Lupin Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2012-2013 to 2022-2023.
Growth
Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:
6%
5 Years:
6%
3 Years:
10%
TTM:
17%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:
0%
5 Years:
21%
3 Years:
17%
TTM:
133%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:
5%
5 Years:
26%
3 Years:
32%
1 Year:
90%
Return on Equity
10 Years:
8%
5 Years:
2%
3 Years:
2%
Last Year:
14%
Last Updated: Unknown
Balance Sheet
Last Updated: Unknown
Month
Mar 2013
Mar 2014
Mar 2015
Mar 2016
Mar 2017
Mar 2018
Mar 2019
Mar 2020
Mar 2021
Mar 2022
Mar 2023
Mar 2024
Equity Capital
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
91
91
91
91
91
Reserves
5,115
6,842
8,784
11,073
13,407
13,487
13,652
12,446
13,712
12,062
12,374
14,199
Borrowings
1,164
654
537
7,178
7,966
7,143
8,496
6,305
5,129
4,158
4,542
2,922
Other Liabilities
2,475
2,550
3,642
3,957
4,749
5,300
5,423
5,968
4,498
5,340
5,794
6,539
Total Liabilities
8,843
10,135
13,054
22,298
26,212
26,020
27,661
24,810
23,430
21,651
22,800
23,751
Fixed Assets
3,000
3,356
4,368
8,717
11,033
10,362
11,087
7,938
7,881
7,382
8,355
8,878
CWIP
311
304
576
2,702
2,133
2,598
1,640
940
1,066
1,146
1,238
773
Investments
2
178
1,658
16
2,136
262
2,295
2,374
2,455
900
517
1,075
Other Assets
5,530
6,297
6,451
10,862
10,910
12,798
12,639
13,557
12,028
12,224
12,690
13,026
Total Assets
8,843
10,135
13,054
22,298
26,212
26,020
27,661
24,810
23,430
21,651
22,800
23,751
Reserves and Borrowings Chart
Cash Flow
Month
Mar 2013
Mar 2014
Mar 2015
Mar 2016
Mar 2017
Mar 2018
Mar 2019
Mar 2020
Mar 2021
Mar 2022
Mar 2023
Mar 2024
Cash from Operating ActivityÂ
1,251
2,004
2,733
-382
4,114
1,751
1,666
1,469
1,822
367
1,897
3,648
Cash from Investing ActivityÂ
-522
-851
-1,034
-6,769
-2,527
470
-3,282
1,107
-1,240
1,292
-1,287
-1,712
Cash from Financing ActivityÂ
-663
-857
-197
5,836
433
-1,492
744
-891
-1,885
-1,572
-337
-2,184
Net Cash Flow
66
296
1,502
-1,315
2,019
729
-872
1,685
-1,303
87
273
-248
Free Cash Flow
Month
Mar 2012
Mar 2013
Mar 2014
Mar 2015
Mar 2016
Mar 2017
Mar 2018
Mar 2019
Mar 2020
Mar 2021
Mar 2022
Mar 2023
Free Cash Flow
1.00
1.00
-651.00
-534.00
-4.00
-3.00
-4.00
-6.00
-4.00
-3.00
215.00
-3.00
Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)
Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.
Fair Value of Lupin Ltd as of October 11, 2024 is: ₹1,928.60
Calculation basis:
Fair value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100)
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
This formula allows us to gauge the fair value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators.
As of October 11, 2024, Lupin Ltd is Overvalued by 10.51% compared to the current share price ₹2,155.00
Intrinsic Value of Lupin Ltd as of October 11, 2024 is: ₹4,153.15
Calculation basis:
Intrinsic value = P/E Ratio * (Return on Equity / 100) * Book Value * (1 + Dividend Yield / 100) * (1 + EPS CAGR for Last 5 Years)
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings Ratio): Represents the price of the stock relative to its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price for the stock.
Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company's profitability relative to its shareholder equity. It showcases the company's ability to generate profits using the investment made by its shareholders, offering valuable insight into its operational efficiency and financial performance.
Book Value: Represents the net asset value of the company per share. It is calculated as the total assets minus intangible assets and liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares.
Dividend Yield: The ratio of the annual dividend per share to the current market price per share. It offers valuable insights into the profitability of an investment through dividends.
EPS CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): Represents the geometric mean growth rate of earnings per share over the last 5 years. It provides insight into the historical growth trajectory of the company's earnings.
This formula allows us to gauge the intrinsic value of the stock by analyzing its fundamental indicators along with EPS growth.
As of October 11, 2024, Lupin Ltd is Undervalued by 92.72% compared to the current share price ₹2,155.00
Last 5 Year EPS CAGR: 115.35%
*Investments are subject to market risks
Strength and Weakness
Strength
Weakness
The stock has a high average ROCE of 17.50%, which is a positive sign.
The company has higher reserves (11,429.42 cr) compared to borrowings (4,682.83 cr), indicating strong financial stability.
The company has shown consistent growth in sales (13.85 cr) and profit (166.62 cr) over the years.
The stock has a high average Working Capital Days of 117.58, which may not be favorable.
The stock has a high average Cash Conversion Cycle of 189.00, which may not be favorable.
Stock Analysis
Considering all of the following key financial indicators, prospective investors are encouraged to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before considering any investment in Lupin Ltd:
Net Profit Margin: This metric indicates the percentage of profit a company makes from its total revenue. A higher net profit margin is generally desirable as it reflects better profitability.
ROCE (Return on Capital Employed): ROCE measures a company's profitability and the efficiency with which its capital is employed. A higher ROCE indicates efficient use of capital.
ROE%: 13.39% (Industry Average ROE: 16%)
ROE (Return on Equity): ROE measures a company's profitability relative to shareholders' equity. A higher ROE indicates efficient use of shareholders' funds.
Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio measures a company's ability to cover its interest payments on outstanding debt. A ratio greater than 2 is generally considered healthy as it indicates the company can meet its interest obligations comfortably.
Quick Ratio: The quick ratio assesses a company's ability to cover its short-term liabilities with its most liquid assets. A ratio higher than 1 suggests the company can meet its short-term obligations without relying heavily on inventory.
Stock P/E: 43.4 (Industry average Stock P/E: 63.74)
Stock P/E (Price-to-Earnings) Ratio: The P/E ratio compares a company's current share price to its earnings per share. A lower P/E ratio relative to industry peers or historical values may indicate that the stock is undervalued.
Total Debt / Equity: 0.18
Total Debt / Equity: This ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total debt to its total equity. A lower ratio indicates lower financial risk and greater financial stability.
The current analysis is available for review. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider consulting with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. Stock Rating:
About the Company - Qualitative Analysis
Lupin Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 01/03/1983 and has its registered office in the State of Maharashtra, India. Company’s Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L24100MH1983PLC029442 and registration number is 029442. Currently Company is involved in the business activities of Manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemical and botanical products. Company’s Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 11771.67 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 90.90 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2022.
Getaka, CFA, a financial analyst with 15 years of experience in the industry. Getaka holds an MBA degree and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation, demonstrating his profound understanding of financial analysis and investment management. Throughout his career, he has conducted numerous financial analyses and due diligence processes for companies in the industry, and has a strong track record of identifying key trends and opportunities. He leverages his expertise to deliver a thorough financial analysis of a company, encompassing its financial performance, key ratios, future prospects, and risks. Getaka is committed to providing accurate, reliable, and trustworthy information to help readers make informed decisions about their finances and investments.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Lupin Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE
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