Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
post
Last Updated: April 2, 2026, 2:47 am
Author: Getaka|Social: XLinkedIn

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹41.58Fairly Valued by 5.50%vs CMP ₹44.00

P/E (17.3) × ROE (7.2%) × BV (₹41.40) × DY (0.23%)

₹47.79Fairly Valued by 8.61%vs CMP ₹44.00
MoS: +7.9% (Thin)Confidence: 43/100 (Low)Models: 4 Under, 2 Fair, 2 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹39.8026%Fair (-9.5%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹48.6418%Under (+10.5%)
DCFCash Flow₹1.8515%Over (-95.8%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹41.418%Fair (-5.9%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹125.1110%Under (+184.3%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹25.408%Over (-42.3%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹54.048%Under (+22.8%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹94.626%Under (+115%)
Consensus (8 models)₹47.79100%Fairly Valued
Key Drivers: Wide model spread (₹2–₹125) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: -4.3%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Investment Snapshot

58
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd scores 58/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health63/100 · Moderate
ROCE 9.3% AverageROE 7.2% AverageD/E 0.15 Low debtInterest Coverage 0.0x RiskyProfitable 5/5 years Consistent
Smart Money30/100 · Weak
FII holding down -2.02% (6mo) SellingPromoter holding at 55.9% Stable
Earnings Quality50/100 · Moderate
OPM stable around 12% Steady
Quarterly Momentum78/100 · Strong
Revenue (4Q): +37% YoY AcceleratingProfit (4Q): +19% YoY Positive
Industry Rank55/100 · Moderate
P/E 17.3 vs industry 28.3 Cheaper than peersROCE 9.3% vs industry 19.4% Below peersROE 7.2% vs industry 15.8% Below peers3Y sales CAGR: 30% High growth

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores are computed from reported financials and recalculated daily. Not investment advice.

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd Investor Signals

Computed from valuation, cash flow, balance sheet, ownership and quarterly trend data already available in this stock page.

Value Trap Score
50/100
Moderate
Derived from: Cheapness + weak quality + weak cash support
Current data: P/E 17.3 vs Ind 28.3 | ROCE 9.3% | ROE 7.2% | CFO/NP N/A
Balance Sheet Stress
0/100
Comfortable
Derived from: Leverage + debt servicing + liquidity + debt trend
Current data: D/E 0.15x | IntCov 0.0x | Current 3.92x | Borrow/Reserve 0.62x
Cash Flow Reliability
14/100
Weak
Derived from: Cash backing of earnings + working capital pressure
Current data: CFO ₹0 Cr | NP ₹91 Cr | CFO/NP N/A
Ownership Accumulation
-50
Distribution
Derived from: FII + DII + promoter direction, adjusted by crowding
Current data: FII -0.28 pp | DII -0.03 pp | Prom 0.00 pp
Business Momentum
-8
Watch closely
Derived from: Latest quarter sales + profit + OPM change
Current data: Q Sales -11.6% | Q NP 0.0% | Q OPM +1.0 pp
Derived FieldValueHow it is derived
Valuation Gap %+8.6%((Fair Value - CMP) / CMP) × 100
Borrowings / Reserves0.62xLatest borrowings divided by latest reserves
CFO / Net ProfitN/ALatest operating cash flow divided by latest net profit
FII Change-0.28 ppLatest FII% minus previous FII%
DII Change-0.03 ppLatest DII% minus previous DII%
Promoter Change0.00 ppLatest promoter% minus previous promoter%
Shareholder Count Change-2,271Latest shareholder count minus previous count
Quarterly Sales Change-11.6%Latest quarter sales vs previous quarter sales
Quarterly Profit Change0.0%Latest quarter net profit vs previous quarter net profit
Quarterly OPM Change+1.0 ppLatest quarter OPM minus previous quarter OPM

Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: April 2, 2026, 2:47 am

Market Cap 1,463 Cr.
Current Price 44.0
Intrinsic Value₹47.79
High / Low 63.7/27.0
Stock P/E17.3
Book Value 41.4
Dividend Yield0.23 %
ROCE9.33 %
ROE7.24 %
Face Value 1.00
PEG Ratio-4.05

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Confidence Petroleum India Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name ⇩Market Cap ⇩Current Price ⇩High / Low ⇩Stock P/E ⇩Book Value ⇩Dividend Yield ⇩ROCE ⇩ROE ⇩Face Value ⇩
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd 1,463 Cr. 44.0 63.7/27.017.3 41.40.23 %9.33 %7.24 % 1.00
Mahanagar Gas Ltd 9,321 Cr. 944 1,587/9009.64 6293.18 %22.9 %17.7 % 10.0
Indraprastha Gas Ltd 20,744 Cr. 148 229/14314.4 70.02.87 %20.8 %15.7 % 2.00
Petronet LNG Ltd 38,682 Cr. 258 326/23510.8 1373.88 %26.2 %21.4 % 10.0
Adani Total Gas Ltd 57,306 Cr. 521 798/45489.3 41.00.05 %17.5 %16.8 % 1.00
Industry Average25,503.20 Cr383.0028.29183.682.04%19.35%15.77%4.80

All Competitor Stocks of Confidence Petroleum India Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricSep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025
Sales 4617206698756395546317787466979251,112983
Expenses 4056626057995504705207036686168341,029901
Operating Profit 565863768984110757881918382
OPM % 12%8%9%9%14%15%18%10%10%12%10%7%8%
Other Income 1421592511227711
Interest 77118211926192019212124
Depreciation 20202725264268414447434142
Profit before tax 31362745473219212537342727
Tax % 26%26%22%26%34%15%26%25%15%28%19%25%25%
Net Profit 25282133312714152226272020
EPS in Rs 0.850.970.681.120.940.960.310.450.530.920.690.610.61

Last Updated: January 2, 2026, 1:38 am

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 23, 2026, 7:16 pm

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 2693063554976071,0051,0788631,4282,2052,6983,1464,414
Expenses 2312743204565368789517421,2421,9882,3392,8214,072
Operating Profit 3732354171126127121186216359324342
OPM % 14%11%10%8%12%13%12%14%13%10%13%10%8%
Other Income 2-14123563610154234
Interest 131211121211129927747991
Depreciation 22292324243051526784160175169
Profit before tax 3-222738906963116115140113116
Tax % 36%3%44%30%29%29%24%25%25%27%27%23%
Net Profit 2-23152767524990841059189
EPS in Rs 0.08-0.890.040.191.042.441.911.743.162.853.322.732.54
Dividend Payout % 0%0%0%0%5%4%0%6%3%4%3%4%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-1250.00%104.35%400.00%440.00%148.15%-22.39%-5.77%83.67%-6.67%25.00%-13.33%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%1354.35%295.65%40.00%-291.85%-170.54%16.62%89.44%-90.34%31.67%-38.33%

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:26%
5 Years:24%
3 Years:30%
TTM:34%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:30%
5 Years:10%
3 Years:-1%
TTM:15%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:30%
5 Years:19%
3 Years:-15%
1 Year:-45%
Return on Equity
10 Years:10%
5 Years:10%
3 Years:9%
Last Year:7%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 2:10 am

Balance Sheet

Last Updated: December 4, 2025, 1:07 am

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Sep 2025
Equity Capital 26262626262727282828323333
Reserves 2151871881562273654205056667781,1501,2951,344
Borrowings 6862581128277738897412633765830
Other Liabilities 989791113141151185168259421388457442
Total Liabilities 4073723634074766207057891,0501,6402,2022,5502,649
Fixed Assets 2261831801992433563784565547081,0101,0481,029
CWIP 7151529232039196337238381
Investments 88810132981229303577
Other Assets 1661661601701972152813024058641,1341,4121,532
Total Assets 4073723634074766207057891,0501,6402,2022,5502,649

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Cash from Operating Activity + 3130353065686698103-12526310
Cash from Investing Activity + -19-13-22-108-24-152-93-142-169-204-375-135
Cash from Financing Activity + -12-13-1675-3387254269330222152
Net Cash Flow -05-2-484-1-33111026
Free Cash Flow 11815-172-70-18-12-105-33718-262
CFO/OP 86%94%105%77%108%75%66%94%71%-45%86%12%

Free Cash Flow

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Free Cash Flow-31.00-30.00-23.00-71.00-11.0049.0054.0033.0089.00-196.00-274.00-441.00

Free Cash Flow = Income Generated from Operational Activities - Borrowings - Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)

Consistent positive free cash flow is crucial for businesses as it indicates their ability to generate cash from their core operations. It provides financial flexibility, allowing companies to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends to shareholders, reduce debt, and weather economic downturns more effectively.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 887457453721262817212136
Inventory Days 1209579555038334437613637
Days Payable 796043292311114628914
Cash Conversion Cycle 12910993716448486849544859
Working Capital Days 545749402735456148473655
ROCE %5%2%4%6%15%24%16%12%17%13%13%9%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthMar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025
Promoters 61.45%61.32%61.32%61.63%56.12%55.89%55.89%55.89%55.89%55.89%55.89%55.89%
FIIs 2.73%1.94%2.23%2.13%2.08%1.94%2.04%2.40%2.71%1.00%0.97%0.69%
DIIs 0.92%1.23%1.26%1.25%1.19%0.52%0.43%0.28%0.10%0.08%0.04%0.01%
Public 34.89%35.53%35.21%35.00%40.62%41.65%41.65%41.45%41.32%43.03%43.11%43.42%
No. of Shareholders 67,07166,82372,78880,7531,06,8911,15,8181,17,3621,14,1591,11,8141,13,2331,13,1281,10,857

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
Quant Small Cap Fund 2,614,000 0.25 22.552,614,0002025-04-22 17:25:380%
Motilal Oswal Nifty Microcap 250 Index Fund 89,593 0.2 0.7789,5932025-04-22 17:25:380%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 1.001.001.001.001.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 2.623.503.273.161.73
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 2.603.503.273.161.73
Cash EPS (Rs.) 7.898.296.105.433.51
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 39.6736.8931.0826.8419.15
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 39.9837.2231.4527.2119.52
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 94.6984.9977.7850.2730.39
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 11.0411.798.006.784.36
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 5.786.745.004.422.52
PBT / Share (Rs.) 3.414.424.224.102.22
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 2.633.243.103.081.67
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 2.603.193.173.091.73
PBDIT Margin (%) 11.6513.8710.2813.4714.34
PBIT Margin (%) 6.107.936.438.808.30
PBT Margin (%) 3.605.195.438.157.30
Net Profit Margin (%) 2.783.813.996.135.49
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 2.743.754.066.155.68
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 6.548.6511.1912.839.38
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 10.2312.7410.4213.019.77
Return On Assets (%) 3.374.605.478.366.22
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.160.170.350.060.09
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.400.360.500.120.15
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 1.321.401.641.591.11
Current Ratio (X) 1.932.012.843.463.92
Quick Ratio (X) 1.561.621.792.142.53
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 13.930.741.023.511.15
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 4.103.164.200.000.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 1.351.222.160.000.00
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 95.9096.8495.800.000.00
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 98.6598.7897.840.000.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 4.665.0710.2620.7114.38
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 2.112.404.9810.436.51
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 2052.712919.952136.521917.841353.99
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.651.080.961.341.57
EV / EBITDA (X) 5.607.809.409.9710.93
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.490.980.781.241.47
Retention Ratios (%) 95.8996.8395.790.000.00
Price / BV (X) 1.182.282.152.592.43
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.490.980.781.241.47
EarningsYield 0.050.030.050.040.03

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

About the Company - Qualitative Analysis

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd. is a Public Limited Listed company incorporated on 21/07/1994 and has its registered office in the State of Maharashtra, India. Company's Corporate Identification Number(CIN) is L40200MH1994PLC079766 and registration number is 079766. Currently company belongs to the Industry of LPG/CNG/PNG/LNG Bottling/Distribution. Company's Total Operating Revenue is Rs. 3027.39 Cr. and Equity Capital is Rs. 33.22 Cr. for the Year ended 31/03/2025.
INDUSTRYADDRESSCONTACT
LPG/CNG/PNG/LNG Bottling/Distribution7O1, Shivai Plaza Premises Chs Ltd, Mumbai Maharashtra 400059Contact not found
Management
NamePosition Held
Mr. Nitin KharaChairman & Managing Director
Mr. Elesh KharaExecutive Director & CFO
Mr. Simon Charles HillNon Executive Director
Mrs. Vandana GuptaInd. Non-Executive Director
Mr. Vaibhav Pradeep DedhiaInd. Non-Executive Director
Mrs. Mansi DeogirkarInd. Non-Executive Director
Mr. Sumant SutariaInd. Non-Executive Director
Mr. Sumit BansalInd. Non-Executive Director
Ms. Richa KathuriaInd. Non-Executive Director

FAQ

What is the intrinsic value of Confidence Petroleum India Ltd and is it undervalued?

As of 05 April 2026, Confidence Petroleum India Ltd's intrinsic value is ₹47.79, which is 8.61% higher than the current market price of ₹44.00, suggesting the stock is undervalued. This is calculated using the PE ratio method factoring in ROE (7.24 %), book value (₹41.4), dividend yield (0.23 %), and 5-year EPS CAGR.

What is the current share price and 52-week range of Confidence Petroleum India Ltd?

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd is trading at ₹44.00 as of 05 April 2026, with a FY2026-2027 high of ₹63.7 and low of ₹27.0. The stock is currently in the middle of its 52-week range. Market cap stands at ₹1,463 Cr..

How does Confidence Petroleum India Ltd's P/E ratio compare to its industry?

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd has a P/E ratio of 17.3, which is below the industry average of 28.29. This is broadly in line with or below the industry average.

Is Confidence Petroleum India Ltd financially healthy?

Key indicators for Confidence Petroleum India Ltd: ROCE of 9.33 % is on the lower side compared to the industry average of 19.35%; ROE of 7.24 % is below ideal levels (industry average: 15.77%). Dividend yield is 0.23 %.

Is Confidence Petroleum India Ltd profitable and how is the profit trend?

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd reported a net profit of ₹91 Cr in Mar 2025 on revenue of ₹3,146 Cr. Compared to ₹90 Cr in Mar 2022, the net profit shows an improving trend.

Does Confidence Petroleum India Ltd pay dividends?

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.23 % at the current price of ₹44.00. The company pays dividends, though the yield is modest.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Confidence Petroleum India Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE
Explore Industry-wise Stock Analysis Reports