Confidence Petroleum India Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis

Fair Value

₹49.25Overvalued by 42.93%vs CMP ₹86.30

P/E (21.3) × ROE (6.8%) × BV (₹42.70) × DY (0.12%)

₹43.74Overvalued by 49.32%vs CMP ₹86.30
MoS: -97.3% (Negative)Confidence: 58/100 (Moderate)Models: 1 Under, 1 Fair, 7 Over
ModelCategoryValueWeightSignal
PE-ROEEarnings₹47.1422%Over (-45.4%)
Graham NumberEarnings₹49.4016%Over (-42.8%)
Earnings PowerEarnings₹0.2113%Over (-99.8%)
DCFCash Flow₹3.9313%Over (-95.4%)
Net Asset ValueAssets₹42.687%Over (-50.5%)
EV/EBITDAEnterprise₹127.309%Under (+47.5%)
Earnings YieldEarnings₹25.407%Over (-70.6%)
ROCE CapitalReturns₹53.407%Over (-38.1%)
Revenue MultipleRevenue₹94.705%Fair (+9.7%)
Consensus (9 models)₹43.74100%Overvalued
Key Drivers: Wide model spread (₹0–₹127) — high uncertainty.

PE-ROE · Graham · EPV · DCF · NAV · EV/EBITDA · DDM · Earnings Yield · ROCE Capital · Revenue Multiple | CoE: 12% · Terminal: 4% · EPS CAGR: -4.3%

*Investments are subject to market risks

Analysis summary

Data coverage: Price-data record updated 25 September 2026, 4:20 am +05:30. Annual results through Mar 2025; quarterly results through Sep 2025; cash flow through Mar 2026. Each section can have a different reporting period. The share price is not live.

Valuation in context

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹43.74, compared with a stored share price of ₹86.30. The model value is 49.3% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation.

Operating performance

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹3,146.00 Cr, versus ₹2,698.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (16.6% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹91.00 Cr, versus ₹105.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-13.3% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Cash generation

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹10.00 Cr against net profit of ₹91.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.11 times reported profit. The gap warrants checking receivables, working capital and one-off items in the cash-flow statement.

Balance-sheet check

Reported borrowings were ₹761.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How to use the valuation and peer comparisons

The Intrinsic Value panel combines the available model estimates using the displayed weights. Earnings, cash-flow, dividend and asset-based methods can give very different answers. The displayed 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumptions apply where relevant; historical EPS growth is not a promise of future growth. Use the individual values and their spread to judge sensitivity.

The peer group follows the stored industry classification and may include different business models. Compare reporting periods, leverage and recurring earnings before interpreting a valuation gap. For banks and other financial businesses, capital adequacy and asset quality can be more informative than industrial-company cash-flow ratios.

Sources: Company data source. Check the company filings linked by the source for the reporting basis and exceptional items.

Automatically generated interpretation of the stored financial data, not a separately researched analyst opinion. Missing data is not evidence of poor performance. New filings become available here after the existing data refresh process captures them.

Investment Snapshot

66
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd scores 66/100 (Average)
Based on 5 dimensions: health, institutional flow, earnings quality, momentum, and peer comparison
Stock Health66/100 · Strong
ROCE 9.2% AverageROE 6.8% AverageD/E 0.40 ModerateInterest Coverage 4.7x AdequateProfitable 5/5 available years Reported history
Smart Money60/100 · Moderate
FII holding stable No changePromoter increased by 1.49% Positive
Earnings Quality60/100 · Moderate
CFO/NP ratio: 0.53x Partially cash-backedOPM stable around 12% Steady
Quarterly Momentum78/100 · Strong
Revenue (4Q): +37% YoY AcceleratingProfit (4Q): +19% YoY Positive
Industry Rank65/100 · Strong
P/E 21.3 vs industry 34.1 Lower P/EROCE 9.2% vs industry 16.6% Below peers3Y sales CAGR: 30% High growth

Weights: Health 30% · Earnings Quality 25% · Momentum 20% · Industry Rank 15% · Smart Money 10%. Scores use stored reporting periods and are screening indicators, not investment recommendations. Missing health ratios are excluded. Broad industry groups and financial-sector accounting can limit comparability.

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Share Price and Basic Stock Data

Last Updated: September 25, 2026, 4:20 am

Market Cap 2,867 Cr.
Current Price 86.3
Intrinsic Value₹43.74
High / Low 93.2/27.0
Stock P/E21.3
Book Value 42.7
Dividend Yield0.12 %
ROCE9.23 %
ROE6.76 %
Face Value 1.00
PEG Ratio-4.98

Understand these figures: how to read the P/E ratio, ROE versus earnings per share, and calculate intrinsic value.

Stock P/E, Current Price, and Intrinsic Value Over Time

View Share Price Target for Confidence Petroleum India Ltd

Competitors

Stock Name ⇩Market Cap ⇩Current Price ⇩High / Low ⇩Stock P/E ⇩Book Value ⇩Dividend Yield ⇩ROCE ⇩ROE ⇩Face Value ⇩
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd 2,867 Cr. 86.3 93.2/27.021.3 42.70.12 %9.23 %6.76 % 1.00
Mahanagar Gas Ltd 10,664 Cr. 1,080 1,335/90014.8 6512.78 %17.1 %12.3 % 10.0
Indraprastha Gas Ltd 20,404 Cr. 146 224/14217.1 71.32.23 %18.1 %13.0 % 2.00
Petronet LNG Ltd 42,990 Cr. 287 326/23510.4 1453.49 %23.2 %18.4 % 10.0
Adani Total Gas Ltd 67,352 Cr. 612 860/454107 44.20.04 %15.3 %14.4 % 1.00
Industry Average28,855.40 Cr442.2634.12190.841.73%16.59%12.97%4.80

All Competitor Stocks of Confidence Petroleum India Ltd

Quarterly Result

MetricSep 2022Dec 2022Mar 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025
Sales 4617206698756395546317787466979251,112983
Expenses 4056626057995504705207036686168341,029901
Operating Profit 565863768984110757881918382
OPM % 12%8%9%9%14%15%18%10%10%12%10%7%8%
Other Income 1421592511227711
Interest 77118211926192019212124
Depreciation 20202725264268414447434142
Profit before tax 31362745473219212537342727
Tax % 26%26%22%26%34%15%26%25%15%28%19%25%25%
Net Profit 25282133312714152226272020
EPS in Rs 0.850.970.681.120.940.960.310.450.530.920.690.610.61

Last Updated: January 2, 2026, 1:38 am

Quarterly Chart

Profit & Loss - Annual Report

Last Updated: February 23, 2026, 7:16 pm

MetricMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025TTM
Sales 2693063554976071,0051,0788631,4282,2052,6983,1464,414
Expenses 2312743204565368789517421,2421,9882,3392,8214,072
Operating Profit 3732354171126127121186216359324342
OPM % 14%11%10%8%12%13%12%14%13%10%13%10%8%
Other Income 2-14123563610154234
Interest 131211121211129927747991
Depreciation 22292324243051526784160175169
Profit before tax 3-222738906963116115140113116
Tax % 36%3%44%30%29%29%24%25%25%27%27%23%
Net Profit 2-23152767524990841059189
EPS in Rs 0.08-0.890.040.191.042.441.911.743.162.853.322.732.54
Dividend Payout % 0%0%0%0%5%4%0%6%3%4%3%4%

Profit & Loss Yearly Chart

YoY Net Profit Growth

Year2014-20152015-20162016-20172017-20182018-20192019-20202020-20212021-20222022-20232023-20242024-2025
YoY Net Profit Growth (%)-1250.00%104.35%400.00%440.00%148.15%-22.39%-5.77%83.67%-6.67%25.00%-13.33%
Change in YoY Net Profit Growth (%)0.00%1354.35%295.65%40.00%-291.85%-170.54%16.62%89.44%-90.34%31.67%-38.33%

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd has shown an inconsistent trend in YoY Net Profit Growth (%) in the last 11 years from 2014-2015 to 2024-2025.

Growth

Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years:26%
5 Years:24%
3 Years:30%
TTM:34%
Compounded Profit Growth
10 Years:30%
5 Years:10%
3 Years:-1%
TTM:15%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years:30%
5 Years:19%
3 Years:-15%
1 Year:-45%
Return on Equity
10 Years:10%
5 Years:10%
3 Years:9%
Last Year:7%

Last Updated: September 5, 2025, 2:10 am

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Balance Sheet

Last Updated: June 24, 2026, 2:00 am

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Equity Capital 262626262727282828323333
Reserves 1871881562273654205056667781,1501,2951,385
Borrowings 62581128277738897412633765761
Other Liabilities 9791113141151185168259421388457556
Total Liabilities 3723634074766207057891,0501,6402,2022,5502,736
Fixed Assets 1831801992433563784565547081,0101,0481,112
CWIP 151529232039196337238328
Investments 8810132981229303577
Other Assets 1661601701972152813024058641,1341,4121,590
Total Assets 3723634074766207057891,0501,6402,2022,5502,736

Reserves and Borrowings Chart

Cash Flow

MonthMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Cash from Operating Activity + 30353065686698103-12526310400
Cash from Investing Activity + -13-22-108-24-152-93-142-169-204-375-135-338
Cash from Financing Activity + -13-1675-3387254269330222152-154
Net Cash Flow 5-2-484-1-33111026-92
Free Cash Flow 815-172-70-18-12-105-33718-262285
CFO/OP 94%105%77%108%75%66%94%71%-45%86%12%125%

Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow reported in the stored cash-flow statement (₹ Cr)
PeriodMar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025Mar 2026
Free Cash Flow8.0015.00-17.002.00-70.00-18.00-12.00-105.00-337.0018.00-262.00285.00

This table and the chart use the Free Cash Flow row from the same stored cash-flow statement. Free cash flow generally measures operating cash flow after capital expenditure; check the source definition and reporting basis. It is not operating profit minus borrowings.

Free Cash Flow Chart

Financial Efficiency Indicators

MonthMar 2014Mar 2015Mar 2016Mar 2017Mar 2018Mar 2019Mar 2020Mar 2021Mar 2022Mar 2023Mar 2024Mar 2025
Debtor Days 887457453721262817212136
Inventory Days 1209579555038334437613637
Days Payable 796043292311114628914
Cash Conversion Cycle 12910993716448486849544859
Working Capital Days 545749402735456148473655
ROCE %5%2%4%6%15%24%16%12%17%13%13%9%

Financial Efficiency Indicators Chart

Share Holding Pattern

MonthSep 2023Dec 2023Mar 2024Jun 2024Sep 2024Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters 61.32%61.63%56.12%55.89%55.89%55.89%55.89%55.89%55.89%55.89%55.89%57.38%
FIIs 2.23%2.13%2.08%1.94%2.04%2.40%2.71%1.00%0.97%0.69%0.48%0.81%
DIIs 1.26%1.25%1.19%0.52%0.43%0.28%0.10%0.08%0.04%0.01%0.01%0.19%
Public 35.21%35.00%40.62%41.65%41.65%41.45%41.32%43.03%43.11%43.42%43.63%41.62%
No. of Shareholders 72,78880,7531,06,8911,15,8181,17,3621,14,1591,11,8141,13,2331,13,1281,10,8571,10,0081,00,789

Shareholding Pattern Chart

No. of Shareholders

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd: Intrinsic Value & Share Price Analysis - Shareholder trend analysis

Mutual Fund Holdings

Fund NameNo of SharesAUM (%)Amount Invested (Cr)Previous Number of SharesPrevious DatePercentage Change
Quant Small Cap Fund 2,614,000 0.25 22.552,614,0002025-04-22 17:25:380%
Motilal Oswal Nifty Microcap 250 Index Fund 89,593 0.2 0.7789,5932025-04-22 17:25:380%

ROCE Trend

EPS Trend

Key Financial Ratios

MonthMar 25Mar 24Mar 23Mar 22Mar 21
FaceValue 1.001.001.001.001.00
Basic EPS (Rs.) 2.623.503.273.161.73
Diluted EPS (Rs.) 2.603.503.273.161.73
Cash EPS (Rs.) 7.898.296.105.433.51
Book Value[Excl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 39.6736.8931.0826.8419.15
Book Value[Incl.RevalReserv]/Share (Rs.) 39.9837.2231.4527.2119.52
Revenue From Operations / Share (Rs.) 94.6984.9977.7850.2730.39
PBDIT / Share (Rs.) 11.0411.798.006.784.36
PBIT / Share (Rs.) 5.786.745.004.422.52
PBT / Share (Rs.) 3.414.424.224.102.22
Net Profit / Share (Rs.) 2.633.243.103.081.67
NP After MI And SOA / Share (Rs.) 2.603.193.173.091.73
PBDIT Margin (%) 11.6513.8710.2813.4714.34
PBIT Margin (%) 6.107.936.438.808.30
PBT Margin (%) 3.605.195.438.157.30
Net Profit Margin (%) 2.783.813.996.135.49
NP After MI And SOA Margin (%) 2.743.754.066.155.68
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 6.548.6511.1912.839.38
Return on Capital Employeed (%) 10.2312.7410.4213.019.77
Return On Assets (%) 3.374.605.478.366.22
Long Term Debt / Equity (X) 0.160.170.350.060.09
Total Debt / Equity (X) 0.400.360.500.120.15
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 1.321.401.641.591.11
Current Ratio (X) 1.932.012.843.463.92
Quick Ratio (X) 1.561.621.792.142.53
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 13.930.741.023.511.15
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 4.103.164.200.000.00
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 1.351.222.160.000.00
Earning Retention Ratio (%) 95.9096.8495.800.000.00
Cash Earning Retention Ratio (%) 98.6598.7897.840.000.00
Interest Coverage Ratio (X) 4.665.0710.2620.7114.38
Interest Coverage Ratio (Post Tax) (X) 2.112.404.9810.436.51
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 2052.712919.952136.521917.841353.99
EV / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.651.080.961.341.57
EV / EBITDA (X) 5.607.809.409.9710.93
MarketCap / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.490.980.781.241.47
Retention Ratios (%) 95.8996.8395.790.000.00
Price / BV (X) 1.182.282.152.592.43
Price / Net Operating Revenue (X) 0.490.980.781.241.47
EarningsYield 0.050.030.050.040.03

Profitability Ratios (%)

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity Ratios (%)

Interest Coverage Ratios (%)

Valuation Ratios

Frequently asked questions

What is the intrinsic value of Confidence Petroleum India Ltd and is it undervalued?

Confidence Petroleum India Ltd: the stored intrinsic value estimate is ₹43.74, compared with a stored share price of ₹86.30. The model value is 49.3% below that quote. The model classifies this as overvalued; it is an estimate dependent on the inputs and assumptions, not a price target or a buy/sell recommendation. The estimate uses the available valuation models and weights shown in the Intrinsic Value panel, including earnings, cash-flow and asset-based approaches where data permits. It is not a P/E-only calculation.

What share price and 52-week range are shown for Confidence Petroleum India Ltd?

The stored share price is ₹86.30. Price-data record updated: 25 September 2026, 4:20 am +05:30. This is not a live quote. The stored 52-week high / low is 93.2/27.0; this is a rolling range, not a financial-year range.

How have Confidence Petroleum India Ltd's revenue and profit changed?

Revenue for Mar 2025 was ₹3,146.00 Cr, versus ₹2,698.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (16.6% year on year). Net profit for Mar 2025 was ₹91.00 Cr, versus ₹105.00 Cr in Mar 2024 (-13.3% year on year). These are the latest annual periods stored on this page; check the quarterly table separately for more recent developments.

Does Confidence Petroleum India Ltd's profit convert into cash?

For the same Mar 2025 period, operating cash flow was ₹10.00 Cr against net profit of ₹91.00 Cr. Cash flow covered 0.11 times reported profit. The gap warrants checking receivables, working capital and one-off items in the cash-flow statement.

What should I check in Confidence Petroleum India Ltd's balance sheet?

Reported borrowings were ₹761.00 Cr in Mar 2026. Read this alongside cash, interest costs and repayment obligations; reserves are an accounting balance and are not the same as available cash.

How should I compare Confidence Petroleum India Ltd's P/E with other stocks?

The stored P/E is 21.30. Compare companies with similar business models, growth, leverage and accounting periods. The industry group on this page is broad, and its average can be affected by outliers. A lower P/E alone does not establish undervaluation.

What could change Confidence Petroleum India Ltd's intrinsic value estimate?

Changes in sustainable earnings, cash generation, capital needs, debt and share count can change the estimate. The displayed model uses a 12% cost of equity and 4% terminal growth assumption where applicable. Higher discount rates or weaker growth generally reduce discounted values. Compare the individual model values and weights, and verify fresh filings before relying on the result.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The author is not a SEBI registered financial advisor and does not have any vested interest in Confidence Petroleum India Ltd. Investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this article is based on publicly available data and the author's analysis, but it may not be comprehensive or up-to-date. The author and getaka.co.in are not responsible for any errors or omissions in the content. This article is not intended to promote any particular investment strategy or recommendation, and readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Data Source: NSE