14%
Return on Equity
10 Years:20%
5 Years:17%
3 Years:13%
Last Year:14%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 6:20 am

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: September 7, 2026, 6:00 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 3393391,0161,5241,5241,5241,4521,4191,4191,4192,1282,128
Reserves 13,58516,32520,05524,00828,87629,45636,62839,98530,84445,50249,01663,428
Borrowings 36,91622,16022,13021,95228,19244,00143,70948,49870,67166,68470,55855,964
Other Liabilities 34,90530,72937,12742,19748,76241,93552,43864,77458,45269,18873,06781,544
Total Liabilities 85,74569,55380,32989,681107,354116,918134,228154,676161,387182,794194,770203,064
Fixed Assets 45,42534,08636,87638,69541,64248,95250,91258,12668,38779,76386,179100,430
CWIP 3,9501,9141,8674,0119,51917,17025,33628,90725,60720,07817,9678,033
Investments 6,1139,18511,77312,88214,29714,39615,09318,86723,68929,54027,04628,012
Other Assets 30,25724,36829,81134,09441,89636,40042,88748,77543,70353,41363,57766,590
Total Assets 85,74569,55380,32989,681107,354116,918134,228154,676161,387182,794194,770203,064

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 19,4106,65110,25411,0378,5545,46917,82915,810-3,46623,85214,23136,111
Cash from Investing Activity + -5,667-4,272-5,304-7,398-11,382-14,168-12,279-13,745-11,384-13,019-10,559-11,404
Cash from Financing Activity + -14,699-3,674-4,239-4,4232,5988,452-4,709-2,06616,025-16,155-4,139-22,770
Net Cash Flow -956-1,295712-784-230-247841-11,175-5,322-4671,936
Free Cash Flow 13,0971,8274,4004,334-2,713-8,3256,2223,782-12,64613,9064,81427,999
CFO/OP 427%94%114%121%92%138%131%168%46%97%84%131%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow13,097.001,827.004,400.004,334.00-2,713.00-8,325.006,222.003,782.00-12,646.0013,906.004,814.0027,999.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 107889851176810
Inventory Days 422931423530295340253235
Days Payable 252322283025173030202628
Cash Conversion Cycle 271317211512173317111418
Working Capital Days -5-8-9-35-29-25-34-38-29-30-33-35
ROCE %6%7%17%29%24%20%5%19%12%-8%21%11%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%54.90%
FIIs 13.26%14.26%13.80%13.22%14.11%14.44%12.55%13.55%14.48%16.35%17.26%13.58%
DIIs 22.60%21.27%22.18%21.47%21.67%21.81%23.55%23.16%22.24%20.64%19.58%22.85%
Government 0.00%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Public 9.23%9.56%9.10%10.39%9.31%8.82%8.98%8.38%8.37%8.09%8.24%8.65%
No. of Shareholders 3,69,8163,48,8054,03,6585,43,3445,23,8825,08,4935,26,7544,95,6294,79,9054,62,6405,00,3435,18,531

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
HDFC Mid Cap Fund 55,530,830 2.57 2371.17N/AN/AN/A
Kotak Midcap Fund 22,265,482 1.61 950.7424,265,4822026-02-23 04:39:10-8.24%
HDFC Balanced Advantage Fund 17,635,176 0.7 753.0215,500,0002026-02-23 04:29:1713.78%
Kotak Large & Midcap Fund 14,000,000 1.99 597.8N/AN/AN/A
SBI Midcap Fund 9,994,510 1.9 426.7710,000,0002026-01-26 06:12:10-0.05%
SBI Large & Midcap Fund 9,331,762 1.06 398.47N/AN/AN/A
Nippon India Growth Mid Cap Fund 8,588,252 0.88 366.72N/AN/AN/A
DSP Mid Cap Fund 7,845,468 1.76 335N/AN/AN/A
Mirae Asset Large & Midcap Fund 7,625,695 0.77 325.628,862,8162026-01-26 07:10:14-13.96%
HSBC Value Fund 7,421,237 2.18 316.89N/AN/AN/A

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 31.66112.89-49.2151.3670.57
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 31.66112.89-49.2151.3670.57
Cash EPS (Rs.) 61.13139.56-34.6169.3297.42
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 240.32330.68227.38291.80262.19
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 240.32330.68227.38291.80262.19
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 2039.773057.613105.902466.021605.94
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 87.58189.19-40.4689.39128.39
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 58.66149.75-72.6061.19103.43
PBT / Share (Rs.) 42.85131.73-87.9254.1696.79
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 32.21100.12-66.7541.1372.46
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 31.65112.86-49.1951.4173.42
PBDIT Margin (%) 4.296.18-1.303.627.99
PBIT Margin (%) 2.874.89-2.332.486.44
PBT Margin (%) 2.104.30-2.832.196.02
Net Profit Margin (%) 1.573.27-2.141.664.51
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 1.553.69-1.582.084.57
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 13.1634.13-21.6317.6128.00
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 12.6722.05-11.7710.4320.92
Return On Assets (%) 3.458.76-4.324.717.94
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.670.801.490.770.72
Total Debt / Equity (X) 1.301.342.081.091.12
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 2.302.522.792.461.88
Current Ratio (X) 0.590.610.590.690.70
Quick Ratio (X) 0.200.210.190.190.24
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 11.973.983.792.171.72
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 0.0013.280.0044.2413.93
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 0.009.840.0028.5710.39
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 0.0086.720.0055.7686.07
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 0.0090.160.0071.4389.61
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 5.5410.50-2.6412.7219.36
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 3.046.56-3.366.8511.93
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 142822.56129852.8699976.4082939.9176165.43
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.320.290.220.230.32
EV / EBITDA (X) 7.664.84-17.416.544.08
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.170.150.070.100.14
Retention Ratios (%) 0.0086.710.0055.7586.06
Price / BV (X) 1.501.441.040.920.89
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.170.150.070.100.14
EarningsYield 0.080.23-0.200.190.31

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd and is it undervalued?

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹1,715.52, compared with a stored share price of ₹360.00. The model value is 376.5% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹360.00. Price-data record updated: 24 September 2026, 2:33 am +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 508/316; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹434,106.00 Cr, versus ₹433,857.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (0.1% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹6,736.00 Cr, versus ₹16,015.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-57.9% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹14,231.00 Cr against net profit of ₹6,736.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 2.11 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

What should I check in Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹55,964.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 45.90. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE