Coal India Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹389.38Fairly Valued by 8.60%vs CMP ₹426.00

P/E (8.4) × ROE (28.2%) × BV (₹193.00) × DY (6.21%)

₹480.72Undervalued by 12.85%vs CMP ₹426.00
MoS: +11.4% (Thin)Confidence: 38/100 (Low)Models: 3 Under, 3 Fair, 3 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹433.9922%Fair (+1.9%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹458.6916%Fair (+7.7%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹450.6911%Fair (+5.8%)
DCFCash Flow₹826.8613%Under (+94.1%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹193.087%Over (-54.7%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹706.179%Under (+65.8%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹484.507%Under (+13.7%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹304.599%Over (-28.5%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹232.425%Over (-45.4%)
Consensus (9 models)₹480.72100%Undervalued
Key Drivers: Wide model spread (₹193–₹827) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: 11.5%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 14 September 2026, 12:51 pm +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Sep 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

Coal India Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹480.72, compared with a stored share price of ₹426.00. The model value is 12.8% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹143,369.00 Cr, versus ₹144,762.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-1.0% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹35,302.00 Cr, versus ₹37,369.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-5.5% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹30,237.00 Cr against net profit of ₹35,302.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.86 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹14,072.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

78
Coal India Ltd scores 78/100 (Strong)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health96/100 · Strong
ROCE 35.0% ExcellentROE 28.2% ExcellentD/E 0.08 Low debtInterest Coverage 64.0x StrongProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money45/100 · Moderate
FII holding up 2.41% (6mo) AccumulatingDII holding down 0.60% MF sellingPromoter decreased by 2.00% Caution
Earnings Quality100/100 · Strong
CFO/NP ratio: 0.81x Cash-backed earningsOPM expanding (28% → 33%) ImprovingWorking capital: -14 days (improving) Efficient
Quarterly Momentum30/100 · Weak
Revenue (4Q): -1% YoY FlatProfit (4Q): -14% YoY DecliningOPM: 22.0% (down 6.0% YoY) Margin pressure
Industry Rank90/100 · Strong
P/E 8.4 vs industry 15.7 Lower P/EROCE 35.0% vs industry 15.2% Above peersROE 28.2% vs industry 16.2% Above peers3Y sales CAGR: 9% Moderate

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 14, 2026, 12:51 pm

Market Cap 2,62,779 Cr.
Current Price 426
Intrinsic Value₹480.72
High / Low 491/370
Stock P/E8.42
Book Value 193
Dividend Yield6.21 %
ROCE35.0 %
ROE28.2 %
Face Value 10.0
PEG Ratio0.74

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Coal India Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name Market Cap Current Price High / Low Stock P/E Book Value Dividend Yield ROCE ROE Face Value
Coal India Ltd 2,62,779 Cr. 426 491/3708.42 1936.21 %35.0 %28.2 % 10.0
Vedanta Ltd 1,03,117 Cr. 264 361/1619.37 12712.9 %16.1 %38.2 % 1.00
NMDC Ltd 75,522 Cr. 85.9 97.5/68.210.1 38.72.91 %27.6 %23.4 % 1.00
Redington Ltd 30,778 Cr. 394 404/19117.1 1301.52 %18.4 %16.9 % 2.00
Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd 18,153 Cr. 571 772/40031.8 2221.77 %10.8 %8.34 % 2.00
Industry Average40,205.23 Cr532.9315.65107.121.78%15.20%16.16%5.18

All Competitor Stocks of Coal India Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricSep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025
Sales 29,83835,16938,15235,98332,77636,15438,21336,46531,18236,85937,82535,84230,187
Expenses 22,70024,78128,81922,43122,73823,18326,82622,12622,56524,54126,03423,32123,471
Operating Profit 7,13910,3899,33313,55210,03812,97111,38814,3398,61712,31711,79012,5216,716
OPM % 24%30%24%38%31%36%30%39%28%33%31%35%22%
Other Income 1,7611,6712,2911,5382,0742,4892,3181,9701,6422,2144,1061,7602,350
Interest 135204195178182227232209208226241265287
Depreciation 1,0771,2621,8601,5271,5941,7231,8921,9521,8982,5132,7822,3072,664
Profit before tax 7,68710,5949,56913,38510,33613,51011,58214,1478,15311,79212,87311,7096,115
Tax % 21%27%28%22%22%24%26%23%23%28%25%25%30%
Net Profit 6,0447,7196,86910,4988,04910,2928,53010,9446,2758,4919,5938,7344,263
EPS in Rs 9.8112.5811.1617.0813.0616.6413.9117.7810.2113.8015.5814.197.07

Last Updated: January 2, 2026, 2:03 am

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: March 26, 2026, 5:30 am

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 70,60874,12077,86178,16485,24499,58696,08090,026109,715138,252144,762143,369138,778
Expenses 52,84256,77759,14765,71675,95674,57974,50071,45584,99594,02096,79196,30598,419
Operating Profit 17,76617,34318,71412,4489,28825,00721,58118,57124,72144,23247,97147,06440,359
OPM % 25%23%24%16%11%25%22%21%23%32%33%33%29%
Other Income 7,1696,5705,9395,3164,9755,8346,4443,7913,8666,5608,3969,93210,896
Interest 5993884104302645036455416848198841,114
Depreciation 1,9962,3202,8262,9073,0633,4503,4513,7094,4296,8336,7359,1459,972
Profit before tax 22,88021,58421,44014,44610,77027,12724,07118,00923,61643,27548,81346,96640,170
Tax % 34%36%33%36%35%36%31%29%26%27%23%25%
Net Profit 15,11213,72714,2679,2807,03817,46416,70012,70217,37831,72337,36935,30229,755
EPS in Rs 23.9221.7322.5914.9511.3428.3427.1220.6128.1751.5460.6957.3748.45
Dividend Payout % 121%95%121%133%146%46%44%78%60%47%42%46%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-9.16%3.93%-34.95%-24.16%148.14%-4.37%-23.94%36.81%82.55%17.80%-5.53%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%13.10%-38.89%10.80%172.30%-152.51%-19.57%60.75%45.73%-64.75%-23.33%

Coal India Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:7%
5 Years:8%
3 Years:9%
TTM:-2%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:10%
5 Years:16%
3 Years:27%
TTM:-12%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:2%
5 Years:24%
3 Years:19%
1 Year:-22%
Return on Equity
10 Years:46%
5 Years:47%
3 Years:49%
Last Year:39%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 2:05 am

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: September 1, 2026, 3:34 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 6,3166,3166,2076,2076,1636,1636,1636,1636,1636,1636,1636,163
Reserves 34,03728,51718,31113,97120,29225,99430,35536,98054,68076,56795,558112,939
Borrowings 4081,1993,0141,5382,2106,4345,8843,5144,3316,5239,14614,072
Other Liabilities 70,50577,52891,054103,754104,356111,430118,649132,780156,222147,217147,311150,782
Total Liabilities 111,267113,560118,587125,471133,021150,020161,051179,436221,396236,470258,177283,956
Fixed Assets 16,11522,08223,81127,57432,61836,78442,40546,67764,54775,66882,14887,252
CWIP 5,1594,5538,58510,2739,6588,32810,49012,89717,62218,96022,38523,413
Investments 2,8132,9061,4831,7043,1701,9735,9508,9217,1397,1107,59110,226
Other Assets 87,17984,01884,70885,92087,576102,936102,206110,942132,087134,731146,054163,066
Total Assets 111,267113,560118,587125,471133,021150,020161,051179,436221,396236,470258,177283,956

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 14,38213,15416,46121,11516,3564,97710,59241,10735,73418,10330,23743,215
Cash from Investing Activity + 8948,154455-7,747-7,8961,033182-25,715-23,465-4,486-11,114-33,955
Cash from Financing Activity + -15,026-19,587-17,598-13,564-10,885-4,791-8,453-13,441-13,704-13,899-13,308-11,801
Net Cash Flow 2501,721-682-196-2,4261,2192,3211,951-1,436-2825,815-2,541
Free Cash Flow 9,4807,3687,78512,5869,356-612-26029,11120,5231,35315,95830,783
CFO/OP 138%112%204%307%105%48%86%189%103%62%97%129%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow9,480.007,368.007,785.0012,586.009,356.00-612.00-260.0029,111.0020,523.001,353.0015,958.0030,783.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 434254582720558038343332
Inventory Days 321375541
Days Payable 4150215
Cash Conversion Cycle 323367380582720558038343332
Working Capital Days 809-23-59-342554-3-1125-14
ROCE %50%52%57%46%45%107%72%46%54%78%64%48%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 63.13%63.13%63.13%63.13%63.13%63.13%63.13%63.13%63.13%63.13%63.13%61.13%
FIIs 7.80%8.59%8.41%8.39%9.16%8.58%7.74%8.16%7.96%8.22%8.38%10.37%
DIIs 24.07%23.06%23.18%23.15%22.56%22.59%23.35%22.66%22.80%22.53%22.76%22.20%
Government 0.10%0.10%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.11%0.12%0.12%0.13%0.10%0.10%
Public 4.91%5.10%5.16%5.21%5.02%5.59%5.68%5.93%5.98%5.98%5.62%6.18%
No. of Shareholders 13,17,69913,80,10415,75,60817,49,43719,95,55522,23,44222,79,03523,07,45023,22,68627,95,66326,32,58825,51,169

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Coal India Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund 159,832,308 5.26 7044.61162,039,5582026-02-23 01:11:50-1.36%
HDFC Balanced Advantage Fund 46,700,000 1.93 2058.351,500,0002026-02-23 01:11:50-9.32%
SBI Equity Hybrid Fund 26,750,000 1.45 1179.01N/AN/AN/A
SBI Flexicap Fund 8,428,341 1.6 371.48N/AN/AN/A
Tata Value Fund 8,370,000 4.18 368.917,320,6192026-02-23 01:11:5014.33%
Parag Parikh ELSS Tax Saver Fund 8,209,670 6.27 361.84N/AN/AN/A
Nippon India Small Cap Fund 7,000,000 0.47 308.538,056,7432026-02-23 01:11:50-13.12%
Nippon India ELSS Tax Saver Fund 6,800,000 2.01 299.71N/AN/AN/A
Aditya Birla Sun Life PSU Equity Fund 4,082,418 3.15 179.934,582,4182025-12-15 01:00:11-10.91%
UTI Value Fund 3,500,000 1.57 154.263,764,5922026-02-23 01:11:50-7.03%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 57.3760.6945.7028.1720.61
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 57.3760.6945.7028.1720.61
Cash EPS (Rs.) 71.3770.8753.2435.4026.64
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 160.81135.6294.1471.1059.97
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 160.81135.6294.1471.1059.97
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 232.64230.94224.34178.03146.08
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 91.7390.7770.3746.4036.29
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 76.8979.8462.7839.2130.27
PBT / Share (Rs.) 75.4678.5161.6738.3429.23
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 56.5359.9445.6528.2120.62
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 57.3760.6945.7028.1720.61
PBDIT Margin (%) 39.4339.3031.3626.0624.84
PBIT Margin (%) 33.0534.5727.9822.0220.72
PBT Margin (%) 32.4333.9927.4921.5320.00
Net Profit Margin (%) 24.3025.9520.3415.8414.11
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 24.6626.2720.3715.8214.10
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 35.6745.2149.2040.2334.77
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 24.2427.8927.1519.6716.93
Return On Assets (%) 13.5815.7313.339.637.85
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.070.060.070.070.07
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.080.070.070.070.16
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.570.630.010.010.01
Current Ratio (X) 1.491.701.571.621.64
Quick Ratio (X) 1.291.531.451.491.47
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 12.581.260.000.000.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 45.9240.3650.8762.1360.65
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 36.4834.2043.6349.5046.93
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 54.0859.6449.1337.8739.35
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 63.5265.8056.3750.5053.07
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 63.9868.2763.3852.8134.69
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 40.4346.0942.1133.1120.71
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 221092.84244214.3896630.2987582.0669368.08
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.541.720.690.790.77
EV / EBITDA (X) 3.914.372.233.063.10
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.711.880.951.030.89
Retention Ratios (%) 54.0759.6349.1237.8639.34
Price / BV (X) 2.483.232.302.612.20
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.711.880.951.030.89
EarningsYield 0.140.130.210.150.15

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Coal India Ltd and is it undervalued?

Coal India Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹480.72, compared with a stored share price of ₹426.00. The model value is 12.8% above that quote. The model classifies this as undervalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for Coal India Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹426.00. Price-data record updated: 14 September 2026, 12:51 pm +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 491/370; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have Coal India Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹143,369.00 Cr, versus ₹144,762.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-1.0% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹35,302.00 Cr, versus ₹37,369.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-5.5% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does Coal India Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹30,237.00 Cr against net profit of ₹35,302.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.86 times reported profit. Cash generation supports the reported profit for this period; check whether this continues over several years.

What should I check in Coal India Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹14,072.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare Coal India Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 8.42. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change Coal India Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Coal India Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE